hedgefundinvest
Location:
New York City
Bio: Institutional thoughts for the individual investor by a hedge fund professional in equities, distressed debt, and single malt scotch. hfi.twitter at gmail.com
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hedgefundinvest
@marketfolly $C price targets now pretty tricky. Based on balance sheet, and sensitivies in NIM, $4. @Morgan_03 @ZipperTheory
Mar. 11 at 9:59 AM
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hedgefundinvest
@AriCostello re: $GLD... we've got a few other ancient fetishes that we probably don't give into to, no? :-) ... just sayin'...
Mar. 10 at 7:41 AM
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hedgefundinvest
@ZipperTheory That's an interesting market view on $GLD. I suspect there is a lot of truth in it. I also think industrial usage has a hand.
Mar. 8 at 10:22 AM
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hedgefundinvest
FX: Seems $GLD has not performed as well as the silvery metals with industrial uses in past few months.
Mar. 8 at 9:02 AM
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hedgefundinvest
FX: Would love to get a discussion on the correlations between gold, silver, platinum and palladium pricing. $GLD $SLV
Mar. 8 at 9:01 AM
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hedgefundinvest
@Morgan_03 Thanks. We like all paper up and down, except $AIG equity.
Mar. 5 at 1:21 PM
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hedgefundinvest
@TMTanalyst $RCNI... didn't do enough. Trade through the deal? Another potential bidder? It's kinda crazy for an overbuilder. Cost cutting?
Mar. 5 at 9:28 AM
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hedgefundinvest
@tmtanalyst $RCNI !
Mar. 5 at 9:03 AM
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hedgefundinvest
@rockochen Finally, $GLD / gold is not truly a commodity in traditional economic terms. It is a currency. Gold is a currency.
Mar. 3 at 3:52 PM
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hedgefundinvest
@Morgan_03 Given the common equity plus the treasury cushion, I'm hard pressed to see how $AFF / $AVF is truly impaired.
Mar. 3 at 3:51 PM
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hedgefundinvest
@Morgan_03 I simply think $AVF and $AFF are covered. I think your AGF paper is too, but harder to tell on IFLC.
Mar. 3 at 3:50 PM
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hedgefundinvest
@Morgan_03 No doubt M2 and the price of $GLD are correlated... but we have to toss in money velocity into the mix. And that has decreased.
Mar. 3 at 10:18 AM
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hedgefundinvest
Deepthought: In a growing global economy, where there is different purchasing competition from various nation states. $GLD
Mar. 2 at 9:26 PM
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hedgefundinvest
Deepthought: $GLD largest consumption is jewelry, which is basically a holding case for the dollar bill. Same thing w/added value.
Mar. 2 at 9:24 PM
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hedgefundinvest
Deepthought: Since $GLD, in theory, is a currency. It is not a commodity in true, Wall St., economic terms.
Mar. 2 at 9:23 PM
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hedgefundinvest
Deepthought: Now, the higher the price of gold, the more likely inflation is upon us. $GLD
Mar. 2 at 9:22 PM
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hedgefundinvest
Deepthought: In a condition of currency debasement, the value of the fiat currency weakens, and hence has less purchasing power. $GLD
Mar. 2 at 9:21 PM
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hedgefundinvest
Deepthought: So, we are taught that $GLD is a reflection of the market's view on inflation/currency debasement.
Mar. 2 at 9:20 PM
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hedgefundinvest
@marketfolly $GMCR totally fascinates me. Much like $CROX did a few years back. I like coffee more than plastic shoes, though.
Mar. 2 at 1:23 PM
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hedgefundinvest
@ZipperTheory $C gov't overhang is a big issue. Plus not peforming like $BAC. Still cheap though. @morgan_03
Mar. 2 at 12:25 PM
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hedgefundinvest
@Morgan_03 Thank you! $AVF and $AFF had some upside surprise, but still think these are worth $20+. $C is a beast...
Mar. 2 at 12:10 PM
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hedgefundinvest
ES: @ZipperTheory I wish $CSE beat. Bank was good, it was comm'l portfolio not rolled into bank. Future looks brighter than release suggests
Feb. 25 at 9:17 AM
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hedgefundinvest
@firstadopter $NFLX will get what's coming to it... personally think it will take time. Not a very protected biz model offset by 1st move.
Feb. 23 at 9:43 AM
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hedgefundinvest
@marketfolly Within 12 months or so. I'm seeing you track HFs that own $CSE. It was a mess peeling through the layers, but worth it. $CSE
Feb. 19 at 12:10 PM
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hedgefundinvest
@TMTanalyst How are you feeling about $DTV at this price point? Currently ambivalent at our end, but could be worthy of a short, ex M&A
Feb. 18 at 10:41 AM
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hedgefundinvest
ES: Welcome discussion points to anyone that has done fundamental work on the name. (Also plus point is sale of healthcare RE assets) $CSE
Feb. 15 at 11:37 AM
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hedgefundinvest
ES: ... in the residual interests in structured paper make this an investment with tremendous upside skew. Not a regional, but a $CIT comp.
Feb. 15 at 11:36 AM
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hedgefundinvest
ES: $CSE is very interesting given the bank sub, and overcapitalization of equity. That, coupled with tremendous upside leverage...
Feb. 15 at 11:35 AM
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hedgefundinvest
ES: CapitalSource $CSE, an equity that we've been fond of, has been picked up by Baupost and Monish Pabrai. Good company to keep when long.
Feb. 15 at 11:32 AM
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hedgefundinvest
EI: 3/3 "...there's nothing on the iPad I look at and say, 'Oh, I wish Microsoft had done it.'" $MSFT $AAPL
Feb. 13 at 7:08 PM
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