1 193 I bet the guys at $MOT are feeling pretty lousy after betting their whole plan on Android and seeing $GOOG in the market now. Did they know? Wed Jan 06 14:04:30 +0000 2010 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 7441461541 3538981 web GOOG MOT Sold some $NVDA yesterday given that it has reached our IV figure of $18. Could be some weakness in Q1 to exploit with Fermi delayed. Tue Dec 29 09:40:34 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 7155004369 3538981 web NVDA Looks like Santa came for an early visit. $RIMM up big after hours. Stock topped our IV list last month is #1 position. The system works. Thu Dec 17 22:19:15 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 6776347543 3538981 web RIMM $INTC is already in too much antitrust hot water to acquire $NVDA. Sorry. Wed Dec 09 17:45:56 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 6503081572 3538981 web INTC NVDA At the barn with degraded network service, waiting for the tech. Have enough bandwidth to wrap up our follow-on research report on $AONE. Fri Nov 06 12:53:54 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 5477602179 3538981 web AONE When the news is bad, the market goes up. When the news is good the market goes down. Simple! Except for $MSFT which is my turtle stock. Thu Oct 15 15:45:15 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4891404676 3538981 web MSFT New $MSFT snapshot published yesterday. IV = $30 Report is up on the website but registration is required. www.research2zero.com Thu Oct 15 07:10:56 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4883586286 3538981 web MSFT $DELL commenting they will be active in M&A. Major bank commenting that we are seeing "perfect storm" for M&A transactions. Hold on tight. Tue Oct 13 13:20:04 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4834520537 3538981 web DELL $CSCO purchase of $STAR looks to be just over 6x TEV/Sales and 20x EBITDA. Aggressive move into mobile and video delivery. Tue Oct 13 13:13:12 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4834392320 3538981 web CSCO STAR No doubt IBM is "darkening the sky with plane"s of resources to New Zealand Air after the big outage. Reminds me of the old days... $IBM Mon Oct 12 16:00:48 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4811595498 3538981 web IBM Now post on how gold is getting crowd-sourced by the rich into a global store of value over currencies. $gld http://blog.research2zero.com Fri Oct 09 10:08:49 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4731167753 3538981 web GLD Something smells funny about this $brcd takeover business. How does a potential buyer justify paying 2x because they company leaked it? Thu Oct 08 14:20:14 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4709715672 3538981 web BRCD Started another blog for aspiring sell side analysts that will offer helpful tools and resources. http://blog.sellsideanalyst.com $$ Tue Oct 06 09:28:23 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4651535952 3538981 web Back in Paris. Attended a GaveKal event there this morning. Just posted a short update on $NVDA over at http://blog.research2zero.com Fri Oct 02 15:48:25 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4555609021 3538981 web NVDA The A123 report is out! $AONE Available over on our website (registration required though) and some other downstream markets later. Thu Sep 24 12:10:29 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4340172645 3538981 web AONE Wrapping up our overview report on A123 just in time for release today. Still more work to do on patent issues and valuation. $AONE Thu Sep 24 09:59:25 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4338567126 3538981 web AONE Under the gun: thought we had another week to put out our A123 report but the deal prices tonight! Valuation is the tricky. Hot deal. $AONE Wed Sep 23 10:28:53 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 4312557928 3538981 web AONE When the market is going up I'm thinking short, when it's going down I'm thinking long. Can't help it. $$ Fri Sep 11 08:24:57 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3907514992 3538981 <a href="http://www.seesmic.com/" rel="nofollow">Seesmic</a> Put up a short post on $GOOG this morning suggesting that international growth may be curtailed by foreign players. It's gonna cost Google. Tue Sep 08 17:52:21 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3844754415 3538981 web GOOG Put up a post on an interesting cancer therapy company $CRIS over at http://bit.ly/3jPqpl Fri Sep 04 14:57:56 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3758250965 3538981 web CRIS Instead of just "taking off the stimulus" I wonder if Bernanke & Co will be smart enough to shift the focus to job creation vs growth? $$ Wed Aug 26 03:04:51 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3549191514 3538981 web Recovery real just a wave of incentives to pull weak demand forward? Tame CPI real or just a product of YoY energy declines? I wonder. $$ Mon Aug 24 19:21:06 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3518595996 3538981 web Very nice insider trade for Carl Bass, CEO of $ADSK, who snapped up 25,000 shares at $12.17 on March 5th. Stock now over $24. Thu Aug 20 18:47:32 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3432839641 3538981 web ADSK Good post on "reading into" things too much in this market or elsewhere: http://bit.ly/Zvf0u $$ Thu Aug 20 17:39:42 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3431544127 3538981 web New post up on not overthinking the market here. http://blog.research2zero.com $QQQQ Thu Aug 20 10:51:48 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3425361203 3538981 web QQQQ So the is the pressure on $NVDA related to the potential settlement with $RMBS? NVDA doesn't have much room in margins! Wed Aug 19 19:09:38 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3410913407 3538981 web NVDA RMBS How can the FT put out a headline: HP results dash hopes of tech recovery with an inline report and raised guidance for next Q? Weak. $$ Wed Aug 19 08:35:01 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 3401792124 3538981 web After a long dry spell I handled request for three prior employee references close to getting new (and pretty good) jobs. Recover? $$ Fri Jul 24 22:38:05 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 2827372731 3538981 web Canaccord Adams discovers $AAPL and upgrades to "Buy" today. That's got to be an awkward morning call! Wed Jul 22 13:22:46 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 2777583893 3538981 web AAPL $1.35 versus $1.17 is not an "enormous" upside CNBC! Come'on. $AAPL IV on AAPL is $150 so decisions should be easy. Tue Jul 21 20:34:14 +0000 2009 Heuristocrat http://a3.twimg.com/profile_images/613693827/KrisLuke2_normal.jpg 2764468865 3538981 web AAPL