Energy Markets Tumble In Rare Down Week

Countries worldwide continue to grapple with an energy crisis exacerbated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine and overall supply-chain issues caused by the Covid-19 pandemic.

But for traders that just discovered energy stocks as the new hip “momentum trade,” it was a rough week. 🤢

While it was a general down week for the stock market, the large-cap energy ETF was down 17%! Other ETFs with small/mid-cap names fared even worse! 🔻

Oil, Gasoline, Heating Oil, and Natural Gas futures all sold off to varying degrees. 🛢️

After many unsuccessful attempts to bring prices down by increasing investment in alternative energy sources, getting OPEC+ to increase production, and tapping the strategic petroleum reserve, what is finally causing prices to move?

Many traders are pointing to the pickup in global recession fears following the aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and other central banks. 📈

A global recession is not how we wanted to bring down oil prices, but collapsing demand would undoubtedly do the trick.

Others are pointing to the infamous “Cramer curse” for the recent weakness. Ok, kidding…kidding (kind of). 🤣

What’s clear is that this week’s volatility is a change of character worth acknowledging. ⚠️

Energy markets are likely to continue delivering fireworks for the foreseeable future, given the broader structural/geopolitical issues and the uncertainty facing many economies.

Let us know what you think about this week’s action. Is this a blip on the radar of a long-term uptrend or a trend reversal sign? 🤔

Join the streams and tag us @Stocktwits. 💭

Palladium Plummets To New Lows

We’ve spoken extensively about the car industry over the last eighteen months. Many key factors impact the industry, including worker strikes and low inventories. However, they’ve essentially resulted in about two core themes. 👇

The first is that the demand side of the market is being impacted by higher financing costs and record prices, crushing affordability. While on the supply side, low used vehicle inventories and a slow ramping up of new vehicle production have caused dealers to struggle.

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Are Investors Sleeping On Commodities?

We know pulling people’s attention away from stocks is tough, especially when they’re rallying. But as we close out the week, we wanted to point out that many of this week’s top-performing assets were commodities.

The chart below from Finviz shows that nine of the top ten performers this week were commodity futures, with Natural Gas topping the list at +16.19%. 🤩

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Physical Gold & Oil Join The Party

It’s Friday, and we’re all looking forward to the weekend, so we’ll keep this article short. With almost every speculative asset on the planet participating in the recent rally, let’s quickly check in on two commodities making moves. 👀

We know digital gold (aka Bitcoin) has been absolutely crushing it, but physical gold has failed to participate. That is at least until today… 🤔

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Natural Gas Is Moving Fast

Okay, maybe not fast. But it certainly is moving differently than it has been. After falling about 80% from its highs from August to March, natural gas futures have been taking the first step to reverse their trend…stop going down. ⏸️

Below is a daily chart of natural gas futures trading in a $2.00 to $2.65 range for the last five months. But this week, traders are putting it back on their radar due to its strength relative to the rest of the energy commodity complex. With crude oil, gasoline, and heating oil all falling several percent this week, natural gas’s nearly 5% gain certainly stands out. 🤔

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