$SPCE VG will never allow SRB to fly before a full-manned (2 pilots + 6 passengers) test flight has happened. So the July 4th SRB flight rumor does not seem credible because that doesn’t leave time for the second test flight. It is more credible that SRB flies on July 18th, his birthday which happens to be on a Sunday, given it has always been a huge deal for him and VG to fly him on his birthday (e.g. last year’s plans), not July 4th. And that still beats Bezos’s July 20th and gets SRB in pole position. So it seems like a no-brainier that the second test flight will be in the next 1-3 weeks and the SRB flight (which must happen after FAA certification) will be on July 18th.