Traderfirstyear - (2 of 3) Reviewing the Email from 2014 on Emerging Market Commodity Oriented Currency Shorts. Initial Idea based on falling oil prices, US economic strength, rising US Dollar, Dollar Funding, Reserves, & Capital Flows in defending a currency subject to an adjustment. It actually took 2 years in this case before Nigeria stepped into depreciate the currency, but I try to market time, so I'm usually too early sort of hard to get it 100% right.