Any streak or high success rate can be eviscerated at a moment's notice. Nowhere other than in a game that you must be more patient, yet quicker to decide than the vast majority, does the first idea make more sense.
Bullsh•t, or be bullsh•tted. The markets are not what they seem to be. Read between the lines, don't follow the hype where there is excess exuberation, don't follow the naysayers where it is unwarranted. And profit.