Quantumup
Jones on $BEAM -- We are assuming coverage of BEAM with a Buy rating and $35 PT.
[ALNY ARWR WVE KRRO BOLD PRME]
Our valuation is primarily based on BEAM-302 for AATD.
Despite heavy competition in the AATD pipeline, BEAM-302 will likely be the first genetic medicine to market for the ~10K US patients who are currently being treated for Pi*ZZ AATD. The pivotal trial is now enrolling, with topline data potentially by 1H28.
We forecast $3.2B in unadjusted peak sales in 2034, with a 65% probability of success.
We also value revenues from SCD (90% POS, $340M peak sales), GSD1a (35% POS, $262M peak sales), and PKU (15% POS, $1.5B peak sales). The remainder of our valuation comes from YE27 net cash ($6/sh) and platform value ($5/sh). Assume Buy and $35.
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