XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund

My bear thesis right now is $XLF and banks and overall consumer health and spending. Making deals with 10Y moving so quickly is tough. Lots of capital out there but it’s a big concern and wealth disparity and inequity is unreal. Banks at 200dma level and still can recover but if major index’s fail these new highs I think we could be due for more of slow grinding correction.

$XLF Fed Chair Warsh spoke last week and mentioned that 75% of the people at the Federal Reserve don't work directly on Monetary Policy.

Selling some $XLF into today's highs. Buying some $XME into today's lows. DCA as always with allocation %ages

While the focus has been on the AI trade, one of the undercurrents that matters more is the credit spread between government and corporate bonds. Couple that with $XLF Financials and $KRE regional banks, the picture becomes a little clearer. For 3 years, easy credit conditions have boosted the Financials Sector and regional banks. But as the riskier tranche of bonds approaches 15 on the spread, we are closer to the corporate bond canary entering a suffocating level. It's not the direct exposure that should keep us up at night, but the indirect. We have historical precedent that shows once this threshold (15 on the CCCs) is reached, the higher-quality bond spreads follow suit. This, in turn, places downward pressure on the Financial Sector and Regional Banks. Tune out the noise of AI and focus on the important driver: credit. That is the adult in the room.

$XLF After sliding entire month of Sept. and dropping under all key 20, 50, 100, and 200 MAs, the financial are making a comeback. XLF is now above 200 and 20 MAs, looks poised to clear 100 MA soon. RSI strengthen to 51 and MACD made bullish crossover and it's widening the gap. These are top XLF holdings: • Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK.B): ~12.57% • JPMorgan Chase & Co. ($JPM): ~11.42% • Visa Inc. ($V): ~8.75% • Mastercard Incorporated ($MA): ~6.34% • Bank of America Corp. ($BAC): ~4.55% • The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS): ~3.36% • Wells Fargo & Co. (WFC): ~3.16% • Morgan Stanley (MS): ~2.88% • Citigroup Inc. (C): ~2.70% • American Express Co. (AXP): ~2.11%

$XLF shows 5 swing up from October low and the ETF likely see further upside to end 7 swing. Next support area comes at $54.3 - $54.8 #elliottwave

$XLF The Financial Sector ETF broke out of its current down trend. Bulls will be looking for constructive price action in the week ahead. #IBDPartner

$XLF Needs to find bottom here imo. Weakness in financials, industrials, $ITB will eventually have an effect on all other pockets of the market imo.

New ATHs on Financials $XLF, as price completes its draw towards liquidity at previous ATHs. Watch for institutional sellers absorbing the breakout's buying pressure.

$XLF Financial Sector gap and go following mid-term elections... trying to breakout today. #IBDPartner

$XLF $AXP $NU Financials, week of Oct 19: 47 companies had notable news (64 filings and releases). 🤝 Deals were a big theme this week: 9 companies had deal news in 13 filings, and 6 of those were labelled good for holders 🚀 American Express, the card company, raised its 2026 adjusted profit guide to $17.60-$17.90 a share, 14%-16% above 2025's $15.38 👤 Nu Holdings, which runs the digital bank Nubank, said tech chief Eric Young is leaving, and founder-CEO David Vélez will run tech for now ⚠️ It is Nu's second tech chief change in about 14 months, six weeks into its US launch, so watch who is named after Young leaves on November 12, 2026 ⚠️ Soluna, a green data center builder, could owe Applied Digital up to $45M, about a third of its market value, if their Texas AI site deal fails, with a first deadline of December 1, 2026 ⚠️ On the bad side, 4 other filings and 1 on new shares or notes were labelled bad for holders, and 1 company had debt trouble

$XLF from hourly perspective, capitulation ahead and then sttrong V-shaped bounce into November

More than half of last month's undiscovered breakouts from were in the Financial, Health Care, and Industrial sectors. $XLF $XLV $XLI h/t Stocktwits MCP

$XLF weekly: initial rejection in a previous distribution zone. This happened in early 2025 and early 2026, with a striking resemblance to today. Tech and emerging markets are the first dominoes. Now we need to see it topple financials for the big sell-off. $SPY $QQQ

All the $XLF banks pumping this bs deserve all to go down on financial fraud and broke the crooks won't stop crookijg until someones head is accountable $SPY

$XLF $FAS Financials tanked at market open, but they are all rebounding back to HOD at the moment. $BAC $COF $SPY

FISV, NU, LPLA: Analyst Picks Top 3 Financial Stocks In ‘Forgettable Year’ For Sector $XLF $SPY $LPLA $FISV $NU https://stocktwits.com/news/equity/markets/fisv-nu-lpla-analyst-picks-top-3-financial-stocks-in-forgettable-year-for-sector/cZxWWJvRBqt

📉 $XLF — Financials Look Ready for Another Leg Lower Group 3 Post-Market 1H Update: XLF remains Turning Down below 54.29. Wave 4 appears complete, while the new bearish cycle is developing with ((i))–((ii)) already in place. 🎯 Expected path: decline in ((iii)) toward the 52.5 area → corrective bounce in ((iv)) → another push lower in ((v)) to complete the sequence near 52.2. 🔑 Key level: 54.29 #XLF #Financials #ElliottWave #ETFs #Trading

Industry Sectors ranked by price strength and price momentum as of the Nov. 4 close: $XLF

TUESDAY POWER-HOUR FLOW 🧭 Options flow put $XLF on the board with $5.7M in the Dec 17 $60 puts. At capture, contract volume was 18.3x standing open interest. Chart check: daily chart through Nov 2: last close $57.56, above its 20 and 50 day averages, with RSI at 65. The 3 month range is $52.81 to $58.60. One caveat: volume is the lead, not the verdict. The next settled open interest is the confirmation check.