SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Oracle Corp. engages in the provision of products and services that address aspects of corporate information technology environments, including applications and infrastructure technologies. It operates through the following business segments: Cloud and License, Hardware, and Services. The Cloud and License segment markets, sells, and delivers enterprise applications and infrastructure technologies through cloud and on-premise deployment models including cloud services and license support offerings. The Hardware segment provides infrastructure technologies including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management, and other hardware-related software. The Services segment offers consulting, advanced support, and education services. The company was founded by Lawrence Joseph Ellison, Robert Nimrod Miner, and Edward A. Oates on June 16, 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

Oracle Corp.

Oracles planned stock and bond financing to fund its AI and data-center expansion is driving attention, with traders focused on dilution and rising debt. Bears view the raise as a sign of financial strain, while bulls argue it was part of a previously outlined funding plan and supports long-term growth.

Lumentum Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of optical and photonic products. It operates through the Cloud and Networking, and Industrial Tech segments. The Cloud and Networking segment refers to a portfolio of optical and photonic components, modules, and subsystems. The Industrial Tech segment includes solid-state lasers, kilowatt-class fiber lasers, ultrafast lasers, diode lasers, and gas lasers. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

Lumentum Holdings Inc

Marvells agreed all-stock acquisition of Lumentum is dominating discussion, with the fixed exchange ratio tying LITEs eventual value to Marvells share price until the deal closes. Many traders view the structure as unfavorable to Lumentum shareholders and are questioning the headline premium, while others see strategic value in combining Marvells connectivity business with Lumentums AI-optics technology.

Marvell Technology, Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of integrated circuits. Its products include data processing units, security solutions, automotive, coherent DSP, DCI optical modules, ethernet controllers, ethernet PHYs, ethernet switches, linear driver, PAM DSP, transimpedance amplifiers, fibre channel, HDD, SSD controller, storage accelerators, ASIC, and Marvell government solutions. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Singapore, Israel, India, China, and Others. The company was founded by Wei Li Dai and Pantas Sutardja in 1995 and is headquartered in Wilmington, DE.

Marvell Technology Inc

Marvells agreed all-stock acquisition of Lumentum is drawing attention as a major bet on optical connectivity for AI data centers. Traders are split: some see strategic value in combining Marvells chips with Lumentums optical technology, while others worry about dilution, the deals cost, and the muted market reaction.

Fluence Energy, Inc. engages in energy storage products and services, and artificial intelligence-enabled digital applications for renewables and storage. Its storage includes Smartstack, Gridstack Pro, Grisdtack, and Ultrastack. The company was founded on June 21, 2021, and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

Fluence Energy Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Fluences CEO, CFO and customer-success chief are departing, with interim leaders appointed as the company seeks to address longstanding execution problems. Traders welcomed the shake-up as a possible reset, while skeptics argued that leadership changes alone wont fix manufacturing and delivery issues or restore confidence.

POET Technologies, Inc. engages in the designing, developing, manufacturing and sale of opto-electronic solutions for the sensing, data communications and telecommunications markets. It developed POET Optical Interposer platform, which allows the integration of electronic and photonic devices into a single multi-chip module. The company was founded on November 14, 1985 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

POET Technologies Inc

Buzz centers on reports that POET optical engines were featured in Foxconns photonics ecosystem at Hon Hai Tech Day, renewing attention on its FIT partnership. Bulls see this as validation, while skeptics note that a demo does not confirm purchase orders or scaled shipments.

Axsome Therapeutics, Inc. is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development of novel therapies for the management of central nervous system disorders. Its portfolio consists of Products Overview and Pipeline Overview. The Products Overview includes Auvelity and Sunosi. The Pipeline Overview refers to AXS-05, AXS-07, AXS-12, and AXS-14. The company was founded by Herriot Tabuteau on January 12, 2012 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Axsome Therapeutics Inc

Axsomes quarterly results showed strong product-revenue growth and beat analyst expectations, yet the shares sold off sharply. Traders are debating whether the decline reflects the lack of quantified guidance and uncertainty around profitability and spending, or whether the Auvelity growthespecially its Alzheimers agitation launchis stronger than prescription trackers suggest.

Precigen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the research and development of synthetic biology technologies. It operates through the Biopharmaceuticals and Exemplar segments. The company was founded by Thomas David Reed in 1998 and is headquartered in Germantown, MD.

Precigen Inc

Inovios FDA approval of a competing treatment for recurrent respiratory papillomatosis has raised concerns about pressure on Precigens PAPZIMEOS. Traders debate whether the rivals dosing approach will erode demand or whether PAPZIMEOSs commercial head start, payer access, and full-approval status will help it retain an advantage.

Cipher Digital, Inc. operates as a Bitcoin mining ecosystem in the United States. The firm is developing a cryptocurrency business. The company was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Cipher Digital Inc.

A weak quarterly report and revenue miss have weighed on CIFR despite initial high-performance-computing lease revenue and progress on data-center contracts. Traders are divided between concerns about debt, dilution, and execution in the AI-infrastructure transition and confidence in the longer-term contracted lease opportunity.

Tempus AI, Inc. is a healthcare technology company, which engages in bringing artificial intelligence and machine learning to healthcare. It focuses on building platforms for oncology, neuropsychiatry, cardiology, infectious disease, and radiology. The company was founded by Eric Paul Lefkofsky in August 2015 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

Tempus AI Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Tempus AI Inc

Tempus AI is drawing attention after reporting better-than-expected third-quarter results and raising the lower end of its full-year revenue outlook, with growth in oncology testing and its data business supporting the upbeat reaction. Traders are broadly positive on the beat-and-raise, though some expect volatile trading or a post-earnings pullback.

TG Therapeutics, Inc. engages in the acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel treatments for B-cell malignancies and autoimmune diseases. Its product pipeline includes TG-1501, TG-1701, Ublituximab, and Umbralisib. The company was founded by Michael Sean Weiss and Laurence H. Shaw on May 18, 1993 and is headquartered in Morrisville, NC.

TG Therapeutics Inc

A sharp run to fresh 52-week highs ahead of TG Therapeutics Q3 results and business update has focused attention on BRIUMVIs growth and the upcoming subcutaneous program. Traders are debating whether heavy call activity and high short interest could amplify the move, while buyout talk remains speculation and some caution that earnings or a delayed update may disappoint.

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US Real Estate Stocks Hit All-Time Low Relative To S&P 500, Prompting Peter Schiff’s ‘Industry Is Dead’ Warning 

Equity

Weak housing demand and shifting investor preferences pressure the sector. 


BofA: Clients unload equities in largest weekly selling since 2023

Investing.com -- Bank of America Securities said its clients pulled $6.9 billion from U.S. equities last week, marking the largest weekly outflows since August 2023 and the sixth-largest on record since 2008.

Goldman Sachs ups S&P 500 targets on supportive policy, long-term earnings outlook

Investing.com -- Goldman Sachs raised its S&P 500 forecasts across the board, reflecting more supportive macro conditions and investor confidence in long-term (LT) earnings growth.

U.S. equities see largest client outflows in 10 weeks, BofA says

Investing.com -- Last week, clients were net sellers of U.S. equities for the first time in three weeks, even as the S&P 500 rallied to new record highs.

BofA clients sold U.S. stocks for first time in 5 weeks; Tech led outflows

Investing.com -- Clients of Bank of America Securities turned net sellers of U.S. equities last week, marking the first weekly outflow in five weeks as the S&P 500 dropped 2.6%.

Equity flows: U.S. large caps, gold see records; small caps, real estate hit lows

Investing.com -- U.S. equity funds recorded their first inflow in five weeks, while money market funds saw sizable outflows, suggesting a risk-on shift among investors.

Do Wall Street Analysts Like Extra Space Storage Stock?

Extra Space Storage has underperformed the broader market over the past year, but analysts are moderately optimistic about the stock’s prospects.

CoStar Group Stock Outlook: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?

Although CoStar Group has lagged the broader market over the past year, Wall Street analysts maintain a moderately bullish outlook on its growth prospects.

BofA clients buy US equities for 10th straight week, private clients lead inflows

Investing.com -- Bank of America Securities said its clients bought US equities last week, pouring $1.1 billion, marking the tenth consecutive week of inflows.

Why UBS thinks you should gradually increase exposure to global direct real estate

Investing.com -- UBS believes investors should gradually increase exposure to global direct real estate, citing improved market conditions and attractive investment opportunities. 

iShares Trust - iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF

Bullish Sentiment

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Charlie Bilello said U.S. real estate stocks have fallen to their lowest level ever compared with the S&amp;P 500.&nbsp;</li><li>Peter Schiff warned that the sector could fall further as higher mortgage rates hurt the industry.&nbsp;</li><li>Higher interest rates have hurt real estate by raising borrowing costs, weakening housing demand and pressuring commercial properties.&nbsp;</li></ul>US real estate stocks have sunk to their weakest level ever relative to the S&amp;P 500, wiping out all the outperformance they built during the early-to-mid 2000s housing bubble, according to Creative Planning's Charlie Bilello. Economist Peter Schiff warns the slide is far from over and calls the industry dead.&nbsp;The milestone matters because it suggests investors may be seeing a long-term shift rather than a temporary slowdown. The 10-year Treasury yield is near its highest level in 25 years, while mortgage rates are nearing 8%, reversing the low-rate support that helped the housing market for years.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Real Estate Stocks Hit Record Low&nbsp;</h2>Bilello, Chief Market Strategist at Creative Planning, flagged the extreme in a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/charliebilello/status/2107185783132340316">post</a> on X.“US real estate stocks are now at their lowest level ever relative to the S&amp;P 500, erasing all of their relative outperformance from the early-to-mid 2000s housing bubble.”&nbsp;<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/housing_a1be8b6ea7.jpg" alt="housing.jpg" width="900" height="581"><figcaption>Source: Charlie Bilello’s X Post</figcaption></figure>The chart shows that the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IYR">iShares US Real Estate ETF</a> (IYR) to&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> (SPY) ratio fell to a record low of 0.122 on Oct. 5. It had reached 0.525 in February 2007 during the housing boom before the Great Financial Crisis. Since then, real estate stocks have generally lagged the broader market despite occasional rallies.&nbsp;<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/koyfin_20261006_020256021_0881b52db7.png" alt="koyfin_20261006_020256021.png" width="2400" height="1240"></figure>Schiff, an economist and longtime market bear,&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/2107221474193105115">replied</a> bluntly: "Plus they are going a lot lower from here. The industry is dead. It lived by ever falling mortgage rates and government subsidies. It's now dying by reversal of the same dynamics."&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Housing Affordability Crisis Hits Real Estate&nbsp;</h2>Schiff’s comments highlight a major change in interest rates and Federal Reserve policy. After the 2008 financial crisis, low borrowing costs helped boost REIT values, real estate deals and homebuilder profits. Now, higher 10-year Treasury yields have raised borrowing costs and made REIT dividends less attractive to investors.&nbsp;High mortgage rates are hurting housing demand and home sales, while commercial real estate faces lower property values and refinancing pressure. Investors are also moving money into safer Treasuries and technology stocks, cutting demand for real estate.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/koyfin_20261006_015930573_3f1dd3713a.png" alt="koyfin_20261006_015930573.png" width="2400" height="1240"></figure>Last week, Morgan Stanley put out a mixed outlook on major U.S. homebuilders. The firm is bullish on Toll Brothers (TOL), giving it an ‘Overweight’ rating and $159 price target, citing wealthy buyers, pricing power and attractive valuation. PulteGroup (PHG) and D.R. Horton (DHI) received ‘Equal Weight’ ratings, with $128 and $151 price targets, respectively, as affordability concerns limit their upside. Lennar (LEN) received an ‘Underweight’ rating and a $65 price target due to incentives, higher lot costs, and weak first-time buyer demand.&nbsp;So far this year, DHI, PHM, and LEN stocks are down 2% to 27%, while TOL is up 0.1%.Also see:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/the-big-short-investor-michael-burry-justifies-lululemon-tax-loss-sale-i-am-not-throwing-in-the-towel/cZDstsERBk4">‘The Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Justifies Lululemon Tax-Loss Sale: ‘I Am Not Throwing In The Towel’</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The Montage Laguna Beach resort is shown at sunset in Laguna Beach, CA.

US real estate stocks have sunk to their weakest level ever relative to the S&P 500, wiping out all the outperformance they built during the early-to-mid 2000s housing bubble, according to Creative Planning's Charlie Bilello. Economist Peter Schiff warns 

US Real Estate Stocks Hit All-Time Low Relative To S&P 500, Prompting Peter Schiff’s ‘Industry Is Dead’ Warning

D.R. Horton Inc.

iShares US Real Estate ETF

Lennar Corp.

PulteGroup Inc

Toll Brothers Inc.

Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
Drop a comment with when you expect the first cut/hike to be.

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