ukarlewitz

Urban Carmel
San Francisco

Joined Jun 20, 2010

Wharton. McKinsey. UBS. Securities industry since 1994. Asia ex-pat during 1980s-90s.

ukarlewitz
Cobra: 47% of NYSE stocks closed Friday above their 40,2 Bollinger for only the 5th time in the past 20 years. Each time, $SPY retraced...

Feb. 5 at 5:59 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
Has to be said, however, that by Jan 2011, nearly 80% of the up move was completed. Without some pause, perhaps the same is true here R/R $$

Feb. 5 at 5:33 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
$SPY coincidentally has now 23% from Oct. In Feb 2011, it rose an extra 5%. Such an outcome now is certainly a possibility

Feb. 5 at 5:31 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
$SPY - sentiment as measured by Rydex market timers asset allocation is as bullish as Jan 2011 after a 22% rise in $SPY http://t.co/IdbRISv9

Feb. 5 at 5:30 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
Bulkowski for this week: These uphill, straight-line runs can last longer than anyone expects $$ http://stks.co/2FjT

Feb. 5 at 5:20 PM
ukarlewitz
I don't determine to be a bull or a bear. I look at the facts and determine the best probability. This is an objective process $$

Feb. 5 at 5:14 PM

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ukarlewitz
$SPY has risen 5 weeks in a row. Over the last 10 years, the probability of a 6th weekly rise is 4%. Just a fact.

Feb. 5 at 5:12 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
Friday's 1.4% gain on NFP was the best jobs report for $SPX since 5/8/09. One week later: 4.6% lower. Just a fact

Feb. 5 at 5:09 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
$IWM opened & closed above its Bollinger Friday for the 1st time Nov, 2010. One week later it was 4% lower and below its 20dma. Just a fact

Feb. 5 at 5:07 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
$SPY close above its Bollinger Friday for the 1st time since the July NFP. One month later it was 18% lower. Not a bear comment, just a fact

Feb. 5 at 5:02 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
McClellan: Eurodollar futures COT data suggests a sideways/down market from sometime in Feb (8-24) to June, fwiw $SPX http://t.co/t7EcWBfZ

Feb. 4 at 7:56 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
Caldaro: Major 4 (down) after this uptrend ends (this month). Last Major wave down was from Oct high (1290) to Nov low (1160) $SPX

Feb. 4 at 5:40 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
Caldaro: 4 of anticipated 5 minor waves complete. Next R 1365-1375. ST momentum is extremely overbought, which suggests a pullback soon $SPX

Feb. 4 at 5:33 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
Caldaro: $SPX weekly chart now displaying an overbought RSI, plus the MACD is rising and above neutral; signs of bull market activity

Feb. 4 at 5:09 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
With (1) ample slack capacity in the economy and (2) small 'velocity of money' (i.e., demand) there is little pressure on interest rates $$

Feb. 4 at 3:34 PM

from Twitter
ukarlewitz
ISI this week: Net hedge fund long exposure 44.3%, lowest level in 4 years and equivalent to the generational low in March 2009 $$

Feb. 4 at 3:24 PM

from Twitter

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Experience: Intermediate
Assets Traded: Equities, Bonds
Approach: Technical
Holding Period: Swing Trader

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