Friday’s Flurry of Futures ❄️

Following a significant rise in prices as contracts expired Thursday, natural gas futures registered their largest weekly increase since August 2020 as a *gigantic* winter storm closes in on the U.S. Northeast. 🥶

The boost to natural gas futures came after an unprecedented 72% gain in the expiring February contract on Thursday, indicating a textbook short squeeze. 💡 The contract rose to $4.88 intraday, its highest level since late November 2021.

Here’s the weekly chart:

As a severe winter storm approaches the East Coast, demand for heating and power plant fuel could likely skyrocket. Snowfall could total up to 10 inches in New York City, with a foot or more on eastern Long Island. Boston could see up to 2 feet of snow. ☃️ Meanwhile, airlines are already cancelling flights to and from the Northeastern U.S. 

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Physical Gold & Oil Join The Party

It’s Friday, and we’re all looking forward to the weekend, so we’ll keep this article short. With almost every speculative asset on the planet participating in the recent rally, let’s quickly check in on two commodities making moves. 👀

We know digital gold (aka Bitcoin) has been absolutely crushing it, but physical gold has failed to participate. That is at least until today… 🤔

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Cocoa and OJ Futures Keep On Rolling

It was a slow day out there, so we’re back with everyone’s favorite topic: commodity futures. 🙃

At the end of August, we discussed cocoa futures following in orange juice futures’ footsteps and breaking out to new all-time highs. Since then, weather conditions and crop outlooks have not improved, causing prices to rise even further.

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Copper Crumbles Amid Recession Fears

If you’ve been consuming financial market-related content for a while, you’ve probably heard the phrase “Dr. Copper” at some point. Well, the doctor was in today, so let’s hear what he had to say. 👂

For those of you confused, market participants often refer to copper futures as “Dr. Copper.” The reasoning is that copper is an industrial metal critical for most aspects of global economic growth. As a result, investors and traders will often use copper futures as a liquid market to express their views of the economy. And for those that don’t trade it directly, they look at it as a barometer for the overall market’s economic outlook. 🧭

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Crude Tops 90 As Inflation Ticks Up

Before we get into U.S. data, we need to discuss the European Central Bank’s (ECB) rate decision. The central bank surprised markets by raising rates another 25 bps to 4.00%, marking its tenth consecutive hike. 🔺

Unlike the U.S., Europe has not made as much progress in bringing down inflation, and its economy has not been as resilient. The region started raising rates later than the U.S. and experienced more direct impacts of the war in Ukraine, so it’s understandable that they’d be a bit behind the curve in making progress.

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