Cocoa and OJ Futures Keep On Rolling

It was a slow day out there, so we’re back with everyone’s favorite topic: commodity futures. 🙃

At the end of August, we discussed cocoa futures following in orange juice futures’ footsteps and breaking out to new all-time highs. Since then, weather conditions and crop outlooks have not improved, causing prices to rise even further.

Today, both commodities made new all-time closing highs. It shows that although the overall inflation theme has flipped, several markets are still experiencing massive moves due to their own independent issues. 📈

Analysts are mixed on how high prices may go, but they tend to agree that a major supply/demand imbalance is taking place. Until that’s addressed, we may have to switch our breakfast items out for cheaper alternatives. 🤷

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Copper Crumbles Amid Recession Fears

If you’ve been consuming financial market-related content for a while, you’ve probably heard the phrase “Dr. Copper” at some point. Well, the doctor was in today, so let’s hear what he had to say. 👂

For those of you confused, market participants often refer to copper futures as “Dr. Copper.” The reasoning is that copper is an industrial metal critical for most aspects of global economic growth. As a result, investors and traders will often use copper futures as a liquid market to express their views of the economy. And for those that don’t trade it directly, they look at it as a barometer for the overall market’s economic outlook. 🧭

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Breakfast Is Getting More Expensive

Some say breakfast is the most important meal of the day. But unfortunately, the commodity markets are saying that prices to fill your bowls and cups each morning could be heading higher. 🥣

If we look at Finviz’s year-to-date performance chart for the major assets tracked by the futures markets, four of the top five gainers are agricultural commodities. Orange juice leads the pack, rising 84.53%, followed by sugar (+44.2%), Cocoa (+39.68%), and Oats (+30.10%). They’re only separated by the Nasdaq 100, which is up 36.91%.

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Cocoa Prices Go Loco

With Halloween coming up next week, some consumers will likely be shocked at the price of candy due to the elevated price of cocoa.  😱

The vital ingredient in chocolate is hitting its highest levels since 1979 as hotter and drier weather patterns stunt this year’s crop. Roughly 75% of global cocoa beans come from the Ivory Coast, Ghana, Cameroon, and Nigeria, where consistent temperatures, high humidity, abundant rain, and nitrogen-rich soil allow it to thrive. 

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