Citi No Longer Sees Bitcoin Hitting Record High This Year – Cuts Ethereum Outlook by Over $1,000

Citigroup lowered its 12-month price targets for Bitcoin and Ethereum, expecting both to remain below their historical highs.

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A sticker on the window of a local pub indicates the acceptance of Bitcoins for payment on April 11, 2013 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Sean Gallup/Getty Images)

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Prabhjote Gill · Stocktwits

Published Mar 17, 2026, 3:19 PM

BTC.X
  • Citigroup now expects Bitcoin to reach $112,000 and Ethereum to rise to $3,175 over the next year.
  • It cited slower progress on U.S. crypto legislation and weaker on-chain activity for its revision.
  • Citigroup said it expects ETF demand of $10 billion for Bitcoin and $2.5 billion for Ethereum over the next 12 months.
  • The bank assigned a 60% probability to U.S. digital asset legislation passing this year.

Citigroup has lowered its expectations for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) on Tuesday, with new price targets below the record highs seen by both leading cryptocurrencies in the last year.

The bank cut its 12-month price target for Bitcoin by $31,000 to $112,000, down from a prior forecast of $143,000. Its outlook for Ethereum was reduced by $1,139 to $3,175 from an earlier estimate of $4,304. For comparison, Bitcoin’s record high is above $126,000, reached in October last year, while Ethereum peaked at over $4,900 in August.

Slower Policy Progress, ETF Demand Weigh on Outlook

Citigroup cited slower progress on U.S. crypto legislation, subdued on-chain activity, and more cautious expectations for exchange-traded fund inflows as key reasons for the downgrade. 

The bank now expects 12-month ETF demand of about $10 billion for Bitcoin and $2.5 billion for Ethereum. It also assigns roughly a 60% probability to U.S. digital asset legislation passing this year.

Bitcoin, Ethereum Hold Strong Amid U.S.-Iran War

Bitcoin’s price gained 1.1% in the last 24 hours, trading at around $74,280. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the apex cryptocurrency remained in ‘bullish’ territory, while chatter rose to ‘normal’ from ‘low’ levels.

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BTC retail sentiment and message volume on March 17 as of 10:45 a.m. ET | Source: Stocktwits

Ethereum continued to outpace Bitcoin’s gains, up 2.6% in the last 24 hours to around $2,300. Retail sentiment around the leading altcoin on Stocktwits also trended in ‘bullish’ territory over the past day. Chatter remained at ‘high’ levels.

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ETH retail sentiment and message volume on March 17 as of 10:45 a.m. ET | Source: Stocktwits

The overall cryptocurrency market rose 1% over the last 24 hours, holding above $2.6 trillion even as the stock market remained volatile amid U.S. efforts to reopen shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Read also: Mastercard Beats Coinbase To $1.8 Billion BVNK Deal After Zerohash Talks Collapse

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