Arthur Hayes Says Bitcoin ‘Not In The Clear Yet’ After Surge Toward $74K

In a post on X, Hayes warned that Bitcoin has not yet fully decoupled from U.S. software technology stocks.

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Arthur Hayes speaks on stage during Bitcoin Conference 2023 at Miami Beach Convention Center on May 19, 2023 in Miami Beach, Florida. (Photo by Jason Koerner/Getty Images for Bitcoin Magazine)

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Prabhjote Gill · Stocktwits

Published Mar 5, 2026, 6:22 AM

BTC.X
  • The BitMEX co-founder said on X that Bitcoin’s rally might be a ‘dead cat bounce’ before the cryptocurrency dips again.
  • According to him, Bitcoin’s price has not fully decoupled from U.S. software technology stocks.
  • Bitcoin’s price was trading at around $72,400 on Wednesday night, paring gains after hitting an intraday high of nearly $74,000.

Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder and chief investment officer at Maelstrom, said on Wednesday that Bitcoin (BTC) has not yet fully decoupled from U.S. software technology stocks. 

“It could be a dead cat bounce,” he wrote on X after Bitcoin’s price nearly touched $74,000. “We aren’t in the clear yet. Be patient.” Hayes has repeatedly theorized that Bitcoin’s next record high will come once the Federal Reserve starts printing more money, whether prompted by a tech-stock crash or the U.S.-Iran war taking a toll on the economy.

 

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Source: @cryptohayes/X

Bitcoin Gains Trump Software Stocks

Bitcoin’s price was trading at around $72,400 on Wednesday night, still up 6.2% in the last 24 hours. It rose to nearly $74,000 for the first time since February 4 in intraday trade. Retail sentiment around the apex cryptocurrency on Stocktwits rose to ‘extremely bullish’ from ‘bullish’ over the past day. 

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BTC retail sentiment and message volume on March 5 as of 12:55 a.m. ET | Source: Stocktwits

Meanwhile, iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) edged 0.10% higher in overnight trade following gains of 1.825 in regular trade. Retail sentiment around the fund on Stocktwits remained in ‘bearish’ territory over the past day.

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IGV retail sentiment and message volume on March 5 as of 12:55 a.m. ET | Source: Stocktwits

What Is Retail Saying?

One Stocktwits user suggested a trend reversal may be forming in the software sector and said they are buying up more shares. 

Another user was wary of Bitcoin’s rally, warning that BTC’s move could resemble a bull trap similar to the market dynamics seen in 2022.

Bitcoin remains down by 17% year-to-date, while the IGV software ETF is down around 19%. Hayes has a price target of $250,000 on Bitcoin by the end of March, and sees the apex cryptocurrency hitting between $500,000 and $750,000 by the end of the year.

Read also: Dogecoin, Ethereum Outperform Bitcoin After $600 Million Liquidation Wave Hits Crypto Market

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