SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. engages in the semiconductor business. Its products include processors, accelerators, graphics, adaptive SoCs, FPGAs, and SOMs, and software, tools, and apps. The firm offers artificial intelligence, industries, workloads, and gaming solutions. The company was founded by W. J. Sanders III on May 1, 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc

AMD is currently seeing massive bullish options activity and upward price momentum, driven by strong institutional interest and anticipation of continued AI infrastructure demand. Community members are actively debating the sustainability of this rally, with many bulls targeting new all-time highs while skeptics highlight the company's valuation and the risks of overbought technical conditions.

Rumble, Inc. engages in operating an online neutral video platform. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Canada, and Other. The company was founded in October 2013 by Chris Pavlovski and is headquartered in Longboat Key, FL.

Rumble Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Rumble Inc

Rumble Inc. is seeing significant retail interest driven by its acquisition of Northern Data and strategic cloud and advertising partnerships with Tether, fueling speculation of a massive potential short squeeze given the stock's record-high short interest. Investors are closely monitoring these infrastructure-focused catalysts and the company's deepening ties to the broader Trump administration ecosystem as they anticipate a long-term re-rating.

Newcourt Acquisition Corp. is a blank check company, which engages in the purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses. The company was founded on February 25, 2021 and is headquartered in Oakland, CA.

Psyence Biomedical Ltd.

Psyence Biomedical is currently experiencing high volatility driven by a combination of low-float dynamics, recent corporate actions, and speculative retail interest. While some traders are focused on potential short-term squeeze opportunities, the broader community remains deeply divided, with vocal debates centered on concerns over dilution and history of reverse splits versus bullish sentiment regarding their cash reserves and psychedelic clinical trial pipeline.

Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd. engages in the provision of quantum computing solutions for enterprise and government customers. The company was founded by Christian Weedbrook on October 2, 2025 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Xanadu Quantum Technologies Ltd. - Ordinary Shares - Class B (Sub Voting)

Xanadu Quantum Technologies is trending as investors capitalize on the company's recent public listing and its position as a pure-play photonic quantum computing leader, fueled by speculative optimism regarding potential government funding and strategic industry partnerships. Community discourse is highly polarized, with bulls highlighting the firm's technological potential to reach commercial scale, while bears point to high debt levels, significant cash burn, and volatility typical of early-stage de-SPAC entries.

XRP is a decentralized digital asset and the native token of the XRP Ledger, a Layer 1 blockchain designed for high-performance global payments. Its primary value proposition is offering a fast, cost-effective alternative to traditional banking systems by enabling near-instant cross-border settlements that finalize in three to five seconds. By serving as a neutral bridge asset between different fiat currencies, it helps financial institutions lower liquidity costs and eliminates the need for pre-funded accounts.  The network is unique because it utilizes a federated consensus protocol instead of energy-intensive mining or staking. This system achieves deterministic finality through a Unique Node List of trusted validators who must reach an eighty percent agreement threshold to permanently record transactions. This infrastructure supports a sustained throughput of 1,500 transactions per second and includes a built-in decentralized exchange that allows for the automated trading of any tokenized asset without intermediaries.  The project traces its origins back to 2004 with Ryan Fugger before being co-founded in its modern form by Jed McCaleb and Chris Larsen. The company, now known as Ripple, works with major financial institutions as partners and investors to build global payment solutions. To protect the network from spam, a small amount of XRP is burned during every transaction, and the token is further utilized by institutions as collateral to access traditional markets and manage digital asset infrastructure.  Institutional adoption of the asset reached a major milestone in November 2025 when the SEC approved the first wave of spot XRP ETFs. These products, offered by major issuers including Bitwise, Grayscale, 21Shares, Canary Capital, and Franklin Templeton, are now listed on prominent exchanges like the NYSE Arca, Nasdaq, and Cboe BZX. While Ripple remains a key contributor to the ecosystem, the underlying XRP Ledger continues to operate as an open-source and decentralized network.

Ripple

XRP is trending amid optimism over the CLARITY Act's potential advancement in the Senate and new partnerships, though community sentiment remains split between bullish long-term holders and frustrated traders citing persistent price stagnation. Discussions are heavily focused on the asset's utility in cross-border settlements and whether upcoming regulatory clarity will finally serve as a catalyst for a sustained breakout.

GameStop Corp. engages in offering games and entertainment products through its ecommerce properties and stores. The firm’s stores and ecommerce sites operate primarily under the names GameStop, EB Games, and Micromania. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Canada, Australia, and Europe. The company was founded by Daniel A. DeMatteo in 1996 and is headquartered in Grapevine, TX.

Gamestop Corporation - Ordinary Shares - Class A

GameStop Corp

GameStop is gaining momentum as investors pivot toward the newly launched 'Power Packs' platform, which integrates verified digital collectibles with trading functionality. The community is actively monitoring technical breakout levels while debating whether this new product line will serve as a significant revenue catalyst amid ongoing speculation regarding potential strategic acquisitions and structural short squeeze potential.

Operates as a holding company with interest in providing social shopping platform solutions

WeShop Holdings Ltd - Ordinary Shares - Class A

WeShop Holdings Limited

WeShop Holdings is experiencing intense volatility and community speculation as traders bet on potential short squeeze setups driven by its micro-float status and high borrow fees. While some investors remain bullish on the company's business model and historical ability to gap up rapidly, others warn of significant risks, describing the price action as manipulative and characteristic of speculative pump-and-dump activity.

Navitas Semiconductor Corp. engages in the development of ultra-efficient gallium nitride (GaN) semiconductors. Its GaN power ICs integrate GaN power with drive, control and protection to enable charging, power density, and energy savings for mobile, consumer, enterprise, eMobility and new energy markets. The company was founded by Daniel Kinzer, Nick Fichtenbaum, Gene Sheridan, and Jason Zhang on August 12, 2020 and is headquartered in Torrance, CA.

Navitas Semiconductor Corp

Navitas Semiconductor is trending as traders speculate on potential partnerships at upcoming tech conferences and analyze the impact of new power chip technologies on AI data center infrastructure. The community is actively debating the stock's consolidation patterns, recent institutional buying activity, and the potential for a breakout driven by increased demand for energy-efficient semiconductor solutions.

Infleqtion, Inc. engages in delivering neutral atom solutions for quantum computing, networking, sensing, and security. Its products are categorized into computing, sensing, and cores. The company was founded on February 7, 2007, and is headquartered in Louisville, CO.

Infleqtion Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Infleqtion Inc.

Infleqtion is seeing high community engagement driven by its recent guidance of $40 million in revenue for 2026 and increasing analyst interest from major firms. Investors are actively debating the company's valuation relative to quantum peers, focusing on its strategic partnerships with NVIDIA and NASA as key indicators of long-term commercial potential.

Lucid Group, Inc. manufactures electric vehicles. It designs, develops, and builds energy storage systems for electric vehicles and supplies automakers with the battery pack system needed to power hybrid, plug-in, and electric vehicles. The company was founded in December 2007 and is headquartered in Newark, CA.

Lucid Group Inc

Lucid Group is facing intense downward pressure and hitting new lows, with the community actively debating whether the company faces a high risk of bankruptcy or represents a generational buying opportunity following fresh capital raises and a leadership change. Investors are sharply divided between skeptics highlighting recurring dilution and production struggles and bulls betting that long-term strategic backing and the forthcoming mainstream vehicle platform will eventually drive a massive turnaround.

statis crypto Watchlist

Bitcoin

Ethereum

Solana

Dogecoin

Cardano

statis IN Watchlist

Nifty 50

Nifty Bank

Reliance Industries Ltd.

Zomato Ltd.

Tata Consultancy Services

Tata Motors Ltd.

HDFC Bank Ltd.

ITC Ltd.

Adani Enterprises Ltd

Axis Bank Ltd

Bajaj Finance Ltd

statis US Watchlist

SPDR S&P 500 ETF

Apple Inc.

Tesla Inc

Microsoft Corporation

NVIDIA Corp

 Hey, I want to invite you to join Stocktwits. It’s the largest global community of active traders. You’ll get access to the real-time market insights, news, discussion and much more! You can sign up using my unique link below 
 


 has invited you to join Stocktwits

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The report said lawmakers believe sports betting on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket resembles gambling and bypasses state-level consumer protection.&nbsp;</li><li>Crypto exchanges, including Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken, have recently launched or announced plans to enter prediction markets.</li><li>Robinhood has already rolled out sports-related contracts through its partnership with Kalshi.</li></ul>A bipartisan pair of U.S. senators has reportedly introduced legislation targeting prediction markets, just as crypto exchanges including Coinbase (COIN), Gemini (GEMI), Kraken, and others are expanding into the fast-growing sector.According to a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/lawmakers-to-introduce-bipartisan-bill-banning-sports-bets-on-prediction-markets-17d2e272">report</a> by The Wall Street Journal, the bill introduced on Monday would prohibit Commodity Futures Trading&nbsp;Commission (CFTC)-regulated entities like Kalshi and Polymarket from listing contracts tied to sporting events. It said that the proposal marks the first bipartisan Senate effort to directly address prediction markets.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Senate Targets Sports Contracts On Prediction Platforms</h2>The report said lawmakers backing the bill argue that sports-related contracts on federally regulated platforms resemble traditional betting products while operating outside state-level gambling frameworks.“The CFTC is greenlighting these markets and even promoting their growth,” Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA) stated. “It’s time for Congress to step in and eliminate this backdoor, which violates state consumer protections, intrudes upon tribal sovereignty, and offers no public revenue.”The bill also extended beyond sports, seeking to prohibit “casino-style games” such as slot machines, blackjack, video poker, and bingo from being offered through these platforms, the report said.Sen. John Curtis (R-UT), who co-sponsored the bill, framed the issue around consumer exposure. “Too many young people in Utah are getting exposed to addictive sports betting and casino-style gaming contracts that belong under state control, not under federal regulators,” he said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Crypto Exchanges Accelerate Push Into Prediction Markets</h2>Both Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) have prediction markets and allow for sports betting on their platforms via partnerships with Kalshi. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has been pushing for Coinbase to become an “everything exchange” and recently&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/coinbase-reportedly-plans-prediction-markets-launch-with-kalshi/cLICp6DRE89">announced</a> USDC-funded trade on prediction markets in partnership with Kalshi. Meanwhile, Robinhood (HOOD) partnered with Kalshi to&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/robinhood-stock-surges-after-launch-of-prediction-markets-hu/ch7hgMzRbcd">launch</a> its prediction markets hub in March 2025 and introduced sports contracts in August 2025.The new legislation could put a dent in their plans to expand revenue streams beyond cryptocurrency trading, and stock trading, in Robinhood’s case. Coinbase and Robinhood are the only two listed companies operating prediction markets in partnership with Kalshi, but others have also expanded into the space.&nbsp;Gemini (GEMI), backed by the Winklevoss twins,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/gemini-beats-coinbase-to-market-as-prediction-markets/cLe7wveREoy">introduced</a> ‘Gemini Predictions’ in December 2025 for betting on sports events. Kraken, widely anticipated to go public this year, said it would launch prediction markets on its platform in 2026.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/COIN">COIN’s stock</a> was down 2.75% in pre-market trade amid broader weakness across the stock and cryptocurrency markets after fresh threats from President Donald Trump against Iran kept oil prices above the $100 mark. Meanwhile,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/GEMI">GEMI’s stock</a> fell 3.35%, and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/HOOD/">HOOD’s stock</a> was down 2.14% in early morning trade on Monday.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around COIN and HOOD remained in ‘bearish’ territory over the past day, while sentiment around GEMI improved to ‘neutral’ from the ‘bearish’ zone.&nbsp;Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/coinbase-launches-perpetual-futures-amid-hyperliquid-s-trading-boom/cZ3XY6pRILg">Coinbase Launches Perpetual Futures Amid Hyperliquid’s Trading Boom – MAG 7, SPY, QQQ In Lineup</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration, a person holds a smartphone displaying the Kalshi app icon, with the Kalshi branding visible in the background

Coinbase, Robinhood, Kraken Prediction Market Expansion Under Threat After Senate Reportedly Moves To Restrict Sector

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the legislation would prohibit sports-related contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.

Cryptocurrency

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the legislation would prohibit sports-related contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.


<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Senator Jeff Merkley stated that he first became concerned about prediction markets after a bettor on Polymarket won more than $400,000 by accurately predicting that the U.S. would remove Maduro.</li><li>He added that it was “extraordinarily likely” that somebody in the group of people who knew about the U.S. action leaked the information to a bettor on the prediction platform.</li><li>A New York Times analysis found more than 150 Polymarket accounts placed bets of over $1,000 predicting last Saturday’s U.S.–Israel strikes on Iran a day early.</li></ul>Democratic lawmakers&nbsp;led by Senators Jeff Merkley and Amy Klobuchar are reportedly set to introduce a bill banning the President, Vice President, and members of Congress from placing bets on prediction markets.According to a CNBC&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/05/prediction-markets-merkley-ban-iran.html">report</a>, the bill also seeks to ban senior executive branch officials from prediction markets, with fines starting at $10,000 for those found in violation of the rules.The bill comes at a time when major international events, such as the ouster of former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and the Iran war, have seen bets placed on prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket.“Members receive all sorts of tips and advice. The actual demonstration of insider trading is too difficult to be sufficient to address the problem. The problem becomes both real corruption … and the appearance of corruption and conflict of interest,” Merkley said during the interview.<h2 class="st-heading-2">The Venezuela Bet That Made Merkley Suspicious</h2>Merkley stated that he first became concerned about prediction markets after a bettor on Polymarket won more than $400,000 by accurately predicting that the U.S. would remove Maduro.“That was a case where you had the secretary of state saying ‘we didn’t notify Congress the way we’re supposed to under the law because we were too concerned about a leak,’” Merkley said during the interview.He added that it was “extraordinarily likely” that somebody in the group of people who knew about the U.S. action leaked the information to a bettor on the prediction platform.“This legislation strengthens the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s ability to go after bad actors and provides rules of the road to prevent those with confidential government or policy information from exploiting their access for financial gain,” Sen. Klobuchar said in a statement to CNBC.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Soaring Popularity Of Prediction Markets</h2>According to an&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/upshot/prediction-markets-iran-strikes.html">analysis</a> by The New York Times, a day before the joint U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran Saturday last week, more than 150 accounts placed bets of at least $1,000 on Polymarket, accurately predicting attacks on the Middle Eastern country.The analysis also showed that at least 16 accounts profited by more than $100,000 each, while at least 109 accounts made more than $10,000.One user reportedly took home nearly half a million dollars after placing bets worth over $60,000.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Israeli Army Reservists Arrested Over Suspicion Of Using Classified Information</h2>Earlier in February, the Israeli authorities arrested several army reservists and a civilian over suspicion of using classified information to place bets on an online prediction platform.Israeli authorities said that the charges came after an investigation into suspected gambling “based on classified information to which the reservists were exposed by virtue of their role in the army,” according to a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/12/world/middleeast/israel-army-reservists-classified-information-bets.html">report</a> by The New York Times.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Thursday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down 0.43%; the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) fell 0.56%; and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.72%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits regarding the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘neutral’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/berkshire-hathaway-ceo-greg-abel-purchases-15-million-stock/cZdQtjDRI34">Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel Loads Up On $15M In Stock, BRK Resumes Share Buybacks</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Ore., speaks during the Senate Democrats' news conference in the U.S. Capitol

Democrat Lawmakers Move To Ban Government Officials From Prediction Markets After Iran, Maduro Bets: Report

The bill comes at a time when major international events, such as the ouster of former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and the Iran war, have drawn bets on prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket.

Equity

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Paramount’s new bid comes after Warner Bros. received a seven-day waiver from Netflix last week to re-engage with the David Ellison-led company.</li><li>WBD announced on Tuesday that Paramount had sent a revised bid, while its board of directors reaffirmed its support for the Netflix offer.</li><li>Subsequently, WBD stated that Paramount raised its takeover offer to $31 per share, up from $30.</li></ul>The ongoing battle between Paramount Skydance Corp. (PSKY) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX) for acquiring Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (WBD) is intensifying, but bettors on prediction markets are clearly leaning toward one entertainment giant to win.The latest prediction market odds for the winner of the WBD acquisition saga follow Paramount's $ 31-per-share takeover offer, up from $30 per share.Paramount’s new bid comes after Warner Bros. received a seven-day waiver from Netflix last week to re-engage with the David Ellison-led company. WBD announced on Tuesday that Paramount had&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/wbd-confirms-receipt-of-paramounts-revised-bid-board-favors-netflix/cZRvyleR4CJ">sent a revised bid</a>, while its board of directors reaffirmed its support for the Netflix offer.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/WBD">Warner Bros. Discovery shares</a> were up 0.5% in Thursday’s pre-market trade, while&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/WBD">Paramount Skydance shares</a> rose 1%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits around the WBD trended in the ‘bullish’ territory, while users felt ‘extremely bullish’ about PSKY.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NFLX">Netflix shares</a> were up 2% at the time of writing, with retail sentiment trending in the ‘bullish’ territory on Stocktwits.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Prediction Markets Indicating?</h2>Popular prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show bettors are leaning toward Paramount as the winner in its battle with Netflix for WBD.At the time of writing, the odds of Paramount acquiring WBD before July 2027 stood at 56%, while only 36% believed Netflix could win.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Kalshi_WBD_jpg_78228dbe59.webp" alt="Kalshi prediction market bets on Warner Bros acquisition" width="898" height="454"><figcaption>Kalshi prediction market bets on Warner Bros acquisition | Kalshi</figcaption></figure>Users on Polymarket were less optimistic about Paramount’s chances, with only 46% believing it would win before June 2027, while 37% of the bets were in favor of Netflix.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Polymarket_WBD_jpg_dc5d29605c.webp" alt="Polymarket prediction market bets on Warner Bros acquisition" width="955" height="437"><figcaption>Polymarket prediction market bets on Warner Bros acquisition | Polymarket</figcaption></figure>The total bets on the two platforms stood at about $2.2 million at the time of writing.<h2 class="st-heading-2">WBD Says Paramount Offer ‘Reasonably Be Expected’ To Be Superior</h2>In an update on Tuesday, WBD announced that Paramount’s offer for the company could “reasonably be expected” to be superior to the one from Netflix.Paramount also reaffirmed that it will pay the $2.8 billion termination fee, which WBD would be required to pay to Netflix to terminate its existing merger agreement.Netflix’s offer assigns an enterprise value of $82.7 billion to WBD but excludes the spinoff company.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/WBD">WBD stock</a> is up 0.3% year-to-date, while&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/PSKY">PSKY stock</a> is down 24%, and NFLX stock is down 12%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/anthropic-claude-enterprise-ai-tools-software-cybersecurity-hr-investment-banking/cZRyaCIRIGk">Anthropic Expands Enterprise AI Arsenal With Autonomous Tools Ahead Of Widely Expected IPO</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration a man holds a iPhone, that shows Netflix, Warner Bros and Paramount streaming apps on his phone screen

Who Will Acquire Warner Bros, Paramount Or Netflix? Prediction Markets Think This Company May Win The Battle

The latest prediction market odds for the winner of the WBD acquisition saga come after Paramount raised its takeover offer to $31 per share, up from $30 per share.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>According to a Bloomberg report, President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Thursday that 10 to 15 days was “pretty much” the maximum amount of time he would give for negotiations for a nuclear deal with Iran.</li><li>Despite the burgeoning U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, bettors on Polymarket think that the odds of a strike on Iran over the next month are 50:50 at most.</li><li>During an address at a Board of Peace event on Thursday, President Trump said that the next 10 days will show whether the U.S.-Iran tussle escalates or a deal is struck.</li></ul>Prediction markets are buzzing with activity over the prospect of a U.S. strike on Iran after President Donald Trump&nbsp;gave the Middle Eastern country 10 to 15 days to strike a nuclear deal.According to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-19/pentagon-amasses-mideast-force-as-trump-threatens-iran-on-talks?srnd=homepage-americas">report</a>, President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Thursday that 10 to 15 days was “pretty much” the maximum amount of time he would give for negotiations for a nuclear deal with Iran.“We’re either going to get a deal, or it’s going to be unfortunate for them,” he added.Amid this, the U.S. military has deployed a vast array of forces in the Middle East, comprising fighter jets, refueling tankers, and two aircraft carriers, according to the report.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Prediction Markets Indicating?</h2>Despite the burgeoning U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, bettors on Polymarket think that the odds of a strike on Iran over the next month are 50:50 at most.At the time of writing, the odds of a strike on Iran between February 20 and March 7 were in the range of 2% to 42%. March 15 is the first time these odds reach 50%. Thereafter, the odds continue to climb, reaching 76% by the end of the year.Bettors on Kalshi are pessimistic about the U.S. and Iran striking a nuclear deal, which would avert a strike.The odds of a deal being struck before April plummeted 39 percentage points over the past 24 hours, falling to 27%. The chances of a deal before August 2026 are even lower, at just 16%. Bettors are slightly more optimistic that the deal will be reached before 2027, at 48%.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Kalshi_Iran_jpg_9fb2274a96.webp" alt="Kalshi prediction market bets on U.S.-Iran nuclear deal on Feb. 20" width="897" height="451"><figcaption>Kalshi prediction market bets on U.S.-Iran nuclear deal on Feb. 20 | Kalshi</figcaption></figure>The total betting volumes on Polymarket regarding a U.S. strike on Iran stood at a staggering $323 million, while Kalshi users placed bets worth $189,000 about the odds of a nuclear deal.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump’s Warning To Iran</h2>During an address at a Board of Peace event on Thursday, President Trump said that the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-will-find-out-next-10-days-iran-step-futher-or-nuclear-deal/cZRkRUKR4Dd">next 10 days</a> will show whether the U.S.-Iran tussle escalates or a deal is struck.“Now we may have to take it a step further, or we may not. Maybe we're going to make a deal. You're going to be finding out over the next probably 10 days,” he said.Rafael Mariano Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, also&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/iaea-chief-warns-iran-not-much-time-left-as-trump-warns-of-consequences/cZRjHiQR4wt">warned</a> on Thursday that the window for Iran to strike a nuclear deal is at risk of closing.“There is not much time, but we are working on something concrete. There are a couple of solutions the IAEA has proposed,” Grossi said.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Friday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, edged lower by 0.01%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 0.03%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.07%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 0.17% at the time of writing, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) rose 0.02%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-will-find-out-next-10-days-iran-step-futher-or-nuclear-deal/cZRkRUKR4Dd">US-Iran Tensions: Trump Says Next 10 Days Will Show Whether United States Takes It A 'Step Further' Or Makes A Deal</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

U.S. President Donald Trump, pictured in the Oval Office, on September 25, 2025. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Will US Strike Iran Anytime Soon Given Trump's 10-Day Window For More Clarity? Here's What Bettors Think Amid The Military Build-Up In Middle East

The U.S. military has reportedly deployed a vast array of forces in the Middle East, comprising fighter jets, refueling tankers, and two aircraft carriers.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>In an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal, Michael Selig stated that event contracts qualify as “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act and are subject to federal oversight.</li><li>According to him, there are currently nearly 50 state cases arguing that event contracts constitute gambling and fall under state law.</li><li>Selig said the agency will defend federally registered exchanges, including Polymarket, Kalshi, and Coinbase, against such state-level litigation.</li></ul>Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Michael Selig said the agency will “no longer sit idly by” while state governments pursue litigation against federally registered exchanges, including Polymarket, Kalshi, and Coinbase (COIN).The CFTC is starting out with a “friend-of-the-court” filing on Tuesday in support of Crypto.com in the Ninth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, according to an opinion piece&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/states-encroach-on-prediction-markets-6eb43af9">written</a> for The Wall Street Journal.“The most common allegation is that these contracts are a form of gambling and therefore subject to state laws,” Selig wrote, noting that nearly 50 state-level cases are currently pending against CFTC-registered exchanges.&nbsp;<blockquote>“The CFTC will no longer sit idly by while overzealous state governments undermine the agency’s exclusive jurisdiction over these markets by seeking to establish statewide prohibitions on these exciting products.”&nbsp;Michael Selig, Chairman, Commodity Futures Trading Commission&nbsp;</blockquote><h2 class="st-heading-2">The Legal Battle Over Prediction Markets</h2>Selig maintained that event contracts serve legitimate economic purposes. According to him, they allow businesses and individuals to hedge risks tied to specific developments, help investors manage exposure, and generate market-based signals about future outcomes.“Farmers can manage risk related to temperature changes that may affect crops, and small-business owners can hedge against tax increases or energy-price spikes, to name two examples,” he wrote.He added that exchanges like Coinbase aren’t the “Wild West,” but self-regulatory organizations that are examined and supervised by experienced CFTC staff. Under the Commodity Exchange Act, Selig argued, event contracts qualify as “swaps.”&nbsp;Selig noted that futures, swaps, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were once new products, but Congress granted the CFTC broad authority to oversee derivatives markets. Just because something is new doesn’t mean courts can reinterpret the law, he wrote.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Crypto Moves In Washington</h2>Selig’s move comes amid stalled negotiations in Washington over the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act). The Senate Agriculture Committee, which oversees matters tied to the CFTC’s jurisdiction, advanced its portion of the bill in January. The Senate Banking Committee’s section, which falls under the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), remains stalled.The intervention also follows the CFTC's announcement of an expanded 35-member crew to run the Innovation Advisory Committee (IAC), which added Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong to its roster alongside the leaders of Ripple, Robinhood, and Bullish.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/COIN">COIN’s stock</a> moved 1% higher after hours on Monday, building on Friday’s 16% rally sparked by its earnings call, though&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/coinbase-post-earnings-rebound-faces-a-wary-wall-street/cZR5pXqR4sr">analysts remained cautious</a> in their outlook. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the cryptocurrency exchange remained in ‘extremely bullish’ territory amid ‘extremely high’ levels of chatter over the past day.&nbsp;Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/shark-tank-kevin-o-leary-says-bitcoin-crash-cleared-out-poo-poo-coins/cZRW7xKR4Mo">Shark Tank’s Kevin O’Leary Says Crypto Crash Cleared Out ‘Poo Poo’ Coins – Only Bitcoin, Ethereum Matter Now</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Michael Selig, Chairman and Commissioner of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, on Wednesday, November 19, 2025. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

Michael Selig Says CFTC Won’t Sit ‘Idly By’ As States Target Coinbase, Polymarket – First Court Filing Tuesday 

The CFTC plans to file a “friend-of-the-court” brief supporting Crypto.com in the Ninth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals on Tuesday.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Data from popular prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show that bets regarding the Supreme Court’s potential decision are now worth over $9 million.</li><li>On Kalshi, users think there is a 30% chance that the Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump tariffs by 2028.</li><li>On Polymarket, bettors think there is a slightly lower chance of a positive ruling for the Trump administration, with 28% expecting a ruling in President Trump’s favor.</li></ul>The U.S. Supreme Court has reportedly set February 20 as the next opinion day as it returns after a four-week recess, amid the ongoing case regarding President Donald Trump’s tariff policy.According to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-13/supreme-court-schedules-opinions-on-feb-20-as-tariff-case-looms">report</a>, the SCOTUS is&nbsp;also expected to issue opinions on February 24 and 25, in addition to those scheduled for February 20. Hearings in the Trump tariffs case were held in November 2025.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Predicting Markets Indicating?</h2>Data from popular prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show that bets regarding the Supreme Court’s potential decision are now worth over $9 million. While Kalshi volumes show bets worth more than $5 million, Polymarket bets had reached nearly $4.4 million at the time of writing.Data from Kalshi shows that users think there is a 30% chance the Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump's tariffs by 2028.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Kalshi_tariffs_jpg_613b2fc839.webp" alt="Kalshi prediction market bets on Supreme Court tariffs case on Feb. 13" width="866" height="468"><figcaption>Kalshi prediction market bets on Supreme Court tariffs case on Feb. 13 | Kalshi</figcaption></figure>On Polymarket, bettors think there is a slightly lower chance of a positive ruling for the Trump administration, with 28% expecting a ruling in President Trump’s favor. Both the bets require an official announcement from the Supreme Court.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Polymarket_tariffs_jpg_c1d80d9584.webp" alt="Polymarket prediction market bets on Supreme Court tariffs case on Feb. 13" width="951" height="471"><figcaption>Polymarket prediction market bets on Supreme Court tariffs case on Feb. 13 | Polymarket</figcaption></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump Tariffs Draw Skepticism From Conservative Justices</h2>At a November hearing, Trump's tariffs&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-tariffs-case-supreme-court/cL2q8jQREG6">drew skepticism</a> from conservative justices, with Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Amy Coney Barrett questioning whether the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) authorized President Trump to impose emergency tariffs.Chief Justice Roberts also said that Congress has the “core power” when it comes to tax regulation, while rejecting the Trump administration’s claim that tariffs are not taxes.In January, President Trump&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-600-billion-tariffs-ahead-of-supreme-court-decision/cmxMoQaR4bC">stated</a> that the U.S. would soon receive more than $600 billion in tariffs. He called the upcoming Supreme Court’s tariff decision “one of the most important ever” in the apex court’s history.Meanwhile, U.S. equities gained in Friday’s midday trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.68%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 0.88%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) gained 0.48%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/us-consumer-inflation-january-2026-cpi-report/cZR5t5IR4sz">CPI Report: Annual Inflation Rate Comes In At 2.4% In January, Below Wall Street Expectations</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A trade court ruled in late May that Trump tariffs were illegal but its ruling was since then stayed by an appeals court:.

Supreme Court Reportedly Sets February 20 As Next Opinion Day Amid Ongoing Trump Tariffs Case — Here Are The Latest Prediction Market Odds

According to a Bloomberg report, the SCOTUS is also expected to issue opinions on February 24 and 25, in addition to those scheduled for February 20.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour also played down criticism of the company over concerns of insider trading.</li><li>He added that, as a regulated financial market overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Kalshi must follow the same rules as the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange.</li><li>Mansour also said that Kalshi has the same enforcement mechanism as the Nasdaq and the NYSE.</li></ul>Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour reportedly said on Tuesday that Super Bowl trading volumes on the platform soared 2,700% this year and crossed $1 billion.During an interview with&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/10/kalshi-super-bowl.html">CNBC</a>, Mansour stated that halftime performer Bad Bunny’s opening song crossed the $100 million mark in terms of trading volumes on the platform.“It was an incredible weekend. Kalshi was the biggest brand of the Super Bowl this year, without running a Super Bowl ad, and the way we achieved that is the product,” Mansour said.Kalshi is a regulated exchange and prediction market that allows users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Some examples include the Federal Reserve’s&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/will-fed-cut-rates-this-week-january-2026-cme-fedwatch-experts/cmy7uWFR4h7">rate cuts</a>, the race for the central bank’s&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/bessent-trump-fed-chair-decision-next-week-what-betting-markets-show/cmUumaVR4aY">Chair position</a>, and the U.S.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/will-us-government-shutdown-saturday-trump-warns-it-could-be-damaging/cmySKxFR4Sc">government shutdown</a>.The Seattle versus New England game alone saw trading volumes of $500 million.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Kalshi_jpg_4ba9601d9e.webp" alt="Kalshi trading volumes for the Seattle versus New England game during Super Bowl LX" width="1167" height="818"><figcaption>Kalshi trading volumes for the Seattle versus New England game during Super Bowl LX | Kalshi</figcaption></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">Mansour Plays Down Criticism</h2>The Kalshi chief also played down criticism of the company over concerns of insider trading.“The insider trading risk is very real for the stock market as well,” Mansour said in the interview.He added that, as a regulated financial market overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi must follow the same rules as the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange. Mansour also said that Kalshi has the same enforcement mechanism as the Nasdaq and the NYSE.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Kalshi’s Expanded Surveillance Efforts</h2>The predictions platform announced expanded surveillance efforts a week before this year’s Super Bowl.Kalshi formed an independent surveillance advisory committee and new trading surveillance partnerships with Solidus Labs and Daniel Taylor, Director of the Wharton Forensic Analytics Lab.“Kalshi was the first to regulate prediction markets in America. We’re now bringing on some of the industry’s leading surveillance experts to build and guide the future of prediction market compliance,” said Kalshi’s Head of Enforcement, Robert DeNault.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/paramount-skydance-enhances-warner-bros-bid/cZbU7mJR4pG">Paramount Skydance Enhances $30 Per Share Bid For Warner Bros Discovery</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Kalshi CEO Says Super Bowl Trading Volumes Soared 2,700% This Year, Crossing $1B: Report

During an interview with CNBC, Mansour stated that halftime performer Bad Bunny’s opening song crossed the $100 million mark in terms of trading volumes on the platform.

In this photo illustration, the High Roller Technologies logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen.

ROLR Stock Chases Another Winning Day As Prediction-Market Bet Keeps Paying Off

A responsible-gambling push in Ontario and aggressive 2026 growth plans keep momentum roaring.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The app allows users to express views on major financial, cultural, and sports-related events by buying or selling event-based contracts.</li><li>The contracts are priced between $0.01 and $0.99.</li><li>Earlier on Monday, Coinbase Global acquired The Clearing Company to strengthen its prediction markets push.</li></ul>FanDuel, part of Flutter Entertainment (FLUT), and CME Group (CME), on Monday, announced the launch of the FanDuel Predicts mobile application in five U.S. states, marking the start of a phased national rollout.This is part of a tie-up between Flutter Entertainment and CME Group to launch products allowing users to wager as little as $1 on financial market outcomes.FanDuel Predicts is set to debut in Alabama, Alaska, South Carolina, North Dakota, and South Dakota, with broader expansion planned over the coming months and into early 2026. The app allows users to express views on major financial, cultural, and sports-related events by buying or selling event-based contracts. Contracts are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, enabling users to take a position by selecting “Yes” or “No” on whether an event will occur.The platform will offer contracts tied to financial benchmarks such as the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq-100, commodities including oil, gas, and gold, cryptocurrencies, and key economic indicators such as GDP and inflation. Sports-related contracts will also be available in states where online sports betting remains illegal, excluding tribal lands. As states legalize sports betting, those contracts will be removed.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/FLUT">Flutter shares</a> gained 1% on Monday, while <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/CME">CME stock</a> was up 1.5%.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Prediction Markets Boom</h2>The move comes as companies expand wagering and trading into a broader range of event-based markets, including economic and political outcomes, sports, and cryptocurrencies. Platforms including Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have already gained traction in this space.Last week, DraftKings (DKNG) launched a prediction app called DraftKings Predictions, starting with sports and financial markets.Earlier on Monday, Coinbase Global (COIN) announced a deal to acquire The Clearing Company to strengthen its push into prediction markets. Coinbase said the acquisition will help scale its offering and support its ambition to become an “Everything Exchange.”<h2 class="st-heading-2">How Did Stocktwits Users React?</h2>Retail sentiment for Flutter on Stocktwits remained in the ‘neutral’ territory over the past 24 hours, while sentiment for CME Group remained ‘bearish’ in the same period.Year-to-date, Flutter shares have declined around 13%.Read also: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/adea-stock-rallied-30-today-what-s-the-disney-connection/cLeFNSMREMp">ADEA Stock Rallied 30% Today – What’s The Disney Connection?</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A FanDuel logo is pictured at a baseball game on April 17, 2024 at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Joseph Weiser/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Flutter Unit FanDuel Launches New Prediction App In Five States Ahead Of National Rollout

FanDuel Predicts app will debut in Alabama, Alaska, South Carolina, North Dakota, and South Dakota, with broader expansion planned over the coming months and into early 2026.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>DraftKings’ entry into the predictions market comes after the company acquired Railbird Technologies, a federally regulated prediction market, in October.</li><li>Following the acquisition, Jefferies stated that it believes an offering in predictions is necessary to enter states in which online sports betting is illegal.</li><li>The Boston, Massachusetts-based company, known for its fantasy sports offerings, announced that its prediction markets launch is subject to oversight by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).</li></ul>DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) on Friday announced its entry into prediction markets with the launch of a dedicated app, beginning with sports and finance, taking on similar offerings from Kalshi and Polymarket.The Boston, Massachusetts-based company, known for its fantasy sports offerings, announced that its prediction markets launch comes under the oversight of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).Named DraftKings Predictions, the service is a standalone web and mobile app that allows users to trade on real-world outcomes across a wide range of markets, beginning with sports and finance, before expanding to other categories.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Railbird Acquisition</h2>DraftKings’ entry into the predictions market comes after the company acquired Railbird Technologies, a federally regulated prediction market, in October.“Along with our operational footprint, marketing and analytics infrastructure, and advanced in-house technology, we believe we are uniquely positioned to lead this space over the long term,” said Corey Gottlieb, chief product officer of DraftKings.Following the acquisition, Jefferies&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/draft-kings-stock-soars-on-railbird-deal-draws-investor-attention-as-jefferies-cheers/cLG5IQER3qP">stated</a> that it believes an offering in predictions is necessary to enter states where online sports betting is illegal.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Taking On Kalshi, Polymarket</h2>The launch of a predictions market will allow DraftKings to compete with Kalshi and Polymarket.Kalshi is currently valued at $11 billion, while rival Polymarket was&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://news.kalshi.com/p/kalshi-11-billion-valuation-series-e">reportedly</a> eyeing a valuation of $12 billion to $15 billion. Both Kalshi and Polymarket allow users to bet on a wide range of topics, including sports, politics, and other real-world events.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DKNG">DKNG stock</a> is down 7% year-to-date and 12% over the past 12 months.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/el-erian-employment-decoupling-from-gdp-due-to-ai/cLeiHPbREs4">El-Erian Sees A New ‘Unsettling’ Economic Risk Emerging In 2026 – And It’s Not Inflation Or Affordability</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration, the logo of DraftKings Inc. is displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images)

DraftKings Takes On Kalshi, Polymarket With New Prediction App In A Push Beyond Sports Betting

Named DraftKings Predictions, the service is a standalone web and mobile app product that allows users to trade on real-world outcomes across a wide range of markets.

KALSHI
Kalshi

Latest KALSHI News

KALSHIKalshi

Latest KALSHI News

KALSHI
Kalshi