Election-Driven Volatility Boosts Interest in Share CFDs

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Jon Stojan·Stocktwits Contributor
Updated Jul 02, 2025 | 8:31 PM GMT-04
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With the U.S. election approaching, the market is experiencing significant volatility, impacting different sectors in varying ways. Share CFDs, or Contracts for Difference on shares, have become a favored tool for traders looking to capitalize on election-driven fluctuations. This trading option allows you to speculate on individual stock movements without owning the shares themselves, making it a flexible approach for those aiming to leverage the volatility tied to the election.

 

Why Traders Turn to Share CFDs During Election Season

Trading Share CFDs offers distinct advantages:

- Leverage: You can open larger positions with a smaller capital outlay.

- Flexibility: CFDs allow you to trade in both rising and falling markets, maximizing your options in unpredictable times.

- Targeted Approach: Unlike indices or ETFs, Share CFDs enable you to focus on individual companies likely to benefit from specific election outcomes.

Expert Insight: Justin Grossbard, co-founder of CompareForexBrokers.com, notes that “Share CFDs offer a level of sector-specific exposure that allows traders to react directly to political events like the U.S. election, where certain stocks respond uniquely based on policy impacts.”

 

Sectors and Stocks Affected by Election Outcomes

Election-driven volatility has sharpened the focus on specific stocks and sectors, with companies positioned to benefit differently based on who wins the White House. Here’s a breakdown:

- If Trump Wins:

1) Energy: Traditional oil and gas companies could see gains due to policies favoring deregulation. Stocks like ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX) may benefit.

2) Defense: Increased defense spending might push up stocks for companies like Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NOC).

3) Financials: A Trump administration may favor deregulation in the financial sector, potentially benefiting banks like JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC).

 

- If Harris Wins:

1) Renewable Energy: Companies focused on green energy, such as Tesla (TSLA) and NextEra Energy (NEE), could benefit from policies favoring renewable energy.

2) Healthcare: Proposals to expand healthcare access could support companies like UnitedHealth Group (UNH) and CVS Health (CVS).

3) Tech and Telecom: Policies supporting tech innovation and digital infrastructure might boost companies like Alphabet (GOOGL) and AT&T (T).

 

Growth and Trends in the Global CFD Market

According to a recent report from Global Market Estimates, the global CFD market is anticipated to grow at a 4.3% CAGR from 2023 to 2028. This growth is attributed to several key factors:

- Low Margin Requirements: CFDs require less capital than traditional stock ownership, attracting individual traders.

- Diverse Product Offerings: Traders can engage with CFDs across sectors like shares, commodities, and currencies.

- Mobile Trading Surge: App-based trading platforms now dominate the market, making it easier for traders to respond to real-time market changes.

 

Platform Preferences: App vs. Web-Based Trading

- App-Based Platforms: These dominate the market due to convenience and quick access, allowing traders to track markets and make decisions instantly.

- Web-Based Platforms: This segment is growing rapidly, offering broader accessibility across devices and appealing to both new and experienced traders.

 

The Global Landscape of CFD Trading

- North America: This region holds the largest share of the CFD market, driven by a mature financial infrastructure and regulatory confidence.

- Asia-Pacific: Expected to grow the fastest, with emerging financial centers in cities like Singapore and Shanghai. Advancements in technology and a booming financial sector make this region appealing for CFD traders.

 

Key Risks in CFD Trading

Despite its advantages, CFD trading is not without risk:

- Leverage Risk: The use of leverage means losses can be substantial if trades don’t go as planned.

- Regulatory Changes: Shifts in regulations can impact the availability and ease of trading CFDs in certain regions.

- Market Manipulation: Lack of transparency and the potential for market manipulation in certain CFD markets pose additional risks.

 

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This post was authored by an external contributor and does not represent the opinions of “Stocktwits” and has not been edited for content.  The information contained above is provided for informational and educational purposes only, and nothing contained herein should be construed as investment advice. “Stocktwits”  does not make any recommendation to buy or sell any security or any representation about the financial condition of any company.

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