We Asked Retail About Their 2025 Outlook On Crude As The Commodity Hit 4-Year Lows: Here’s What They Said

Recessionary concerns have dragged crude oil prices to four-year lows as investors fear a slowdown in economic growth exacerbated by the Trump administration’s tariff plans. 

At the time of writing, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures were trading at $59.3 a barrel, down nearly 4.9%, after settling at $62.95 on Wednesday – the lowest level since January 2021.

Currently, WTI crude is down more than 16% since Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs took effect on April 2.

However, with the administration announcing a temporary pause of 90 days on reciprocal tariffs, WTI crude futures settled 5.7% higher on Wednesday.

According to Goldman Sachs analysts, WTI crude’s current price is slightly higher than the projected $58 barrel price.

Meanwhile, retail investors on Stocktwits are not as worried about growth prospects. According to an ongoing poll, 43% of the nearly 2,000 respondents believe that growth fears are “overblown.”

A third of the respondents are bearish as they anticipate a global recession ahead.

Sixteen percent of the respondents admitted they have “no clue” and are just trading the volatility, while 8% are avoiding the energy sector altogether.

Amid recession concerns and escalating tariff wars, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which tracks the S&P 500 index, edged lower by over 4% on Thursday.

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Also See: Dow Drops 1000 Points After Historic Rally On Tariff Pause: White House Says It's Close To Trade Deals With 15 Countries