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Northrop Grumman Corp. (NOC) stock is heading for a second straight weekly decline after losing the U.S. Navy’s F/A-XX fighter contract to Boeing Co. (BA), but Bank of America remains constructive, calling any near-term weakness potentially attractive as Northrop retains major defense programs.
Northrop Grumman stock inched 0.3% higher in Thursday’s premarket. The stock is down 5.3% so far this week and 10% in September, marking its worst month since April.
BofA called Boeing winning a major U.S. Navy fighter jet contract over Northrop Grumman as “disappointing”. However, the firm said Northrop still has several major defense programs that could support its business.
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BofA highlighted Northrop’s involvement in the B-21 Raider bomber, Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile program and several other defense initiatives. Those projects give the company a substantial pipeline of work even without the latest Navy fighter award.
The firm also said it would not be surprised if Northrop challenges the Navy’s decision. A formal protest could create another development for investors to monitor following the contract announcement. BofA indicated that a near-term decline in the stock could create an opportunity to enter the position, while reiterating its ‘Buy’ recommendation.
The over $20 billion deal strengthens Boeing’s position in military aviation after it also won the Air Force’s F-47 fighter program in 2025. The company is also seeing potential progress with its Starliner spacecraft, although its commercial aviation business still faces challenges.
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The F/A-XX will eventually replace older F/A-18 fighter aircraft and operate alongside the F-35C on Navy aircraft carriers. The Navy expects the new jets to begin entering service in the 2030s.
On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the stock remained in ‘bearish’ territory.
A user said, “I don't think the government's selection was the best option for the American defense industry. My guess is Boeing had better lobbyists.”
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Another user said, “NGAD award literally doesn't matter. NOC reported a backlog of 40-60bil last annual shareholders meeting.”
NOC stock has declined 15% year-to-date.
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