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Rising Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve tightening are weighing on the S&P 500, with traders debating whether the pressure signals a deeper selloff or a temporary dip to buy. The bearish rate concerns are countered by calls to buy the pullback and optimism around U.S.-China trade talks.

Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications. It builds technology that helps people connect and share, find communities, and grow businesses. It operates through the Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL) segments. The FoA segment consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and other services. The RL segment includes augmented, mixed and virtual reality related consumer hardware, software, and content. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004, and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

Meta Platforms Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Meta Platforms Inc

Metas Connect showcase of its Muse AI agent and new glasses and VR hardware is driving attention, with traders debating whether the products can create meaningful adoption and revenue or are overhyped, privacy-sensitive bets. The conversation also centers on a possible sell the news pullback after a sharp rally, alongside bullish views that Muses integration across Metas platforms could strengthen its consumer AI position.

CoreWeave, Inc. engages in the powers of the creation and delivery of the intelligence that drives innovation. It offers a solution used by organizations of all sizes that require sophisticated AI computing, from the largest of enterprises to small, well-funded start-ups. The company was founded by Michael Intrator, Brian Venturo, Peter Salanki, and Brannin McBee on September 21, 2017 and is headquartered in Livingston, NJ.

CoreWeave Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

CoreWeave Inc

CoreWeaves upsized convertible-note financing and potential share sales are driving concern about debt and dilution, with traders linking the overhang to sharp, volatile price moves. Bulls argue the capital can fund expansion against strong AI-compute demand and a large backlog, while bears question whether growth will justify the financing burden.

iShares Trust - iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

A sharp rise in Treasury yields, fueled by inflation concerns and expectations of further Fed tightening, is weighing on TLTs long-duration bonds. Traders are largely bearish and debating whether the selloff has further to run, while some are buying in anticipation of a yield reversal.

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. engages in the semiconductor business. Its products include processors, accelerators, graphics, adaptive SoCs, FPGAs, and SOMs, and software, tools, and apps. The firm offers artificial intelligence, industries, workloads, and gaming solutions. The company was founded by W. J. Sanders III on May 1, 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc.

Advanced Micro Devices Inc

AMDs sharp rally to a record valuation has fueled debate over whether AI and agentic-workload demandparticularly growing CPU needscan support further gains. Bulls cite strong momentum and AI opportunities, while skeptics warn the run has left the stock overbought and vulnerable to profit-taking amid higher yields and weakness in semiconductors.

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 - Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Rising Treasury yields and concern that strong economic data and hawkish Fed signals could bring further rate hikes are weighing on QQQs growth-heavy technology holdings. Traders are split between expecting more downside as yields climb and buying sharp rebounds, describing choppy and volatile trading.

Infleqtion, Inc. engages in delivering neutral atom solutions for quantum computing, networking, sensing, and security. Its products are categorized into computing, sensing, and cores. The company was founded on February 7, 2007, and is headquartered in Louisville, CO.

Infleqtion Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Infleqtion Inc.

Traders are focused on reports that Infleqtion reached 30 entangled logical qubits on its commercial quantum system, with many viewing the claimed ability to use the qubits together as a major technical milestone. The announcements status is uncertain in the discussion, and some traders are waiting for official confirmation or further details from company events, while others question how the achievement compares with competitors.

BlackBerry Ltd. engages in the provision of intelligent security software and services. It operates through the following segments: QNX, Secure Communications, and Licensing. The QNX segment includes development of safe and reliable software for embedded systems across technology-driven industries. The Secure Communications segment delivers operational resiliency with a government-grade portfolio of secure, certified solutions for mobile fortification, critical communications and crisis management. The Licensing segment focuses on management and monetization of the firm's global patent portfolio. The company was founded by Michael Lazaridis, James Laurence Balsillie, and Douglas E. Fregin on March 7, 1984 and is headquartered in Waterloo, Canada.

BlackBerry Ltd

BlackBerry is drawing attention ahead of its quarterly results after QNXs Alloy Kore platform secured its first design win with Coretura, adding a substantial estimated royalty backlog and reinforcing the automotive and physical-AI growth story. Bulls see commercial validation, while skeptics note that backlog is not current revenue and want evidence of conversion and stronger guidance; broader market weakness is also weighing on sentiment.

Lockheed Martin Corp. is a global security and aerospace company, which engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration, and sustainment of technology systems, products, and services. It operates through the following business segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. The Aeronautics segment researches, designs, develops, manufactures, integrates, sustains, supports, and upgrades advanced military aircraft, including combat and air mobility aircraft, unmanned air vehicles, and related technologies. The MFC segment is involved in air and missile defense systems, tactical missiles and air-to-ground precision strike weapon systems, logistics, fire control systems, mission operations support, readiness, engineering support and integration services, manned and unmanned ground vehicles, and energy management solutions. The RMS segment designs, manufactures, services, and supports various military and commercial helicopters, surface ships, sea and land-based missile defense systems, radar systems, sea and air-based mission and combat systems, command and control mission solutions, cyber solutions, and simulation and training solutions. The Space segment includes the production of satellites, space transportation systems, and strategic, advanced strike, and defensive systems. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Bethesda, MD.

Lockheed Martin Corp.

Lockheed Martin is drawing attention for rising missile and interceptor orders and plans to expand production as the U.S. replenishes depleted stockpiles, reinforcing optimism around its backlog and long-term defense demand. Traders are divided because the shares have faced selling despite those catalysts, with concerns about valuation, budgets, and whether contract growth will translate into stronger results.

Energy Fuels, Inc. is a mining development company, which engages in the exploration and evaluation of uranium and vanadium properties. It operates through the following segments: Uranium, Rare Earth Elements (REE), and Heavy Mineral Sands (HMS). The uranium segment engages in conventional and ISR uranium extraction, recovery and sales of uranium from mineral properties and the recycling of uranium-bearing materials generated by third parties along with the exploration, permitting and evaluation of uranium properties in the U.S. The REE segment is engaged in the company’s initiatives to progress towards full REE separation capabilities at the Mill to produce both light and heavy separated REE oxides in the coming years. The HMS segment engages in the exploration, development and recovery of HMS at the Kwale Project, Bahia Project, Vara Mada Project and the company’s equity method investments in the Donald Project JV and Tate. The company was founded by George E. L. Glasier and John David Mason on June 24, 1987 and is headquartered in Lakewood, CO.

Energy Fuels Inc

UUUU is drawing attention amid a steep, persistent selloff, with traders saying it has lagged uranium and rare-earth peers and questioning its weakness even when those groups rebounded. The community variously blames broader critical-minerals risk around U.S.China talks, interest-rate concerns, high capital needs, and short selling, while some holders view the decline as a buying opportunity.

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Neutral Sentiment

Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
Drop a comment with when you expect the first cut/hike to be.

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