$GCTS Analysts are completely asleep at the wheel projecting $1.3M for Q3. They are pricing in baseline IP licensing and totally ignoring the commercial product ramp. Management explicitly guided that the direct-to-satellite hardware shipments commence in the second half of 2026.
With a stated $40 ASP and a 1M+ annual unit run rate for the satellite partner, a conservative initial stocking order of just 75,000 to 100,000 units adds $3M to $4M right to the top line. Add in the delayed 5G FWA backlog finally clearing this quarter, and Q3 revenue could easily push past $4.5M. Wall Street is backward-looking at Q2's sample-stage revenue instead of modeling the 5G NTN commercial rollout happening right now. The math for a massive beat is hiding in plain sight.
#5G #NTN #Semiconductors$GCTS