FonsieTrader
$ON update — $74 held. The shelf is now support.
Yesterday the line was $74. Today the daily closed $77.20 (+5.5%) on 11.2M shares and tagged $77.68. SCTR jumped to 74.5. The descending trendline is behind us. The $74–$76 shelf that was resistance is the first higher-low zone.
Nothing changed in the fundamental. onsemi is still the power layer under the rack. $15K → $115K of semiconductor content per AI rack on 800V. AI data-center revenue set to more than double in 2026, again in 2027, $2.5B+ by 2030. Q2 already printed the cycle turn. Next print November 2.
Structure now: $74 is the line that must hold on a retest. Next supply is $80.39. Measured move is unchanged — +64% toward the low $120S if this reclaim sticks. Lose $72 and Friday was just a squeeze through the shelf.
Simple read: the test happened. Price accepted above the line. Power density is still the bottleneck. $74 is support now, not the ask.
NFA.
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