SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

SSgA Active Trust - SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

The SPY is seeing active discussion around a potential overnight dip following recent market reactions to the Fed's announcements and mixed reactions to earnings from major tech players like Oracle. Community members are debating whether to buy the dip, bracing for potential volatility influenced by global factors, and analyzing technical levels for possible support or resistance. Many are wary of potential market manipulation and are sharing their perspectives on future market direction.

Oracle Corp. engages in the provision of products and services that address aspects of corporate information technology environments, including applications and infrastructure technologies. It operates through the following business segments: Cloud and License, Hardware, and Services. The Cloud and License segment markets, sells, and delivers enterprise applications and infrastructure technologies through cloud and on-premise deployment models including cloud services and license support offerings. The Hardware segment provides infrastructure technologies including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management, and other hardware-related software. The Services segment offers consulting, advanced support, and education services. The company was founded by Lawrence Joseph Ellison, Robert Nimrod Miner, and Edward A. Oates on June 16, 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

Oracle Corp.

Oracle is trending downwards amid concerns over increased data center spending impacting margins, despite an EPS beat. The community is debating whether this signals an AI bubble, with some citing massive RPO as a positive sign while others point to negative free cash flow and rising debt. Discussions include potential bankruptcy risks and comparisons to other AI-related stocks.

Invesco Capital Management LLC - Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

QQQ is seeing volatility as traders digest the Fed's decisions and commentary, with concerns around economic weakness and the labor market impacting sentiment. The conversation highlights the potential end of the AI trade, fueled by Oracle's earnings, and debates whether the market is entering a correction phase or continuing its upward trajectory. Community members are actively discussing potential support levels and strategies, with some bracing for a downturn and others anticipating dip-buying opportunities.

Carvana Co. is a holding company and an eCommerce platform, which engages in the buying and selling of used cars. The company was founded by Ernest Garcia, III, Benjamin Huston and Ryan Keeton in 2012 and is headquartered in Tempe, AZ.

Carvana Co. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Carvana Co.

Carvana is trending due to its upcoming inclusion in the S&P 500, sparking both excitement and skepticism among investors. While some anticipate further gains leading up to the inclusion date, others express concerns about the company's valuation and business practices, pointing to insider selling and subprime loan exposure.

Gemini Space Station, Inc. is a holding company, which offers a mobile and web based crypto asset exchange platform, proprietary wallet infrastructure and custody solutions, over-the-counter trading solutions tailored to institutions and professionals, a digital art auction platform, a proprietary United States dollar backed stablecoin, and a credit card product that offers crypto asset rewards on customer purchases. The company was founded by Tyler Winklevoss and Cameron Winklevoss in 2014 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Gemini Space Station Inc. - Ordinary Shares- Class A

Gemini Space Station

GEMI is trending due to securing a CFTC license for its affiliate Gemini Titan, allowing it to offer regulated prediction markets in the U.S. The community is discussing the significance of this approval, the potential revenue streams, and comparison with competitors like Kalshi. Some traders anticipate a short squeeze and higher volume amid media coverage.

Netflix, Inc. engages in providing entertainment services. It also offers activities for leisure time, entertainment video, video gaming, and other sources of entertainment. It operates through the United States and International geographic segments. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

Netflix Inc.

Netflix Inc

NFLX is trending downwards as investors react to the ongoing bidding war for WBD, with concerns around potential debt and regulatory hurdles. Community sentiment reflects frustration and uncertainty, with some speculating about manipulation and potential for a future bounce. Discussions also involve the influence of political factors and comparisons to other media stocks.

IREN Ltd. is a vertically integrated data center business powering the future of Bitcoin, AI and beyond with renewable energy. It is strategically located in renewable-rich, fiber-connected regions across the US and Canada. IREN’s large-scale, grid-connected facilities are purpose-built for the next generation of power-dense computing applications. The company was founded by Daniel Roberts and William Roberts on November 6, 2018, and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

IREN Ltd.

IREN Limited

IREN is trending amid discussions around its recent capital raise and its implications for dilution, with some viewing it as a strategic move for long-term growth in the AI infrastructure space. Community members are debating the stock's correlation with Bitcoin and its potential for a significant rally, especially with upcoming catalysts like Oracle's earnings and Fed decisions. The stock's volatile price action and technical indicators are also driving conversations.

Beasley Broadcast Group, Inc. is multi-platform media company, which engages in the operation of radio stations in the United States. The firm offers marketing solutions across event platforms. It operates through the following business segments: Audio, Digital, and Other. The company was founded by George G. Beasley in 1961 and is headquartered in Naples, FL.

Beasley Broadcast Group Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

BBGI is trending due to a potential short squeeze, with the community actively debating its likelihood and potential price targets. Some traders are highlighting the stock's low float and comparing it to previous runners, while others express skepticism and caution against chasing gains. The community's sentiment appears divided between those anticipating further upward momentum and those expecting a pullback.

Mawson Infrastructure Group, Inc. engages in the provision of digital asset infrastructure services. The company was founded on February 10, 2012 and is headquartered in Midland, PA.

Mawson Infrastructure Group Inc

MIGI is trending due to sector-wide strength in bitcoin mining and excitement around its expansion into AI infrastructure. The company's low float is fueling volatility and sharp price swings, as the community anticipates updates from an upcoming conference. Traders are speculating on potential new hosting contracts and partnerships, driving further interest.

Microsoft Corp. engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following segments: Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment is composed of products and services relating to productivity, communication, and information services such as Office Commercial, Office Consumer, LinkedIn, and Dynamics business solutions. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of public, private, and hybrid server products and cloud services for businesses and developers, as well as enterprise and partner services. The More Personal Computing segment refers to products and services including Windows operating system, Windows cloud services, Surface, HoloLens, personal computer accessories, Xbox hardware, Xbox Cloud Gaming, Microsoft News, and Microsoft Edge. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates, III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA.

Microsoft Corporation

Microsoft Corp

Microsoft is trending as investors digest news around AI investments and competition, with the stock struggling to maintain gains. Community sentiment is mixed, with some expressing frustration over perceived underperformance compared to its peers, while others see it as a stable long-term play. Analyst commentary remains largely positive, citing strong enterprise software and cloud growth.

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Prediction market platforms Polymarket and Kalshi recently raised mega funding rounds and are aggressively expanding through sports wagers and partnerships.</li><li>Their rise has disrupted sportsbooks' businesses, with DraftKings and Flutter now planning their own foray into prediction markets.</li><li>Robinhood, which launched a prediction-market hub in March, has seen its stock rally sharply.&nbsp;</li></ul>Step back from the wall-to-wall AI buzz for a moment, and another fast-rising business trend comes into focus: prediction markets.Top platforms in the space – Polymarket, Kalshi, and Robinhood’s Prediction Markets Hub – have scaled aggressively this year. Their wagers on everything from markets to politics, sports, and culture are drawing massive interest from users across the United States, as well as from financial entities looking to use their prediction data in novel ways.<h1 class="st-heading-1">Incredible Growth</h1>Kalshi on Tuesday secured $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation, marking its third fundraise of the year and more than doubling its valuation in just a few months. The platform shot to prominence as users piled into contracts ahead of November 2024’s presidential election, which saw Donald Trump win, and has since aggressively expanded into sports betting.Polymarket bagged a $2 billion cheque from the New York Stock Exchange operator Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (ICE) two months ago, at a pre-investment valuation of $8 billion. As part of the deal, ICE will also distribute Polymarket’s event-driven data, providing customers with sentiment indicators on market-relevant topics.And Robinhood? Its stock has been on an absolute tear — HOOD is up more than threefold this year — helped in part by its aggressive push into prediction markets. The company rolled out its prediction-market hub with Kalshi in March and, just last month, snapped up a 90% stake in MIAX Derivatives Exchange, a move that sent its shares sharply higher. &nbsp;<figure class="table" style="width:100%;"><table class="ck-table-resized"><colgroup><col style="width:25%;"><col style="width:25%;"><col style="width:25%;"><col style="width:25%;"></colgroup><tbody><tr><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;vertical-align:bottom;">Platform&nbsp;</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;vertical-align:bottom;">Primary Volume Driver in November 2025</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;vertical-align:bottom;">Broadly Popular Contracts (Last 6 Months)</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;vertical-align:bottom;">Key Metric/Note</td></tr><tr><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;">Kalshi</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Sports-related contracts (Pro Football, NHL, NBA, etc.)</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Sports: NFL game outcomes and championships (dominant volume driver). Economics: Fed Interest Rate Decisions, Inflation, Recession probabilities</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Posted a monthly spot volume of $5.8 billion in November, driven primarily by sports</td></tr><tr><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;">Polymarket</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Macroeconomics and Politics (US Fed, Global Elections)</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Politics: US Presidential Nominees (2028), Global Elections, Political events. Macro: Fed Interest Rate Decisions, Bitcoin/Crypto prices</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Posted a monthly trading volume of $3.7 billion in November, with large volumes in its staple macro/political markets</td></tr><tr><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;">Robinhood</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Sports and Federal Reserve Rates</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Sports: NFL, NCAA March Madness, other major US sports leagues. Economics: Fed Interest Rate Decisions, CPI/Inflation</td><td style="border:0.75pt solid #000000;padding:1pt 1pt 5pt;text-align:center;">Fastest-growing revenue line for Robinhood. Trading 2.5 billion contracts in October, and over 9 billion since its launch in March 2025</td></tr></tbody></table></figure>Note: The table offers only an overview. Source: Stocktwits research<h1 class="st-heading-1">Sportsbooks On Alert</h1>That’s all great, but the surge of prediction markets is also shaking up a core industry: sportsbooks. Giants like DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment, which owns FanDuel, are quietly growing uneasy and have announced plans to roll out their own prediction-market products as soon as this month or next. Flutter is building one through a partnership with CME Group, while DraftKings will launch one&nbsp;following its recent acquisition of Railbird Technologies.In recent interviews, DraftKings and Flutter management&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/draft-kings-stock-drops-premarket-on-lower-revenue-forecast-ceo-downplays-threat-from-prediction-markets/cL2vMQ9RETi">have said</a> that sportsbooks and prediction markets are two distinct offerings and, as such, would not cannibalize each other's user bases. To be sure, sportsbooks&nbsp;account for about half of their topline, with the rest coming mostly from iGaming (casino, poker, bingo, and lottery games, both online and on the apps).&nbsp;<figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:2400/1400;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/koyfin_20251203_025149132_png_a50ca258de.webp" alt="koyfin_20251203_025149132.png" width="2400" height="1400"></figure>However, some recent products, like same-game parlays, strike right at the core of DraftKings’ and Flutter’s core sportbook offerings. What’s more, when Polymarket and Kalshi signed a major deal with the National Hockey League, the first major U.S. sports league to license its trademarks to prediction markets, DKNG and FLUT stocks did not take it kindly.In fact, recent results from both show weak sportsbook revenues, though that’s also due to customer-friendly results in this NFL season. Nevertheless, DraftKings tightened its annual forecast. Some analysts are&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/flutter-entertainment-faces-price-target-cuts-due-to-nfl-weakness/ch6Fdd1R3V2">concerned</a>, too. &nbsp;<figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:1600/1133;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Draft_Kings_sportsbook_revenue_jpg_91c79b03cd.webp" alt="DraftKings_sportsbook_revenue.jpg" width="1600" height="1133"></figure>&nbsp;<figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:1600/1133;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Flutters_US_Sportsbook_revenue_jpg_c7cf47fadb.webp" alt="Flutters_US_Sportsbook_revenue.jpg" width="1600" height="1133"></figure><h1 class="st-heading-1">Wider Appeal</h1>Prediction-market platforms are forging partnerships at breakneck speed to broaden their appeal, and also offering everything from outlandish contracts on meteor strikes or nuclear detonations to more audience-friendly wagers on Oscar winners or&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/ai-might-beat-trump-the-pope-and-nvidia-s-ceo-to-become-time-s-2025-person-of-the-year-polymarket/cL5eFmXREhX">Time’s Person of the Year</a>.Historically, platforms like Kalshi were focused on politics, macroeconomic events, weather, and other “non-sports” outcomes. The 2025 wave of partnerships with major sports leagues (NHL, UFC) and mainstream finance and media outlets (Google Finance, Yahoo Finance) marks a pivot — from fringe financial “bets” to broadly accepted, regulated event-trading tools across sports, entertainment, and finance."Kalshi is replacing debate, subjectivity, and talk with markets, accuracy, and truth," CEO Tarek Mansour said in a statement on Tuesday. “We have created a new way of consuming and engaging with information. It’s hard to have an opinion about the future today without thinking about Kalshi.”<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DKNG">DKNG</a> and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/FLUT">FLUT</a> shares are down 10% and 19.3% year-to-date, respectively, with their recent Stocktwits sentiment as ‘bearish.’ <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/HOOD">HOOD</a> is up 227% and also had a ‘bearish’ sentiment.Editor’s note: Stocktwits and Polymarket have a partnership that provides retail investors with prediction data and insights on the Stocktwits platform.&nbsp;For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

DraftKings Sportsbook at Foxwoods Resort Casino, Tuesday, May 6, 2025. (Dave Zajac/Connecticut Post via Getty Images)

The Prediction Markets Rush: Polymarket, Kalshi Are Ascending Fast — And Sportsbooks DraftKings And Flutter Are On High Alert

Massive funding deals and the recent wave of partnerships with major sports leagues and mainstream finance and media outlets mark a pivot for Kalshi and Polymarket.

Equity

Massive funding deals and the recent wave of partnerships with major sports leagues and mainstream finance and media outlets mark a pivot for Kalshi and Polymarket.


<ul><li>Kalshi raised $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation, its third funding round in 2025.</li><li>Paradigm led the round, joined by major investors including Sequoia, Andreessen Horowitz, ARK Invest, and CapitalG.</li><li>Co-founders Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara now hold paper billionaire status with 20–25% stake each.</li></ul>Predictive marketplace Kalshi announced on Tuesday that it has raised $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation in its third funding round this year.Paradigm, an existing backer, led the funding round. It also included participation from Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Meritech Capital, IVP, ARK Invest, Anthos Capital, CapitalG, and Y Combinator.According to a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/02/business/dealbook/kalshi-prediction-market-billion.html">report</a> by The New York Times, the latest valuation has reportedly made the co-founders, Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, paper billionaires, with each owning 20% to 25% of the company.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Expansion On The Horizon</h2>The report added that the company is also moving to broaden its reach, including an expected partnership with CNN, according to a source familiar with the arrangement. They said Kalshi aims to leverage media collaborations to increase user adoption and mainstream awareness of predictive marketplaces.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Predictive Markets Getting More Competitive</h2>Kalshi, one of the sector’s largest players, previously&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/kalshi-doubles-valuation-to-5-b-in-latest-funding-round-report/ch6aClnR3SM">raised funds</a> this fall at a $5 billion valuation. It faces stiff competition from Polymarket, which recently gained&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/polymarket-secures-cftc-green-light-to-launch-fully-regulated-us-trading/cL52V69REg7">regulatory approval</a> to operate in the U.S.&nbsp;Both companies have been engaged in a race to secure funding. In October, Kalshi announced a $300 million round, while Polymarket secured a potential multibillion-dollar investment from the owner of the New York Stock Exchange. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around Polymarket, which is not a publicly traded company, trended in ‘extremely bullish’ territory amid ‘extremely high’ levels of chatter.The rise of prediction markets has also disrupted traditional online sports gambling. Firms like DraftKings (DKNG) and FanDuel are now&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/draft-kings-stock-surges-afterhours-on-move-into-prediction-markets-with-railbird-deal/cLGPv5JR3pi">exploring entry</a> into prediction markets to diversify beyond sports betting.Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/bitcoin-price-steadies-at-86000-after-1b-liquidations-grayscale-sees-new-highs/cLIaL8eRE0j">Bitcoin’s Price Steadies At $86,000 After $1B Liquidations – Grayscale Sees New Highs In 2026</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Financial market volatility on digital interface with fluctuating trading data real-time stock market analysis and investment trends. (Stock picture/Getty Images)

Predictive Marketplace Kalshi Hits $11B Valuation After Fresh $1B Raise – Co-Founders Now Paper Billionaires

According to a New York Times report, the company also has plans to expand, including a potential partnership with CNN.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Kalshi now offers tokenized versions of its event contracts on Solana with support from DFlow and Jupiter.</li><li>Prediction-market volume has surged to nearly $28 billion this year, driven by crypto traders.</li><li>Polymarket’s regulated U.S. return adds competitive pressure as both platforms pursue deeper liquidity.</li></ul>Kalshi said on Monday it now allows users to buy and sell tokenized versions of its event-contract wagers on the Solana blockchain, expanding access for cryptocurrency traders and bringing the federally regulated prediction market closer in functionality to rival Polymarket.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Tokenized Trading Goes Live On Solana</h2>The new feature lets users trade blockchain-based tokens that mirror Kalshi’s existing event contracts. The company said that the tokenized instruments behave the same as the contracts already available on its platform but offer additional anonymity because trading happens via tokens rather than directly through Kalshi’s core interface, according to a CNBC&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/01/kalshi-makes-move-to-court-crypto-traders-with-tokenized-betting-contracts.html">report</a>.Kalshi said support for tokenized wagers is live on Solana, with decentralized finance protocols DFlow and Jupiter acting as institutional clients to connect Kalshi’s off-chain orderbook to on-chain liquidity.John Wang, Kalshi’s head of crypto, said that the move is aimed at tapping into the large pool of crypto-native traders. “This is about tapping into the billions of dollars of liquidity that crypto has, and then also enabling developers to build third-party front ends that utilize Kalshi’s liquidity,” he&nbsp;told CNBC.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Prediction Market Demand Surges</h2>Combined marketwide prediction-market volume reached nearly $28 billion through October, with a weekly record of $2.3 billion during the week of Oct. 20, according to data cited by Crypto.com’s research division. Wang said digital-asset holders tend to trade at higher volumes compared with non-crypto users, providing liquidity that Kalshi sees as necessary to scale its offering.Kalshi, founded in 2018, became the first platform to launch federally regulated event contracts on U.S. congressional races in late 2024 after a years-long regulatory dispute with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission&nbsp;(CFTC). The company now operates about 3,500 markets and last year raised more than $300 million at a $5 billion valuation, supported by investors including Andreessen Horowitz and Sequoia Capital.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Competitive Pressure Rises As Polymarket Reenters US Market</h2>Kalshi’s expansion comes as Polymarket&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/polymarket-secures-cftc-green-light-to-launch-fully-regulated-us-trading/cL52V69REg7">prepares a full U.S. relaunch</a> after securing an updated CFTC order last week permitting it to operate as a regulated, intermediated exchange. Polymarket was previously forced to block U.S. users in 2022 following a cease-and-desist order and a $1.4 million civil penalty related to unregistered swaps activity.Polymarket’s approval allows it to work with brokerages, offer custody through futures commission merchants (FCMs), and provide reporting infrastructure aligned with U.S. futures-market rules. The company has implemented improved surveillance, clearing and supervision policies to meet CFTC requirements.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Expanding Crypto And Sports Wagering Footprint</h2>In September, Kalshi launched an ecosystem hub on Solana and Base to support builders and traders across blockchain networks, with trading volumes reaching $875 million in September. The platform has also targeted growth in sports-related prediction markets through a partnership with Robinhood, covering pro and college football.Polymarket is also reportedly exploring a fundraising round that could value the company between $9 billion and $10 billion, while Kalshi is targeting additional capital raises near $5 billion as both firms position for broader regulatory clarity and rising demand under the current U.S. administration’s digital-asset policies.Wang said attracting crypto-native liquidity is essential. “If you have a market with no liquidity, then you don’t really have a market,” he said. “People can’t really trade size or get the prices that they want.”For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Solana logo displayed on a phone screen and representation of cryptocurrencies are seen in this illustration photo taken in Krakow, Poland on August 21, 2021. (Photo Illustration by Jakub Porzycki/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Kalshi Rolls Out Tokenized Event Contracts On Solana As Rivalry With Polymarket Grows: Report

Kalshi’s move to tokenize event bets on Solana comes as prediction-market volumes surge and competition with Polymarket intensifies.

Cryptocurrency

<ul><li>Polymarket received an updated order from the CFTC authorizing the company to operate a fully regulated, intermediated platform in the U.S.</li><li>The platform blocked U.S. users from its platform in 2022 while it addressed regulatory compliance.</li><li>This was after the CFTC issued a cease-and-desist order and $1.4 million civil penalty.</li></ul>Polymarket announced on Tuesday that the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has approved an updated order that allows the company to operate a fully regulated, intermediated trading platform in the U.S.&nbsp;This means Polymarket can now function under the same rules that apply to federally regulated U.S. exchanges. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/POLYMARKET">Polymarket</a>, which is not a publicly traded company, was in ‘neutral’ territory with chatter at ‘high’ levels.<blockquote>"This approval allows us to operate in a way that reflects the maturity and transparency that the U.S. regulatory framework demands.”– Shayne Coplan, Founder and CEO, Polymarket&nbsp;</blockquote><h2 class="st-heading-2">Intermediated Access Now Permitted</h2>With this approval, Polymarket will be able to work directly with brokerages and customers and offer trading through U.S. venues. The company is now allowed to provide “intermediated access,” meaning users can trade through futures commission merchants (FCMs) and use the same custody, reporting, and market infrastructure that traditional financial firms rely on.“We're grateful for the constructive engagement with the CFTC and look forward to continuing to demonstrate leadership as a regulated U.S. exchange," said Shayne Coplan, Founder and CEO of Polymarket.To comply with the amended order, Polymarket said it has built improved market surveillance tools, supervision policies, clearing procedures, and regulatory reporting systems. The company plans to roll out additional rules and processes that apply to intermediated trading before the platform officially launches.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Return To Regulated Markets After Three Years</h2>Polymarket ran into trouble with the CFTC after operating an unregistered market for event-based binary options starting around mid-2020. The regulator determined that Polymarket was offering swaps without the proper registration as a designated contract market or swap execution facility under the Commodity Exchange Act.&nbsp;The CFTC issued a cease-and-desist order and imposed a $1.4 million civil penalty, requiring the company to wind down all non-compliant markets and halt illegal trading activities. As a result, Polymarket blocked U.S. users from its platform in 2022 while it addressed regulatory compliance.Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/bitcoin-reclaims-87000-with-xrp-solana-ethereum-leading-gains/cL52gCYREXN">Bitcoin Reclaims $87,000 With XRP, Solana And Ethereum Leading Gains – Trend Reversal May Be Short-Term, Says Analyst</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Polymarket Returns To US Regulated Trading After Three Years, Following CFTC Green Light 

Polymarket can now work directly with brokerages and customers through intermediated access.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>In a Degenz Live podcast on Thursday, Polymarket Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber confirmed plans to launch a native POLY token and an airdrop.</li><li>He noted that the company is prioritizing the U.S. app launch following regulatory clearance.</li><li>The company will reportedly focus on the launch of the POLY token after the U.S. app goes live.</li></ul>Polymarket Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber has reportedly confirmed plans to launch a native POLY token and an accompanying airdrop."We could have launched a token whenever we wanted, and it's just how thorough we want to be about it,” he said during an interview on the Degenz Live podcast on Thursday, as&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.theblock.co/post/376048/polymarket-cmo-confirms-poly-token-airdrop-plans">cited</a> by TheBlock. “We want it to be a token with true utility, longevity, and to be around forever, right? That's what we expect from ourselves, and that's what I think everyone in the space expects from us."<blockquote>"There will be a token, there will be an airdrop."&nbsp;– Matthew Modabber, Chief Marketing Officer, Polymarket</blockquote>Earlier this month, the company's founder, Shayne Coplan, had teased the token launch in&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1975994093529690405">post</a> on X. Meanwhile, retail sentiment around&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/POLYMARKET">Polymarket</a>, which is not a publicly listed company, on Stocktwits trended in the ‘bearish’ zone.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Polymarket U.S. App Launch Remains Priority</h2>Despite confirming that the token is definitely going to be launched at some point, Polymarket reportedly is prioritizing the launch of its U.S. platform. Coplan said that the app had been “given the green light to go live” in September after operations were halted in 2022 due to regulatory uncertainty, and that will be the company’s priority.“Why rush a token if we need to prioritize the U.S. app, right?” he said. “After the U.S. launch, there will be a focus on the token and getting that live and making sure that it's well done.”Polymarket is reportedly exploring fresh funding at a valuation of up to $15 billion, according to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-23/polymarket-is-seeking-funding-at-a-valuation-of-up-to-15-billion">report</a>. The company recently received a $2 billion investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent of the NYSE, giving it a post-money valuation of $9 billion. This marks a rapid increase from its $1.2 billion valuation following a $150 million round in June led by Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund.Get updates to this developing story directly on Stocktwits.Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/btc-price-climbs-as-investors-await-cpi-trade-talks-between-trump-and-xi/cLGJZykR3sp">BTC Price Climbs As Investors Await CPI, Trade Talks Between Trump And Xi</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Polymarket Marketing Head Confirms POLY Token Launch – ‘There Will Be A Token, There Will Be An Airdrop’

He noted that the company is prioritizing the U.S. app launch following regulatory clearance.

NEW YORK, NY - Sept 15, 2025 – <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://polymarket.com/">Polymarket</a>, the world’s largest prediction market platform, and <a href="https://stocktwits.com/">Stocktwits</a>, the largest social platform for investors and traders, today announced a strategic partnership to integrate real-time probabilities on market-moving events directly into the Stocktwits experience, starting with earnings markets for widely followed companies. Polymarket becomes the Official Prediction Markets partner for Stocktwits, a milestone deal that represents the company’s largest-ever strategic partnership.The collaboration brings together two of the most dynamic platforms in trading, speculation and investing to deliver what investors want most: transparent, continuously priced expectations around the events that move markets. For the first time, Stocktwits’ 10 million–strong community will be able to see Polymarket’s real-time, crowd-priced probabilities alongside the conversations they’re already having about earnings, sentiment, and market moves, resulting in a streamlined path to act on these views on Polymarket.“Prediction markets transform uncertainty into clarity by turning big questions—like earnings—into simple, tradable outcomes with transparent pricing,” said Matthew Modabber, Chief Marketing Officer at Polymarket. “Partnering with Stocktwits allows us to put that power directly into the hands of millions of investors where they already live and engage, reshaping how markets process information.”Earnings season has long been one of the most consequential and volatile times for investors. Prediction markets transform these moments into simple, tradable questions with transparent pricing (e.g., Will $TSLA beat earnings?). By surfacing probabilities that update second by second, the integration gives investors a clean, continuously calibrated signal on expectations, helping them sharpen conviction with clarity.The partnership will debut with embedded earnings outcome markets on Stocktwits ticker pages and streams, covering select companies during earnings season. Additional experiences include “mention markets” tracking whether specific terms appear on earnings calls, as well as discovery features such as curated collections and watchlists that highlight upcoming earnings with live probabilities. Probabilities will be displayed directly in Stocktwits discussions, with a tap-through to Polymarket for deeper details, order books, and settlement rules. Markets resolve on official company reports/call transcripts per clearly published rules on each Polymarket page. The rollout begins in September 2025 for select U.S. users, with broader availability throughout the earnings season.“We are living in a post real-time world where trust, community, and great signals matter more than speed,” said Howard Lindzon, Founder and CEO of Stocktwits. “Polymarket has created an entirely new way to understand news and expectations, and Stocktwits is the place where millions of investors already gather to share ideas and sentiment. Together, we can help investors cut through noise and focus on the probabilities that matter most.”Polymarket has recently expanded rapidly, setting records for new market creation, and secured key partnerships and investments, underscoring growing mainstream interest in the world’s largest prediction market.Visit <a href="https://stocktwits.com/">Stocktwits.com</a> or <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://polymarket.com/earnings">polymarket.com/earnings</a> to view live earnings markets and probabilities today.About Stocktwits Stocktwits is the leading social platform for active investors and traders, where millions of market participants connect to discuss markets in real-time. Built on the foundation of social conversation, Stocktwits has grown into a dynamic financial media company where social sentiment uniquely powers original news, video, and editorial coverage spanning equities, crypto, and macro trends. With over 10 million users, Stocktwits empowers investors to track traditional and digital asset sentiment, discover trends, and make informed decisions. Stocktwits’ mission is to help investors improve returns through community, data, content, and the latest tools. For more information, visit <a href="https://stocktwits.com/">stocktwits.com</a>.About Polymarket Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market platform. It hosts real-time markets on events across business, sports, politics, and more, providing continuously updated probabilities that investors, media, and institutions can reference. To learn more, visit <a target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://polymarket.com/">polymarket.com</a>.Media Contact: Melrose PR stocktwits@melrosepr.com&nbsp;

Polymarket becomes the Official Prediction Markets partner for Stocktwits, a milestone deal that represents the company’s largest-ever strategic partnership.

Stocktwits And Polymarket Join Forces: World’s Largest Prediction Market And World’s Largest Social Platform For Finance Launch New Earnings Markets

Polymarket becomes the official prediction markets partner for Stocktwits.

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Polymarket becomes the official prediction markets partner for Stocktwits.


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