SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST - Units of undivided interest in SPDR Trust Series 1

The SPY is experiencing heightened volatility as market participants navigate intensifying geopolitical tensions, particularly surrounding the ongoing conflict in Iran. The community is deeply divided, with many debating the impact of potential ground troop deployments, the reliability of official diplomatic updates, and whether to hold positions through the weekend amid the uncertainty.

UnitedHealth Group, Inc. engages in the provision of health care coverage, software, and data consultancy services. It operates through the following segments: UnitedHealthcare, OptumHealth, OptumInsight, and OptumRx. The UnitedHealthcare segment utilizes Optum's capabilities to help coordinate patient care, improve affordability of medical care, analyze cost trends, manage pharmacy benefits, work with care providers more effectively, and create a simpler consumer experience. The OptumHealth segment provides health and wellness care, serving the broad health care marketplace including payers, care providers, employers, government, life sciences companies, and consumers. The OptumInsight segment focuses on data and analytics, technology, and information to help major participants in the healthcare industry. The OptumRx segment offers pharmacy care services. The company was founded by Richard T. Burke in January 1977 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, MN.

Unitedhealth Group Inc

UnitedHealth Group is trending as investors debate whether the stock is a value-based buying opportunity or a struggling asset amid uncertainty surrounding upcoming Medicare Advantage reimbursement rates and regulatory pressures. The community remains divided, with some betting on a turnaround fueled by AI-driven cost optimizations, while others fear further downside if pending government decisions fail to meet market expectations.

Eastman Kodak Co. engages in the provision of analog and digital innovations. It operates through the following segments: Traditional Printing, Digital Printing, Advanced Materials and Chemicals, and Brand. The Traditional Printing segment consists of Prepress Solutions, which includes Kodak's digital offset plate offerings and computer-to-plate imaging solutions. The Digital Printing segment contains Electrophotographic Printing Solutions, Prosper, Versamark and Software. The Advanced Materials and Chemicals segment consists of four lines of business: Industrial Film and Chemicals, Motion Picture, Advanced Materials and Functional Printing, and Kodak Services for Business (KSB). The Brand segment includes licensing of the Kodak brand to third parties. The company was founded by George Eastman in 1880 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

Eastman Kodak Co.

Eastman Kodak is seeing significant investor attention driven by its strategic pivot into domestic pharmaceutical manufacturing and advanced materials, with the community actively speculating on the potential for government contracts and a major corporate revaluation. Market participants are closely monitoring the company's strengthened balance sheet and potential takeover prospects, while ongoing discussions frequently highlight the stock's role as a play on U.S. supply chain independence.

Unity Software, Inc. engages in the developing video gaming software. It also provides software solutions to create, run and monetize interactive, real-time two-dimensional and three-dimensional content for mobile phones, tablets, consoles, and augmented and virtual reality devices. Its platform is used by developers, artists, and designers to build content for gaming, film, retail, automotive, architecture, engineering, and construction industries. The company was founded by Joachim Ante and David Helgason in 2004 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

Unity Software Inc

Unity Software is seeing heightened activity following reports that the company is exploring a sale of its China business, which could potentially value the unit at over $1 billion. Community members are actively debating the impact of this potential divestment on the balance sheet while keeping a close eye on technical support levels and high short interest.

Zeta Global Holdings Corp. operates as a marketing technology software company, which engages in the provision of enterprises with consumer intelligence and marketing automation software. It enables its customers to target, connect and engage consumers through software that delivers marketing across all addressable channels, including email, social media, web chat, connected TV and video among others. The company was founded by David A. Steinberg and John Sculley on May 9, 2012 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Zeta Global Holdings Corp - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Zeta Global Holdings Corp

Zeta Global is seeing heightened retail interest following strong earnings and revenue guidance, with the community actively debating whether the stock is a long-term buy or if recent price action reflects broader institutional manipulation. While bulls highlight strong fundamentals and AI platform growth as catalysts for a potential rebound, bears remain skeptical, often pointing to historical volatility and lingering questions about the company's long-term market narrative.

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 - Units of beneficial interest

The Invesco QQQ Trust is facing intense downward pressure and significant volatility, fueled by deep-seated anxiety over the escalating Iran conflict and its potential to disrupt global supply chains and energy markets. Community sentiment is largely characterized by a breakdown in trust regarding current geopolitical management, with investors actively debating whether to capitulate or wait for a potential, albeit elusive, weekend peace catalyst.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. engages in operating social media and in the technology business. Its brands include TRUTH Social, TMTG+, and TMTG News. It operates through the Media and Truth.Fi segments. The Media segment includes products and services such as advertisement through the Truth Social platform. The Truth.Fi segment relates to customized exchange-traded funds or exchange-traded products invested in America First principles, and bitcoin and similar cryptocurrencies or crypto-related securities. The company was founded on March 28, 2024 and is headquartered in Sarasota, FL.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

Trump Media & Technology Group is trending as investors and social media users express intense polarization over the company's financial performance, the impact of broader geopolitical tensions, and the ongoing political rhetoric surrounding the former president. Community discussions frequently oscillate between speculation on the stock's valuation, concerns regarding corporate governance and revenue generation, and heated debates over the influence of government policy on market stability.

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems. It operates through the Automotive and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture, sale, and lease of electric vehicles as well as sales of automotive regulatory credits. The Energy Generation and Storage segment is involved in the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of solar energy generation, energy storage products, and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Austin, TX.

Tesla Inc

Tesla is facing significant downward pressure as market participants react to mixed sentiment regarding delivery expectations and broader geopolitical instability, leading to intense debate over the stock's valuation and the potential for a SpaceX merger. The community remains deeply divided, with many traders actively betting on continued volatility while others speculate on whether current oversold levels represent a buying opportunity or the beginning of a larger correction.

Pelican Acquisition Corp. is a blank check company formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, capital stock exchange, asset acquisition, stock purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. The company was founded on July 23, 2024 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Greenland Energy Co.

Greenland Energy Company (GLND) is trending following its recent SPAC merger completion and the appointment of former TD Ameritrade CEO Joe Moglia as an executive advisor. The community is actively debating the company's potential to unlock massive oil reserves in the Jameson Land Basin while expressing polarized views on whether the stock represents a long-term resource play or a speculative, high-risk situation.

ADMA Biologics, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company, which is engaged in manufacturing, marketing, and developing specialty plasma-derived biologics. The firm operates through the following business segments: ADMA BioManufacturing and Plasma Collection Center. The ADMA BioManufacturing segment consists of immune globulin manufacturing and development operations. The Plasma Collection Center consists of source plasma collection facilities. The company was founded by Adam S. Grossman and Jerrold B. Grossman on June 24, 2004 and is headquartered in Ramsey, NJ.

Adma Biologics Inc

Adma Biologics is trending as the community actively debates a rebuttal to a short-seller report, with many investors focusing on the company's data-backed defense against allegations of channel stuffing. While some traders express caution over price volatility and short-term pressure, others view the recent sell-off as an opportunity, citing management's buyback strategy and long-term growth trajectory as signs of strength.

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The report said lawmakers believe sports betting on prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket resembles gambling and bypasses state-level consumer protection.&nbsp;</li><li>Crypto exchanges, including Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken, have recently launched or announced plans to enter prediction markets.</li><li>Robinhood has already rolled out sports-related contracts through its partnership with Kalshi.</li></ul>A bipartisan pair of U.S. senators has reportedly introduced legislation targeting prediction markets, just as crypto exchanges including Coinbase (COIN), Gemini (GEMI), Kraken, and others are expanding into the fast-growing sector.According to a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/lawmakers-to-introduce-bipartisan-bill-banning-sports-bets-on-prediction-markets-17d2e272">report</a> by The Wall Street Journal, the bill introduced on Monday would prohibit Commodity Futures Trading&nbsp;Commission (CFTC)-regulated entities like Kalshi and Polymarket from listing contracts tied to sporting events. It said that the proposal marks the first bipartisan Senate effort to directly address prediction markets.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Senate Targets Sports Contracts On Prediction Platforms</h2>The report said lawmakers backing the bill argue that sports-related contracts on federally regulated platforms resemble traditional betting products while operating outside state-level gambling frameworks.“The CFTC is greenlighting these markets and even promoting their growth,” Sen. Adam Schiff (D-CA) stated. “It’s time for Congress to step in and eliminate this backdoor, which violates state consumer protections, intrudes upon tribal sovereignty, and offers no public revenue.”The bill also extended beyond sports, seeking to prohibit “casino-style games” such as slot machines, blackjack, video poker, and bingo from being offered through these platforms, the report said.Sen. John Curtis (R-UT), who co-sponsored the bill, framed the issue around consumer exposure. “Too many young people in Utah are getting exposed to addictive sports betting and casino-style gaming contracts that belong under state control, not under federal regulators,” he said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Crypto Exchanges Accelerate Push Into Prediction Markets</h2>Both Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) have prediction markets and allow for sports betting on their platforms via partnerships with Kalshi. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has been pushing for Coinbase to become an “everything exchange” and recently&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/coinbase-reportedly-plans-prediction-markets-launch-with-kalshi/cLICp6DRE89">announced</a> USDC-funded trade on prediction markets in partnership with Kalshi. Meanwhile, Robinhood (HOOD) partnered with Kalshi to&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/robinhood-stock-surges-after-launch-of-prediction-markets-hu/ch7hgMzRbcd">launch</a> its prediction markets hub in March 2025 and introduced sports contracts in August 2025.The new legislation could put a dent in their plans to expand revenue streams beyond cryptocurrency trading, and stock trading, in Robinhood’s case. Coinbase and Robinhood are the only two listed companies operating prediction markets in partnership with Kalshi, but others have also expanded into the space.&nbsp;Gemini (GEMI), backed by the Winklevoss twins,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/gemini-beats-coinbase-to-market-as-prediction-markets/cLe7wveREoy">introduced</a> ‘Gemini Predictions’ in December 2025 for betting on sports events. Kraken, widely anticipated to go public this year, said it would launch prediction markets on its platform in 2026.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/COIN">COIN’s stock</a> was down 2.75% in pre-market trade amid broader weakness across the stock and cryptocurrency markets after fresh threats from President Donald Trump against Iran kept oil prices above the $100 mark. Meanwhile,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/GEMI">GEMI’s stock</a> fell 3.35%, and&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/HOOD/">HOOD’s stock</a> was down 2.14% in early morning trade on Monday.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around COIN and HOOD remained in ‘bearish’ territory over the past day, while sentiment around GEMI improved to ‘neutral’ from the ‘bearish’ zone.&nbsp;Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/coinbase-launches-perpetual-futures-amid-hyperliquid-s-trading-boom/cZ3XY6pRILg">Coinbase Launches Perpetual Futures Amid Hyperliquid’s Trading Boom – MAG 7, SPY, QQQ In Lineup</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration, a person holds a smartphone displaying the Kalshi app icon, with the Kalshi branding visible in the background

Coinbase, Robinhood, Kraken Prediction Market Expansion Under Threat After Senate Reportedly Moves To Restrict Sector

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the legislation would prohibit sports-related contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.

Cryptocurrency

According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, the legislation would prohibit sports-related contracts on CFTC-regulated platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket.


<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Senator Jeff Merkley stated that he first became concerned about prediction markets after a bettor on Polymarket won more than $400,000 by accurately predicting that the U.S. would remove Maduro.</li><li>He added that it was “extraordinarily likely” that somebody in the group of people who knew about the U.S. action leaked the information to a bettor on the prediction platform.</li><li>A New York Times analysis found more than 150 Polymarket accounts placed bets of over $1,000 predicting last Saturday’s U.S.–Israel strikes on Iran a day early.</li></ul>Democratic lawmakers&nbsp;led by Senators Jeff Merkley and Amy Klobuchar are reportedly set to introduce a bill banning the President, Vice President, and members of Congress from placing bets on prediction markets.According to a CNBC&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/05/prediction-markets-merkley-ban-iran.html">report</a>, the bill also seeks to ban senior executive branch officials from prediction markets, with fines starting at $10,000 for those found in violation of the rules.The bill comes at a time when major international events, such as the ouster of former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and the Iran war, have seen bets placed on prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket.“Members receive all sorts of tips and advice. The actual demonstration of insider trading is too difficult to be sufficient to address the problem. The problem becomes both real corruption … and the appearance of corruption and conflict of interest,” Merkley said during the interview.<h2 class="st-heading-2">The Venezuela Bet That Made Merkley Suspicious</h2>Merkley stated that he first became concerned about prediction markets after a bettor on Polymarket won more than $400,000 by accurately predicting that the U.S. would remove Maduro.“That was a case where you had the secretary of state saying ‘we didn’t notify Congress the way we’re supposed to under the law because we were too concerned about a leak,’” Merkley said during the interview.He added that it was “extraordinarily likely” that somebody in the group of people who knew about the U.S. action leaked the information to a bettor on the prediction platform.“This legislation strengthens the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s ability to go after bad actors and provides rules of the road to prevent those with confidential government or policy information from exploiting their access for financial gain,” Sen. Klobuchar said in a statement to CNBC.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Soaring Popularity Of Prediction Markets</h2>According to an&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/03/upshot/prediction-markets-iran-strikes.html">analysis</a> by The New York Times, a day before the joint U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran Saturday last week, more than 150 accounts placed bets of at least $1,000 on Polymarket, accurately predicting attacks on the Middle Eastern country.The analysis also showed that at least 16 accounts profited by more than $100,000 each, while at least 109 accounts made more than $10,000.One user reportedly took home nearly half a million dollars after placing bets worth over $60,000.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Israeli Army Reservists Arrested Over Suspicion Of Using Classified Information</h2>Earlier in February, the Israeli authorities arrested several army reservists and a civilian over suspicion of using classified information to place bets on an online prediction platform.Israeli authorities said that the charges came after an investigation into suspected gambling “based on classified information to which the reservists were exposed by virtue of their role in the army,” according to a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/12/world/middleeast/israel-army-reservists-classified-information-bets.html">report</a> by The New York Times.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined in Thursday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down 0.43%; the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) fell 0.56%; and the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.72%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits regarding the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘neutral’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/berkshire-hathaway-ceo-greg-abel-purchases-15-million-stock/cZdQtjDRI34">Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel Loads Up On $15M In Stock, BRK Resumes Share Buybacks</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Sen. Jeff Merkley, D-Ore., speaks during the Senate Democrats' news conference in the U.S. Capitol

Democrat Lawmakers Move To Ban Government Officials From Prediction Markets After Iran, Maduro Bets: Report

The bill comes at a time when major international events, such as the ouster of former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and the Iran war, have drawn bets on prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket.

Equity

Stocktwits, the leading social platform for investors and traders, is excited to announce the highly anticipated 2026 Cashtag Awards Presented by Polymarket.Polymarket, the world’s largest&nbsp;prediction market platform, enables users to trade on real-world event outcomes and tap into crowd-sourced probabilities.&nbsp;The 2026 Awards will be hosted on May 4 at the New York Stock Exchange, and will celebrate the individuals, products, and platforms shaping the future of digital finance and trading.“The Cashtag Awards are about the people building where finance and information intersect,” said Shayne Coplan, Founder and CEO of Polymarket. “We’re excited to partner with Stocktwits to recognize the creators, innovators, and entrepreneurs who are making markets faster, more transparent, and more reflective of what people actually believe.”Award winners will be selected by the passionate Stocktwits community of more than 10 million registered users, with a panel of industry leaders serving as tiebreakers. Voting will open in March and run through April. Winners will be recognized during a ceremony at the 2026 Cashtag Awards Presented by Polymarket at the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, featuring entertainment from acclaimed comedian Nathan Macintosh. The event will celebrate excellence across financial content, market analysis, and retail investing, underscoring Stocktwits’ role as the premier platform for real-time market conversations.The 2026 Cashtag Awards are supported by:●&nbsp; <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.zenatech.com/">ZenaTech</a>, a technology company combining AI-autonomous drones, Drone as a Service (DaaS), quantum computing, and enterprise SaaS solutions to support mission-critical operations in defense, government, and commercial markets.●&nbsp; <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://tradier.com/">Tradier</a>, a cloud-based brokerage and API provider enabling stocks, options, and futures trading through flexible technology designed for active traders, developers, and modern fintech platforms.●&nbsp; <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://voyagertechnologies.com/">Voyager</a>, a defense and space technology company committed to advancing and delivering transformative, mission-critical solutions. Voyager aims to unlock new frontiers for human progress, fortify national security, and protect critical assets from ground to space.●&nbsp; <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.tradretfs.com/">TradrETFs</a>, the pioneer of single-stock ETFs in the U.S., with over $2.5 billion of assets under management. Tradr ETFs is currently the fastest-growing provider in the category. Tradr’s leveraged strategies empower investors to access amplified exposure to individual stocks and ETFs in a transparent, exchange-traded structure.●&nbsp; <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://fintech.tv/">FintechTV</a>, a first-of-its-kind global media platform bringing the latest news and perspectives in finance, blockchain, AI, and sustainability investing. FINTECH.TV and <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://tv.nyse.com/taking-stock-2">TakingStock</a> broadcast from its marquee studio on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange.“NYSE is a storytelling powerhouse, and the Cashtag Awards are a perfect match for that energy,” said Joe Benarroch, Head of Media Partnerships, Content and Distribution at the NYSE. “We’re excited to team up with Stocktwits and Polymarket to celebrate the creators and communities redefining how millions follow, shape, and engage with the markets.”“What makes the Cashtag Awards special is that they’re powered by the voice of the community,” said Howard Lindzon, Founder and CEO of Stocktwits. “We’re excited to recognize the people and platforms pushing digital finance forward and to bring that celebration to the iconic stage of the New York Stock Exchange with Polymarket.”&nbsp;The award categories for the 2026 Cashtag Awards include:●&nbsp; Cashtag of the Year●&nbsp; Best New ETF●&nbsp; Crypto Creator of the Year●&nbsp; Financial Creator of the Year●&nbsp; Trade of the Year●&nbsp; Story Stock of the Year●&nbsp; Stocktwits Community Member Of The Year●&nbsp; Cashtag Legend Award●&nbsp; Best Retail IR Team●&nbsp; Best Market InnovationFor more information about the 2026 Cashtag Awards and to purchase tickets, please visit <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://cashtag.stocktwits.com/">https://cashtag.stocktwits.com/</a>.About Stocktwits <a href="https://stocktwits.com/">Stocktwits</a> is the premier social media platform dedicated to investors and traders. With an active community of over 10 million users, Stocktwits has established itself as a leading voice in the investing world. Driven by the mission to help investors enhance their returns, Stocktwits offers a rich ecosystem of community interaction, data, content, and tools that empower investors to connect, learn, and have fun in the process. For more information, visit <a href="http://stocktwits.com/">stocktwits.com</a>.About Polymarket<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://polymarket.com/">Polymarket</a> is the world’s largest prediction market where traders forecast the outcomes of future events and win when they are right. By responding instantly to breaking news and new information, market prices provide a real-time signal of how likely events are to occur. Media outlets, institutions, and individual users look to these forecasts for insight into developing stories and what may lie ahead. From politics and global events to business and pop culture, billions of dollars in predictions have been placed on the platform to date.About New York Stock Exchange<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nyse.com/index">The New York Stock Exchange</a>, part of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE), a leading global provider of technology and data, is&nbsp; where icons and disruptors come to build on their success and shape the future. The NYSE is the world’s largest and most trusted equities exchange, the leading ETF exchange and the world’s most deterministic trading technology. The NYSE is capitalism at its best, the belief that free and fair markets offer every individual the chance to benefit from success.About Intercontinental Exchange<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.ice.com/">Intercontinental Exchange, Inc.</a> (NYSE: ICE) is a Fortune 500 company that designs, builds, and operates digital networks that connect people to opportunity. We provide financial technology and data services across major asset classes helping our customers access mission-critical workflow tools that increase transparency and efficiency. ICE’s futures, equity, and options <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.theice.com/about/exchanges-clearing">exchanges</a> -- including the <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nyse.com/">New York Stock Exchange</a> -- and <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.theice.com/solutions/clearing">clearing houses</a> help people invest, raise capital and manage risk. We offer some of the world’s largest markets to trade and clear energy and environmental products. Our fixed income, <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.theice.com/about/fixed-income-data">data services</a> and execution capabilities provide information, analytics and platforms that help our customers streamline processes and capitalize on opportunities. At <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.theice.com/about/mortgage-technology">ICE Mortgage Technology</a>, we are transforming U.S. housing finance, from initial consumer engagement through loan production, closing, registration and the long-term servicing relationship. Together, ICE transforms, streamlines, and automates industries to connect our customers to opportunity.Contact:Erin Courtneyecourtney@stocktwits.com

The Stocktwits Cashtag Awards Presented by Polymarket: Live at The New York Stock Exchange on May 4th, 2026

Stocktwits Announces 2026 Cashtag Awards Presented by Polymarket, Hosted At The New York Stock Exchange

The Cashtag Awards celebrate the people and products shaping the future of trading and investing.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Paramount’s new bid comes after Warner Bros. received a seven-day waiver from Netflix last week to re-engage with the David Ellison-led company.</li><li>WBD announced on Tuesday that Paramount had sent a revised bid, while its board of directors reaffirmed its support for the Netflix offer.</li><li>Subsequently, WBD stated that Paramount raised its takeover offer to $31 per share, up from $30.</li></ul>The ongoing battle between Paramount Skydance Corp. (PSKY) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX) for acquiring Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. (WBD) is intensifying, but bettors on prediction markets are clearly leaning toward one entertainment giant to win.The latest prediction market odds for the winner of the WBD acquisition saga follow Paramount's $ 31-per-share takeover offer, up from $30 per share.Paramount’s new bid comes after Warner Bros. received a seven-day waiver from Netflix last week to re-engage with the David Ellison-led company. WBD announced on Tuesday that Paramount had&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/wbd-confirms-receipt-of-paramounts-revised-bid-board-favors-netflix/cZRvyleR4CJ">sent a revised bid</a>, while its board of directors reaffirmed its support for the Netflix offer.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/WBD">Warner Bros. Discovery shares</a> were up 0.5% in Thursday’s pre-market trade, while&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/WBD">Paramount Skydance shares</a> rose 1%. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits around the WBD trended in the ‘bullish’ territory, while users felt ‘extremely bullish’ about PSKY.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NFLX">Netflix shares</a> were up 2% at the time of writing, with retail sentiment trending in the ‘bullish’ territory on Stocktwits.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Prediction Markets Indicating?</h2>Popular prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show bettors are leaning toward Paramount as the winner in its battle with Netflix for WBD.At the time of writing, the odds of Paramount acquiring WBD before July 2027 stood at 56%, while only 36% believed Netflix could win.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Kalshi_WBD_jpg_78228dbe59.webp" alt="Kalshi prediction market bets on Warner Bros acquisition" width="898" height="454"><figcaption>Kalshi prediction market bets on Warner Bros acquisition | Kalshi</figcaption></figure>Users on Polymarket were less optimistic about Paramount’s chances, with only 46% believing it would win before June 2027, while 37% of the bets were in favor of Netflix.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Polymarket_WBD_jpg_dc5d29605c.webp" alt="Polymarket prediction market bets on Warner Bros acquisition" width="955" height="437"><figcaption>Polymarket prediction market bets on Warner Bros acquisition | Polymarket</figcaption></figure>The total bets on the two platforms stood at about $2.2 million at the time of writing.<h2 class="st-heading-2">WBD Says Paramount Offer ‘Reasonably Be Expected’ To Be Superior</h2>In an update on Tuesday, WBD announced that Paramount’s offer for the company could “reasonably be expected” to be superior to the one from Netflix.Paramount also reaffirmed that it will pay the $2.8 billion termination fee, which WBD would be required to pay to Netflix to terminate its existing merger agreement.Netflix’s offer assigns an enterprise value of $82.7 billion to WBD but excludes the spinoff company.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/WBD">WBD stock</a> is up 0.3% year-to-date, while&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/PSKY">PSKY stock</a> is down 24%, and NFLX stock is down 12%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/anthropic-claude-enterprise-ai-tools-software-cybersecurity-hr-investment-banking/cZRyaCIRIGk">Anthropic Expands Enterprise AI Arsenal With Autonomous Tools Ahead Of Widely Expected IPO</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration a man holds a iPhone, that shows Netflix, Warner Bros and Paramount streaming apps on his phone screen

Who Will Acquire Warner Bros, Paramount Or Netflix? Prediction Markets Think This Company May Win The Battle

The latest prediction market odds for the winner of the WBD acquisition saga come after Paramount raised its takeover offer to $31 per share, up from $30 per share.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>According to a Bloomberg report, President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Thursday that 10 to 15 days was “pretty much” the maximum amount of time he would give for negotiations for a nuclear deal with Iran.</li><li>Despite the burgeoning U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, bettors on Polymarket think that the odds of a strike on Iran over the next month are 50:50 at most.</li><li>During an address at a Board of Peace event on Thursday, President Trump said that the next 10 days will show whether the U.S.-Iran tussle escalates or a deal is struck.</li></ul>Prediction markets are buzzing with activity over the prospect of a U.S. strike on Iran after President Donald Trump&nbsp;gave the Middle Eastern country 10 to 15 days to strike a nuclear deal.According to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-19/pentagon-amasses-mideast-force-as-trump-threatens-iran-on-talks?srnd=homepage-americas">report</a>, President Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One on Thursday that 10 to 15 days was “pretty much” the maximum amount of time he would give for negotiations for a nuclear deal with Iran.“We’re either going to get a deal, or it’s going to be unfortunate for them,” he added.Amid this, the U.S. military has deployed a vast array of forces in the Middle East, comprising fighter jets, refueling tankers, and two aircraft carriers, according to the report.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Prediction Markets Indicating?</h2>Despite the burgeoning U.S. military buildup in the Middle East, bettors on Polymarket think that the odds of a strike on Iran over the next month are 50:50 at most.At the time of writing, the odds of a strike on Iran between February 20 and March 7 were in the range of 2% to 42%. March 15 is the first time these odds reach 50%. Thereafter, the odds continue to climb, reaching 76% by the end of the year.Bettors on Kalshi are pessimistic about the U.S. and Iran striking a nuclear deal, which would avert a strike.The odds of a deal being struck before April plummeted 39 percentage points over the past 24 hours, falling to 27%. The chances of a deal before August 2026 are even lower, at just 16%. Bettors are slightly more optimistic that the deal will be reached before 2027, at 48%.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Kalshi_Iran_jpg_9fb2274a96.webp" alt="Kalshi prediction market bets on U.S.-Iran nuclear deal on Feb. 20" width="897" height="451"><figcaption>Kalshi prediction market bets on U.S.-Iran nuclear deal on Feb. 20 | Kalshi</figcaption></figure>The total betting volumes on Polymarket regarding a U.S. strike on Iran stood at a staggering $323 million, while Kalshi users placed bets worth $189,000 about the odds of a nuclear deal.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump’s Warning To Iran</h2>During an address at a Board of Peace event on Thursday, President Trump said that the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-will-find-out-next-10-days-iran-step-futher-or-nuclear-deal/cZRkRUKR4Dd">next 10 days</a> will show whether the U.S.-Iran tussle escalates or a deal is struck.“Now we may have to take it a step further, or we may not. Maybe we're going to make a deal. You're going to be finding out over the next probably 10 days,” he said.Rafael Mariano Grossi, Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, also&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/iaea-chief-warns-iran-not-much-time-left-as-trump-warns-of-consequences/cZRjHiQR4wt">warned</a> on Thursday that the window for Iran to strike a nuclear deal is at risk of closing.“There is not much time, but we are working on something concrete. There are a couple of solutions the IAEA has proposed,” Grossi said.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were mixed in Friday’s pre-market trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, edged lower by 0.01%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 0.03%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.07%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 0.17% at the time of writing, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) rose 0.02%.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-will-find-out-next-10-days-iran-step-futher-or-nuclear-deal/cZRkRUKR4Dd">US-Iran Tensions: Trump Says Next 10 Days Will Show Whether United States Takes It A 'Step Further' Or Makes A Deal</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

U.S. President Donald Trump, pictured in the Oval Office, on September 25, 2025. (Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)

Will US Strike Iran Anytime Soon Given Trump's 10-Day Window For More Clarity? Here's What Bettors Think Amid The Military Build-Up In Middle East

The U.S. military has reportedly deployed a vast array of forces in the Middle East, comprising fighter jets, refueling tankers, and two aircraft carriers.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>In an op-ed in The Wall Street Journal, Michael Selig stated that event contracts qualify as “swaps” under the Commodity Exchange Act and are subject to federal oversight.</li><li>According to him, there are currently nearly 50 state cases arguing that event contracts constitute gambling and fall under state law.</li><li>Selig said the agency will defend federally registered exchanges, including Polymarket, Kalshi, and Coinbase, against such state-level litigation.</li></ul>Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chair Michael Selig said the agency will “no longer sit idly by” while state governments pursue litigation against federally registered exchanges, including Polymarket, Kalshi, and Coinbase (COIN).The CFTC is starting out with a “friend-of-the-court” filing on Tuesday in support of Crypto.com in the Ninth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, according to an opinion piece&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.wsj.com/opinion/states-encroach-on-prediction-markets-6eb43af9">written</a> for The Wall Street Journal.“The most common allegation is that these contracts are a form of gambling and therefore subject to state laws,” Selig wrote, noting that nearly 50 state-level cases are currently pending against CFTC-registered exchanges.&nbsp;<blockquote>“The CFTC will no longer sit idly by while overzealous state governments undermine the agency’s exclusive jurisdiction over these markets by seeking to establish statewide prohibitions on these exciting products.”&nbsp;Michael Selig, Chairman, Commodity Futures Trading Commission&nbsp;</blockquote><h2 class="st-heading-2">The Legal Battle Over Prediction Markets</h2>Selig maintained that event contracts serve legitimate economic purposes. According to him, they allow businesses and individuals to hedge risks tied to specific developments, help investors manage exposure, and generate market-based signals about future outcomes.“Farmers can manage risk related to temperature changes that may affect crops, and small-business owners can hedge against tax increases or energy-price spikes, to name two examples,” he wrote.He added that exchanges like Coinbase aren’t the “Wild West,” but self-regulatory organizations that are examined and supervised by experienced CFTC staff. Under the Commodity Exchange Act, Selig argued, event contracts qualify as “swaps.”&nbsp;Selig noted that futures, swaps, and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were once new products, but Congress granted the CFTC broad authority to oversee derivatives markets. Just because something is new doesn’t mean courts can reinterpret the law, he wrote.&nbsp;<h2 class="st-heading-2">Crypto Moves In Washington</h2>Selig’s move comes amid stalled negotiations in Washington over the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act). The Senate Agriculture Committee, which oversees matters tied to the CFTC’s jurisdiction, advanced its portion of the bill in January. The Senate Banking Committee’s section, which falls under the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), remains stalled.The intervention also follows the CFTC's announcement of an expanded 35-member crew to run the Innovation Advisory Committee (IAC), which added Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong to its roster alongside the leaders of Ripple, Robinhood, and Bullish.&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/COIN">COIN’s stock</a> moved 1% higher after hours on Monday, building on Friday’s 16% rally sparked by its earnings call, though&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/coinbase-post-earnings-rebound-faces-a-wary-wall-street/cZR5pXqR4sr">analysts remained cautious</a> in their outlook. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the cryptocurrency exchange remained in ‘extremely bullish’ territory amid ‘extremely high’ levels of chatter over the past day.&nbsp;Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/cryptocurrency/shark-tank-kevin-o-leary-says-bitcoin-crash-cleared-out-poo-poo-coins/cZRW7xKR4Mo">Shark Tank’s Kevin O’Leary Says Crypto Crash Cleared Out ‘Poo Poo’ Coins – Only Bitcoin, Ethereum Matter Now</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Michael Selig, Chairman and Commissioner of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, on Wednesday, November 19, 2025. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

Michael Selig Says CFTC Won’t Sit ‘Idly By’ As States Target Coinbase, Polymarket – First Court Filing Tuesday 

The CFTC plans to file a “friend-of-the-court” brief supporting Crypto.com in the Ninth U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals on Tuesday.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Data from popular prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show that bets regarding the Supreme Court’s potential decision are now worth over $9 million.</li><li>On Kalshi, users think there is a 30% chance that the Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump tariffs by 2028.</li><li>On Polymarket, bettors think there is a slightly lower chance of a positive ruling for the Trump administration, with 28% expecting a ruling in President Trump’s favor.</li></ul>The U.S. Supreme Court has reportedly set February 20 as the next opinion day as it returns after a four-week recess, amid the ongoing case regarding President Donald Trump’s tariff policy.According to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-13/supreme-court-schedules-opinions-on-feb-20-as-tariff-case-looms">report</a>, the SCOTUS is&nbsp;also expected to issue opinions on February 24 and 25, in addition to those scheduled for February 20. Hearings in the Trump tariffs case were held in November 2025.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Are Predicting Markets Indicating?</h2>Data from popular prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show that bets regarding the Supreme Court’s potential decision are now worth over $9 million. While Kalshi volumes show bets worth more than $5 million, Polymarket bets had reached nearly $4.4 million at the time of writing.Data from Kalshi shows that users think there is a 30% chance the Supreme Court will rule in favor of Trump's tariffs by 2028.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Kalshi_tariffs_jpg_613b2fc839.webp" alt="Kalshi prediction market bets on Supreme Court tariffs case on Feb. 13" width="866" height="468"><figcaption>Kalshi prediction market bets on Supreme Court tariffs case on Feb. 13 | Kalshi</figcaption></figure>On Polymarket, bettors think there is a slightly lower chance of a positive ruling for the Trump administration, with 28% expecting a ruling in President Trump’s favor. Both the bets require an official announcement from the Supreme Court.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Polymarket_tariffs_jpg_c1d80d9584.webp" alt="Polymarket prediction market bets on Supreme Court tariffs case on Feb. 13" width="951" height="471"><figcaption>Polymarket prediction market bets on Supreme Court tariffs case on Feb. 13 | Polymarket</figcaption></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">Trump Tariffs Draw Skepticism From Conservative Justices</h2>At a November hearing, Trump's tariffs&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-tariffs-case-supreme-court/cL2q8jQREG6">drew skepticism</a> from conservative justices, with Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Amy Coney Barrett questioning whether the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) authorized President Trump to impose emergency tariffs.Chief Justice Roberts also said that Congress has the “core power” when it comes to tax regulation, while rejecting the Trump administration’s claim that tariffs are not taxes.In January, President Trump&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/trump-600-billion-tariffs-ahead-of-supreme-court-decision/cmxMoQaR4bC">stated</a> that the U.S. would soon receive more than $600 billion in tariffs. He called the upcoming Supreme Court’s tariff decision “one of the most important ever” in the apex court’s history.Meanwhile, U.S. equities gained in Friday’s midday trade. At the time of writing, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.68%, the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 0.88%, while the&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) gained 0.48%. Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/us-consumer-inflation-january-2026-cpi-report/cZR5t5IR4sz">CPI Report: Annual Inflation Rate Comes In At 2.4% In January, Below Wall Street Expectations</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A trade court ruled in late May that Trump tariffs were illegal but its ruling was since then stayed by an appeals court:.

Supreme Court Reportedly Sets February 20 As Next Opinion Day Amid Ongoing Trump Tariffs Case — Here Are The Latest Prediction Market Odds

According to a Bloomberg report, the SCOTUS is also expected to issue opinions on February 24 and 25, in addition to those scheduled for February 20.

In this photo illustration, the High Roller Technologies logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen.

ROLR Stock Chases Another Winning Day As Prediction-Market Bet Keeps Paying Off

A responsible-gambling push in Ontario and aggressive 2026 growth plans keep momentum roaring.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>DraftKings’ entry into the predictions market comes after the company acquired Railbird Technologies, a federally regulated prediction market, in October.</li><li>Following the acquisition, Jefferies stated that it believes an offering in predictions is necessary to enter states in which online sports betting is illegal.</li><li>The Boston, Massachusetts-based company, known for its fantasy sports offerings, announced that its prediction markets launch is subject to oversight by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).</li></ul>DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) on Friday announced its entry into prediction markets with the launch of a dedicated app, beginning with sports and finance, taking on similar offerings from Kalshi and Polymarket.The Boston, Massachusetts-based company, known for its fantasy sports offerings, announced that its prediction markets launch comes under the oversight of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).Named DraftKings Predictions, the service is a standalone web and mobile app that allows users to trade on real-world outcomes across a wide range of markets, beginning with sports and finance, before expanding to other categories.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Railbird Acquisition</h2>DraftKings’ entry into the predictions market comes after the company acquired Railbird Technologies, a federally regulated prediction market, in October.“Along with our operational footprint, marketing and analytics infrastructure, and advanced in-house technology, we believe we are uniquely positioned to lead this space over the long term,” said Corey Gottlieb, chief product officer of DraftKings.Following the acquisition, Jefferies&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/draft-kings-stock-soars-on-railbird-deal-draws-investor-attention-as-jefferies-cheers/cLG5IQER3qP">stated</a> that it believes an offering in predictions is necessary to enter states where online sports betting is illegal.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Taking On Kalshi, Polymarket</h2>The launch of a predictions market will allow DraftKings to compete with Kalshi and Polymarket.Kalshi is currently valued at $11 billion, while rival Polymarket was&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://news.kalshi.com/p/kalshi-11-billion-valuation-series-e">reportedly</a> eyeing a valuation of $12 billion to $15 billion. Both Kalshi and Polymarket allow users to bet on a wide range of topics, including sports, politics, and other real-world events.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DKNG">DKNG stock</a> is down 7% year-to-date and 12% over the past 12 months.Also See:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/el-erian-employment-decoupling-from-gdp-due-to-ai/cLeiHPbREs4">El-Erian Sees A New ‘Unsettling’ Economic Risk Emerging In 2026 – And It’s Not Inflation Or Affordability</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration, the logo of DraftKings Inc. is displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo illustration by Cheng Xin/Getty Images)

DraftKings Takes On Kalshi, Polymarket With New Prediction App In A Push Beyond Sports Betting

Named DraftKings Predictions, the service is a standalone web and mobile app product that allows users to trade on real-world outcomes across a wide range of markets.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Gemini’s new product follows five years of regulatory review before securing DCM approval.</li><li>The exchange is offering fee-free event trading for a limited time to attract early users.</li><li>The U.S. prediction market remains limited to a small number of regulated venues.</li></ul>Gemini (GEMI) joined Robinhood (HOOD), Kalshi, Polymarket, and others in Wall Street’s new prediction market push on Monday.The crypto exchange, led by the Winklewoss twins, said it has launched ‘Gemini Predictions’ across all 50 U.S. states. For a limited period, the company will not charge fees on event-based trades, according to a&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/Gemini/status/2000640506599211481?s=20">post</a> on X.<figure class="image"><a class="st-link-external" href="https://x.com/Gemini/status/2000640503512207559?s=20" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow"><img style="aspect-ratio:822/1069;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2025_12_15_222129_png_9119930dc4.webp" alt="Screenshot 2025-12-15 222129.png" width="822" height="1069"></a><figcaption>Gemini announces launch of 'Gemini Predictions.' | Source: @Gemini/X</figcaption></figure>The rollout comes one week after the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/gemi-stock-on-track-for-biggest-single-day-gain-since-nasdaq-debut-after-cftc-nod-for-prediction-markets/cLIxOSiREng">approved</a> Gemini to operate as a Designated Contract Market (DCM), clearing the way for the firm to offer regulated prediction markets to U.S. customers after roughly five years seeking approval.Despite the news,&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/GEMI">GEMI’s stock</a> fell more than 12% in Monday’s session and edged 0.8% lower in after-hours trade amid a broader downtrend in crypto equities as Bitcoin (BTC) dropped to around $85,000. On Stocktwits, however, retail sentiment around the company remained in ‘extremely bullish’ territory alongside ‘extremely high’ levels of chatter over the past day.<figure class="image"><img style="aspect-ratio:1241/132;" src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2025_12_15_222441_png_47f363d0db.webp" alt="Screenshot 2025-12-15 222441.png" width="1241" height="132"><figcaption>GEMI retail sentiment and message volume on November 15 as of 10:25 a.m. ET | Source: Stocktwits</figcaption></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">Gemini Beats Coinbase To Market</h2>Gemini’s launch appears to put it ahead of Coinbase (COIN), which is expected to unveil prediction markets and tokenized equities next week, according to a Bloomberg&nbsp;<a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-11/coinbase-ready-to-launch-prediction-markets-tokenized-stocks">report</a>.The report said Coinbase plans to launch tokenized stocks in-house rather than through partners. Robinhood and crypto exchange Kraken already offer tokenized U.S. stocks and exchange-traded funds, part of a broader push to bring traditional financial products onto blockchain rails.Trading activity in tokenized equities has increased in recent months. Monthly transfer volume rose 32% over the past 30 days to $1.45 billion, according to the report, reflecting growing demand for blockchain-based representations of public securities.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/COIN">COIN’s stock</a> fell more than 6% on Monday and edged 0.8% lower in after-hours trade. Retail sentiment around the crypto exchange slid to ‘neutral’ from ‘bullish’ territory over the past day, while chatter remained at ‘normal’ levels.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Gemini Part Of Small CFTC Group</h2>With its DCM status, Gemini joins a small group of CFTC-regulated venues permitted to offer event contracts in the U.S. The market is currently dominated by&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/KALSHI">Kalshi</a>, which operates under the same regulatory framework.Under CFTC rules, event contracts allow traders to buy and sell binary outcomes tied to real-world events, including elections, economic data, and other measurable outcomes. These products are regulated derivatives, distinct from traditional betting or gaming products.Decentralized platforms such as Polymarket continue to operate offshore and remain unavailable to U.S. users under current regulations, highlighting the growing divide between regulated domestic markets and permissionless global alternatives. On Stockwits, retail sentiment around Kalshi trended in ‘bearish’ territory, while retail sentiment around&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/POLYMARKET">Polymarket</a> was in the ‘neutral’ zone.Meanwhile, Robinhood’s ‘prediction market’ offering operates through its event contracts hub, where users trade CFTC-regulated yes-or-no contracts. The platform routes trades through regulated derivatives exchanges and markets the products as event contracts rather than betting. <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/HOOD">HOOD's stock</a> fell 3.55% on Monday and was down more than 1% in after-hours trade. On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the company trended in 'bullish' territory, amid 'high' levels of chatter.Read also:&nbsp;<a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/elon-musk-becomes-first-person-ever-worth-600-billion-dollars-widens-lead-over-larry-page/cLe4i4BREoH">Elon Musk Becomes First Person Ever Worth $600B — Widens Lead Over Larry Page As Trillionaire Milestone Nears</a>For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The logo of Gemini Trust Company is seen at its stand in the exhibition hall during the Bitcoin 2022 Conference at Miami Beach Convention Center on April 7, 2022 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Marco Bello/Getty Images)

Gemini Beats Coinbase To Market As Prediction Markets Turn Into Wall Street’s Next Trading Battleground

Coinbase is expected to announce its own prediction markets and tokenized equities next week.

POLYMARKET
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