COVID Darling Needs New Tricks

Biotech giant Moderna exploded to the forefront of investors’ minds during the COVID-19 pandemic, playing a pivotal role in bringing the mRNA vaccine to life so quickly. 💉

Its role in the pandemic helped propel its market capitalization from under $10 billion in 2019 to nearly $200 billion at its peak. But as the U.S. and other countries moved past the pandemic’s peak and into a more normalized environment, it’s struggled to maintain that valuation.

Since peaking in 2021, its valuation has tumbled 80% to roughly $40 billion as investors look towards its next act. And nothing makes that more apparent than the stock’s reaction to news about the company’s updated COVID-19 vaccine for new variants of the virus. 🧫

Today, the company said its new vaccine generated a strong immune response against a highly mutated omicron variant, BA.2.86. Yet the stock barely budged on the news, instead continuing its recent decline. While this is good news from a scientific perspective, it’s unlikely to drive the significant growth investors are looking for. Thus, the market’s response was lackluster. 👎

For now, traders and investors are focused on the clear downtrend the stock remains stuck in. After breaking to multi-year lows in August, prices recently retested broken support near $117 and are now continuing lower. The stock’s 63-day moving average (in purple) also indicates its quarterly price trend remains lower.

Hopes are the company can use its mRNA technology to create vaccines and treatments for other significant diseases. But without a clear catalyst to change things, many are looking elsewhere for opportunities. As such, sellers remain in control for now. 🤷

Adobe Leads Day Of Breakups

Most of today’s stories were related to hookups in the market, but we also need to touch on some major breakups. 💔

The first and most prevalent news story was that Adobe and Figma have called off their $20 billion acquisition. The two companies have faced intense scrutiny from European regulators, today saying, “There is no clear path to receive necessary regulatory approvals from the European Commission and the U.K. Competition and Markets Authority.”

Read It

Thailand Scores Major EV Win

Thailand has been helping lead the electric vehicle (EV) push, with the second-biggest economy in Southeast Asia looking to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050. ♻️

The country is known as the “Detroit of Asia,” serving as a major manufacturing hub. As part of that, it’s looking to make 30% of its car output electric by 2030 so that it doesn’t lose its leadership position in the EV transition. Its government is putting up major funds to help fund that, approving $970 million in tax cuts and subsidies to help encourage demand and boost local production. ⚡

Read It

Peloton’s New Partnership

With Peloton’s turnaround strategy not yet bearing the fruit it had anticipated, the company continues to lean on partnerships to grow market share. For example, in September, the company entered a 5-year strategic partnership with Lulemon to bring its content to the athleisure brand’s exercise app. It also made Lululemon Peloton’s primary athletic apparel partner. 👟

It’s still too early to tell whether or not that cooperative effort is working, but management seems to think further initiatives like it will help boost revenues. As a result, it’s partnering with TikTok to bring short-form fitness videos and other content to the social media platform.

Read It

March Madness Continues At NYCB

When regular people talk about March Madness, they’re referring to college basketball. But when traders and investors talk about March Madness, they’re referring to a regional bank stock imploding.

We’re about a year out from three regional banks failing and/or being rescued, and now the sharks are circling New York Community Bancorp. The long story short, until today, is that the regional lender has too much commercial real estate exposure, weak internal controls over financial reporting, and a new CEO trying to right the ship. 🗞️

Read It