There are some clear signs that the crypto market is decoupling from stonks, but whether that is a sign of a major change or just anomalous behavior remains to be seen.
As a result of the broader crypto market’s moves, this Friday’s Litepaper will look at Dogecoin ($DOGE.X), Ethereum ($ETH.X), Monero ($XMR.X), and Polygon’s ($MATIC.X) charts. Those four altcoins’ Point & Figure charts show several major breakouts that could occur soon.
But before we dive into the charts, here’s how the market looked before going into the weekend:
|Binance Coin (BNB)||
|Altcoin Market Cap||
|Total Market Cap||
No, the chart below is not a bunch of hugs and kisses. The chart style is known as Point & Figure, the oldest technical analysis chart style in existence. The primary difference between Point & Figure charts and Japanese candlesticks or American bar charts is Point and Figure is a price action only chart. There is no time or volume.
Polygon ($MATIC.X) has a bullish and bearish setup in Point and Figure. For bulls, the setup is based on a Point & Figure pattern known as an Ascending Triple Top. Bulls are likely eyeing an entry at $0.79, with a standard four-box stop at $0.75 and a profit target just shy of $1.00 and slightly above the prior swing high at $0.97.
Bears are likely looking at short entries with a confirmed break below a quadruple bottom at $0.72. Note the image’s volume profile on the left side – it is extremely thin, between $0.74 and $0.61. Slim volume profiles act like a vacuum and suck price action through it to the next high volume node, which doesn’t appear until the $0.60 – $0.61 value area – a likely target for shorts.
This one will be short and sweet. Just like Polygon’s ($MATIC.X) chart, there is an Ascending Triple Top breakout setup on Ethereum’s ($ETH.X) Point & Figure chart. Bullish analysts and traders are waiting for an entry at $1,400 with an upside potential near the $1,725 value area.
Ethereum and the rest of the market remain at the mercy of Bitcoin, and until there is a major change in direction, ETH will likely continue to trade flat and possibly even lower.
Dogecoin’s ($DOGE.X) Point & Figure chart shows a Pole Pattern continues to play out. Bulls are looking for a reversal column of Xs to form as an entry point – which would occur at $0.063, but that is likely to change depending on when you read this Litepaper! The very upper range is at the $0.078 value area, but there are some significant resistance zones in the $0.072 value area that will likely prove to be a difficult zone to stay above.
However, bears will likely remain in control until the broader market makes a clear case of a new and sustainable bull market.
Out of the top 25 cryptocurrencies by market cap, Monero ($XMR.X) is perhaps most at risk of regulatory pressure. Why? Because Monero is a privacy coin – it’s the Bitcoin ($BTC.X) of privacy coins. Monero’s primary purpose is to maintain anonymity.
Do you know who really doesn’t like that? The IRS. They’ve had a bounty of $625,000 to anyone that can crack Monero’s transactions. So, while the fundamentals are certainly worrisome in the long run for Monero’s continued operation (at least in the US), the current technicals point to a probable bullish breakout soon.
The blue diagonal line on Monero’s Point & Figure chart is the dominant trend angle – which is bearish. However, if Monero continues to move higher and develops a double top at $160, then bullish traders and analysts are likely looking for an entry at $165. $165 would simultaneously cause a breakout above the dominant trend line and a double-top.
Bullets From The Day:
👍 Ripple ($XRP.X) was handed another ‘win’ with its battle against the SEC. U.S. District Judge Analise Torres ruled in favor of Ripple Labs after ordering the SEC to release the extremely important “Hinman Speech” – a speech in 2018 that former SEC official William Hinman made asserting that Ethereum and related cryptocurrencies are not securities. Read the court order here
🤬 Meta ($META), formerly Facebook, announced yesterday that all US Instagram and Facebook users can now share their NFTs and other digital collectibles on those platforms. However, Twitter user @cryptomanran warned that connecting NFT wallets to Meta would, in effect, tie a previously anonymous wallet to an identity that has KYC – effectively giving Meta and others access to your entire transaction history. Cryptonews has the full story
😁 Well, holy hand grenade of Antioch, this is a sneaky little bit of uber bullish crypto news: a group of US Senators has submitted a draft bill to update the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA) to include digital assets. A basic green light for a huge swath of fiduciaries to finally have the protection to recommend crypto in portfolios. And it’s only three pages long. You can read it here