Graphic Packaging expects 2026 Net Sales, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EPS of approximately $8.6B, $1.05B, and $0.65, respectively, and Adjusted Cash Flow of $600M to $700M.
the bearish side of this is pretty heavy: EBITDA 289M vs 383M a year ago, net income 22M vs 142M, leverage up to 4.3x. and the stock is still ~+18% (~11.03 at 12:43 ET). feels like the market is buying the sequential margin uptick more than the quarter itself. my screens are split on it too: momentum buy since Oct 29, volume ~2.3x, but RSI ~76 and a reversal sell flag since the open