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What do you expect the S&P 500’s total return to be in the second half of December?

The S&P 500 is modestly lower so far in December, putting the Santa Claus rally in question. The Santa Claus rally refers to the market’s tendency to rise in the final weeks of the year—what do you expect from December 16 through December 31?
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Top Replies
msgetzoff
...trump needs to STFU and fix the economy
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2026Bear
so many bulls wow. The drop is going to be huge.
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tradingrules
the market is way overvalued!! Bearish
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Srwitt
looks like someone hit the " make crypto great again"...button Bullish
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Vizier57
It will largely depend on the November CPI report due Thursday.
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IslandTrader36
GL with that "strong consumer " narrative
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Kenp68
people has forgot the RS. Typical 2021 case • Bought at $20 pre-split → break-even $200 → requires +1,335% • Bought at $25 pre-split → break-even $250
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FadiZ1
Scenario Probability Benefit to VPLM Cash Settlement Moderate Quick liquidity, stock spike Licensing Agreement High Sustainable revenue, credibility Behavioral Remedies Moderate Market access, indirect growth Hybrid Settlement Moderate-High Best balance of short & long-term gains
BryantScumBull82
I can't see things going much further without a major correction. Too many ATH situations and the top companies are starting to buy from each other now. Bearish
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