IOC Breaks Out Above Key Levels: SEBI RA Harika Enjamuri Sees Bullish Momentum Holding Above ₹139

Enjamuri flagged supportive technical indicators and macro tailwinds that could sustain IOC’s upward trend in the near term.
In this photo illustration, the Indian Oil company logo seen displayed on a smartphone with an economic stock exchange index graph in the background. (Photo Illustration by Budrul Chukrut/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
In this photo illustration, the Indian Oil company logo seen displayed on a smartphone with an economic stock exchange index graph in the background. (Photo Illustration by Budrul Chukrut/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
Profile Image
Deepti Sri·Stocktwits
Updated Jul 02, 2025   |   8:31 PM EDT
Share
·
Add us onAdd us on Google

Shares of Indian Oil Corp. (IOC) have formed a bullish structure on both daily and weekly charts after breaking out above ₹145.04 with strong volumes, according to SEBI-registered analyst Harika Enjamuri. 

She noted the stock closed at ₹148.56 and maintains a positive bias above ₹139, supported by key moving average crossovers and strong momentum indicators.

Enjamuri highlighted that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 75.07, indicating strong momentum though approaching overbought territory. 

The stock has crossed its 9, 70, and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), which now act as support.

Immediate resistance lies at ₹153.43 and ₹159.91, with deeper support seen at ₹139.20–₹136.00. A breakdown below ₹129.40 would negate the bullish setup.

At the time of writing, IOC shares were trading at ₹148.20, down 0.24% on the day.

On the earnings front, IOC posted a sharp fourth-quarter (Q4) FY25 rebound, with net profit rising 152% sequentially to ₹7,265 crore and earnings per share improving to ₹5.14 from ₹2.03. 

Operating profit nearly doubled to ₹13,572 crore, lifting operating margins to 7% from 4%, aided by lower expenses despite flat revenue of ₹1.94 lakh crore.

However, Enjamuri cautioned that the full-year FY25 performance showed pressure. 

Net profit fell 67% YoY to ₹12,962 crore, operating profit halved, and operating profit margin (OPM) shrank to 4% from 9%, despite only a slight decline in revenue. 

Elevated interest costs of ₹8,732 crore and depreciation expenses of ₹15,284 crore weighed on margins.

She added that easing crude prices from an expected reversal in OPEC+ output cuts in Q3FY26 could support refining spreads and inventory gains, offering a macro tailwind for IOC.

On Stocktwits, sentiment was ‘bullish’ amid ‘high’ message volume.

IOC shares have risen 8.1% so far this year.

For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

Share
·
Add us onAdd us on Google
Read about our editorial guidelines and ethics policy