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Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) stock slipped premarket on Wednesday after the burger chain reduced its fiscal second-quarter (Q2) and full-year earnings outlook, prompting several firms to lower their price targets.
For Q2, the company now expects revenue of $415 million to $420 million, down from its earlier forecast of $424 million to $428 million. It also expects sales at existing restaurants to grow 2.5% to 3.0%, compared with its previous estimate of 3.0% to 5.0%.
Shake Shack also lowered several of its profit forecasts for 2026. The company now expects adjusted EBITDA of $225 million to $235 million, down from its earlier outlook of $230 million to $245 million.
DA Davidson lowered its price target on the stock to $70 from $85 while maintaining a ‘Buy’ rating. The firm said the updated outlook appears more realistic and better aligned with current business conditions.
Still, the new price target implies a 22% upside to the stock’s last closing price.
Analysts also pointed to the company's recently appointed CFO, suggesting the leadership change could help reduce execution risks going forward. The firm added that it still believes the shares offer value at current levels.
Shake Shack stock traded over 1% lower in Wednesday’s premarket.
Jefferies analyst Andy Barish cut his price target to $66 from $76 and kept a Hold rating after the company lowered its outlook. The firm said economic challenges remain a concern and that expectations for stronger consumer spending and a boost from the World Cup are now less optimistic.
Oppenheimer analyst Michael Tamas also cut his price target to $82 from $100 while keeping an Outperform rating, indicating he still believes in the company's long-term growth plans despite the recent guidance reduction.
On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the stock changed to ‘neutral’ from ‘bearish’ territory the previous day. Message volume surged over 700% in 24 hours.
A user said, “shake shack is amazing and they have market differentiation with their quality. Profit margins are reduced due to macro conditions. Shake shack is not going anywhere. Massive buying the dip opportunity.”
Another user said, “heard an analyst say that there’s no investment and drive-through restaurants right now fast food! you know what that means? it’s time to buy. When nobody wants to own this sector it’s when you buy it.”
SHAK stock has declined by nearly 30% year-to-date.
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