Will Tesla Shareholders Approve Elon Musk's Compensation Package? Here's What Prediction Markets Show

Data from popular prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show that the bets on the two platforms are now worth over $1.1 million.
A portrait picture of Elon Musk photographed in Krakow, Poland on January 22nd, 2024 and Tesla logo are screened for illustration photo. (Photo by Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
A portrait picture of Elon Musk photographed in Krakow, Poland on January 22nd, 2024 and Tesla logo are screened for illustration photo. (Photo by Beata Zawrzel/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
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Rounak Jain·Stocktwits
Published Nov 06, 2025   |   9:16 AM EST
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A decision on Tesla Inc. (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk’s $1 trillion compensation package will be made during the company’s annual shareholder meeting on Thursday afternoon. Prediction markets are abuzz with activity ahead of the announcement.

Data from popular prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket show that the bets on the two platforms are now worth over $1.1 million. While Kalshi volumes show bets worth more than $972,000, Polymarket bets had reached a total of over $184,000 at the time of writing.

What Are Prediction Markets Saying?

Data from Kalshi indicates a 92% probability of Musk’s compensation package being approved. Participants on Polymarket were even more optimistic, with data indicating a 96% probability of approval at the time of writing.

Kalshi prediction market bets on Elon Musk's compensation package on Nov. 6
Kalshi prediction market bets on Elon Musk's compensation package on Nov. 6 | Kalshi
Polymarket prediction market bets on Elon Musk's compensation package on Nov. 6
Polymarket prediction market bets on Elon Musk's compensation package on Nov. 6 | Polymarket

The results of the shareholder vote on Musk’s compensation package will be announced on Thursday afternoon.

Tesla shares were down 0.13% in Thursday’s pre-market trade. Retail sentiment on Stocktwits around the company trended in the ‘bearish’ territory at the time of writing.

Get updates to this story developing directly on Stocktwits.

Also See: Cathie Wood Says Tesla CEO Elon Musk Deserves His Compensation Package Ahead Of Shareholder Vote: Report

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