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BlackRock upgraded U.S. Treasuries to overweight, ending a nearly six-year underweight position, as 10-year yields climbed about 110 basis points this year to roughly 5.25%, their highest levels in decades. The firm favors short-term government debt while moving long-term Treasuries to neutral, arguing that higher real interest rates rather than inflation expectations have driven the selloff. BlackRock believes markets are overstating future Fed tightening and estimates current yields provide a 75-basis-point buffer against further rate increases over the next 12 months before total returns turn negative.
To fund the shift, BlackRock cut U.S. equities from overweight to neutral and reduced agency mortgage-backed securities exposure. Despite the tactical caution, it maintains a structural preference for AI-focused stocks, listed infrastructure and emerging-market equities. $BLK
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