Brief Multi-Strategy: [Wafer Watch] Foundry Loading, 3nm Scarcity, and New Materials Constraints and more
In this briefing: [Wafer Watch] Foundry Loading, 3nm Scarcity, and New Materials Constraints Busy Ming (1768 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights Simandou Hits China, Momentum Softens: Is Iron Ore Entering a Buy-The-Dip Phase? Exencial Industry Tidings CX Daily: Digital Yuan Overhaul Targets Mass Adoption, Cross-Border Use 1. [Wafer Watch] Foundry Loading, 3nm Scarcity, and New Materials Constraints Samsung Foundry’s utilisation is recovering on 4nm/8nm, but 2nm yields keep break-even out of reach; TSMC tightness and Tesla’s AI6 deal are the near-term demand supports. TSMC’s 3nm is effectively sold out through 2027, turning what began as a CoWoS bottleneck into a wafer constraint and pushing customers to hedge via Samsung and Intel. AI is creating a new materials bottleneck in indium phosphide, while China’s CXMT accelerates DRAM scale-up, narrowing the process gap and reshaping bargaining power. 2. Busy Ming (1768 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights Busy Ming Group (1768 HK) is a food and beverage retailer in China.