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Glencore raised its long-term profit outlook for its commodities trading business on Friday, saying adjusted Marketing EBIT for 2026 is expected to exceed $5 billion, driven largely by major shifts in crude oil markets. The company also expects second-half results to come in at the upper end of its previous guidance.
From 2027 onward, Glencore introduced a new framework for long-term trading earnings that incorporates readily marketable inventories (RMI), financing costs and interest rates. Based on $32.2 billion of RMI at the end of June and a current marketing financing cost of about 5%, the framework implies a midpoint of roughly $3.5 billion, within a range of approximately $2.8 billion-$4.2 billion.
With RMI at $25.4 billion, the implied midpoint would be about $3.2 billion, reflecting roughly $300 million lower associated financing costs. Glencore said its previous long-term guidance was based on lower inventory levels and a different interest-rate environment.
$GLNCY