Brief India: Higher Import Prices and Modest Export Rebound to Push CAD to 1% of GDP in FY27 and more
In this briefing: Higher Import Prices and Modest Export Rebound to Push CAD to 1% of GDP in FY27 Primer: Lumax Auto Technologies (LMAX IN) - Apr 2026 Exencial Industry Tidings - 24-04-2026 Primer: Transrail Lighting (TRANSRAI IN) - Apr 2026 Primer: Aether Industries (AETHER IN) - Apr 2026 1. Higher Import Prices and Modest Export Rebound to Push CAD to 1% of GDP in FY27 Hurt by soaring US import tariffs in Aug'25-Mar'26, India's goods exports grew just 0.9% in FY26, while imports (bolstered by higher prices) grew 6.5%, widening the trade deficit to US$333bn. Services exports have continued strongly outpacing imports. For the year to Feb'26, services imports grew 4%, services exports +9.6% and the services-trade surplus widened 16% to US$214bn. With an incomes surplus of US$100bn+ likely, the CAD is likely to be 0.5-0.6% of CAD in FY26, widening to 1% of GDP in FY27 amid higher crude oil prices. 2. Primer: Lumax Auto Technologies (LMAX IN) - Apr 2026 Lumax Auto Technologies is strategically positioning itself as a key Tier-0.5 supplier by expanding its product portfolio into high-growth areas such as advanced plastics, mechatronics, and alternative fuel systems, supported by strong inorganic growth and global technology partnerships.