Markets pricey with modest EPS growth; autos, hospitality offer opportunities: Venkatesh Balasubramaniam of JM Financial
Venkatesh Balasubramaniam of JM Financial shared a comprehensive view of the Indian equity markets, highlighting the challenges and opportunities amid the current environment. He emphasized that the markets are trading at elevated valuations, with the headline indices priced at nearly 23–24 times one-year forward earnings—roughly one standard deviation above the mean. While such valuations could be justified by high earnings growth, actual EPS performance has been disappointing. FY25 began with expectations of 15% EPS growth but ended at 3.4%, and current-year projections have been revised down to roughly 7%, implying modest returns at best. Given this context, Venkatesh believes meaningful gains are unlikely from the broader indices, though individual stocks may still offer opportunities."So, earnings have got revised up. Similarly, third quarter again while on a quarter-on-quarter basis the EPS growth will be maybe a little less of a decline and fourth quarter you will see an improvement, but these are already factored in the numbers.