SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

United States Oil Fund LP - United States Oil Fund

United States Oil Fund

The United States Oil Fund is surging amidst escalating Middle East tensions and concerns over restricted oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, sparking community speculation on a prolonged energy shock versus an eventual price correction.

SSgA Active Trust - State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF

Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund

XLE is trending due to escalating Middle East tensions, with Iranian strikes on oil infrastructure and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz fueling expectations of a massive oil price surge. The community is actively debating if this geopolitical risk premium signals a sustained energy rally or a fleeting market panic, impacting broader inflation concerns.

Nutex Health, Inc. engages in the management and operation of healthcare facilities. It operates through the following segments: Hospital Division, Population Health Management Division, and Real State Division. The Hospital Division is involved in developing and operating a network of micro-hospitals, specialty hospitals, and hospital outpatient departments (HOPDs). The Population Health Division establishes and operates provider networks such as independent physician associations (IPAs). The Real State Division owns land and hospital buildings which are leased to hospital entities. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

Nutex Health Inc

Nutex Health is trending due to its recent Q4 earnings report, which sparked polarized community debate following a headline revenue miss attributed to one-time accounting adjustments. While some investors express concern over revenue recognition, many view the reported strong annual growth, record cash balance, and new $25M share repurchase program as robust bullish indicators, labeling the stock an "absolute bargain" amid a perceived market overreaction.

SELLAS Life Sciences Group, Inc. is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of immunotherapeutic for cancer indications. Its product pipeline includes galinpepimut-S. The company was founded by Angelos M. Stergiou on April 3, 2006 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

SELLAS Life Sciences Group Inc

SELLAS Life Sciences is generating intense anticipation around its pivotal Phase 3 REGAL trial results for GPS, an immunotherapy for AML, with community discussions highlighting potential for "curative outcomes" and a massive market opportunity, fueling widespread speculation of an imminent Big Pharma buyout as the CEO's recent communications are seen as highly bullish signals.

Pyth Network is a decentralised oracle network designed to provide real-time financial market data to decentralised applications (dApps) across multiple blockchains. It allows developer to secure smart contracts with reliable, low-latency market data from institutional sources, and build apps with high-fidelity oracle feeds designed for mission-critical systems.

Pyth Network

Pyth Network is trending as its utility gains traction through major integrations with Sui and Cardano, alongside a notable partnership with the US Commerce Department to publish economic data on-chain. The community is buzzing about its position as a vital Real World Asset (RWA) oracle, often comparing its fundamental value against meme tokens, further fueled by its newly announced token buyback program.

Direxion Shares ETF Trust - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) is experiencing extreme volatility as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and mixed sentiment following recent semiconductor earnings reports drive sharp market swings, leading the community to intensely debate aggressive 'buy the dip' opportunities versus predictions of further downside.

Bitwise XRP ETF - Common Shares Of Beneficial Interest

Bitwise XRP ETF

XRP is trending due to consistent inflows into its spot ETFs and favorable regulatory developments, such as Japan classifying it as a financial asset, signaling increased institutional interest. The community remains divided, with many actively accumulating during price dips in anticipation of a rally, while others voice strong skepticism regarding its underlying value and potential for dilution.

Paramount Skydance Corp. is a next-generation global media and entertainment company that engages in providing content creation and distribution services. It operates through the following business segments: Studios, Direct-to-Consumer, and TV Media. Its portfolio unites brands including Paramount Pictures, Paramount Television, CBS, CBS News, Nickelodeon, MTV, BET, Comedy Central, Showtime, Paramount Plus, Pluto TV, and Skydance’s Animation, Film, Television, Interactive/Games, and Sports divisions. The company was founded on June 3, 2024 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Paramount Skydance Corp. - Ordinary Shares - Class B

Paramount Skydance is trending following its definitive agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery, a move viewed by bulls as creating a formidable global streaming and media giant under David Ellison's strategic vision, while bears raise significant concerns over the massive debt burden leading to recent credit downgrades.

Morgan Stanley operates as a global financial services company. The firm provides investment banking products and services to its clients and customers including corporations, governments, financial institutions, and individuals. It operates through the following segments: Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The Institutional Services segment provides financial advisory, capital-raising services, and related financing services on behalf of institutional investors. The Wealth Management segment offers brokerage and investment advisory services covering various types of investments, including equities, options, futures, foreign currencies, precious metals, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, structured products, alternative investments, unit investment trusts, managed futures, separately managed accounts, and mutual fund asset allocation programs. The Investment Management segment provides equity, fixed income, alternative investments, real estate, and merchant banking strategies. The company was founded by Harold Stanley and Henry S. Morgan in 1924 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley is trending due to its strategic workforce reductions despite strong earnings, sparking community debate over efficiency versus weakness, while simultaneously making significant moves into cryptocurrency ETFs and custody services, signaling a bold pivot into digital assets amidst a recovering M&A market.

Occidental Petroleum Corp. engages in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. It operates through the following segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. The Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals and vinyls. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, natural gas liquids, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. The company was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

Occidental Petroleum Corp.

Occidental Petroleum is trending as escalating Middle East tensions drive global oil prices higher, yet the community is actively discussing its puzzling lag behind surging crude and widely anticipating a significant catch-up rally.

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<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Peter Oppenheimer of Goldman Sachs said strong earnings growth of companies in the U.S. and in emerging markets, and the potential for economic growth, are deterrents to a deeper bear market.&nbsp;</li><li>The analyst is recommending diversified investments across geographies, factors, and sectors to improve risk-adjusted returns.&nbsp;</li><li>Meanwhile, U.S. equities traded in green on Wednesday at the time of writing.</li></ul>Goldman Sachs reportedly said on Wednesday that the risk of a deep bear market is unlikely despite the current geopolitical climate, disruption from artificial intelligence, and high valuations in the market.According to a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/goldman-says-global-equities-face-correction-risks-bear-market-unlikely-2026-03-04/">report</a> from Reuters, the investment bank has said that it sees the “correction risks” as a buying opportunity."We see correction risks as high given current valuations, but expect this to present a buying opportunity with relatively low risk of a more ​protracted and deep bear market," Peter Oppenheimer, chief global ​equities strategist at Goldman Sachs, reportedly said in a note.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Bear Market Deterrent</h2>As per Goldman’s Oppenheimer, strong earnings growth of companies in the U.S. and in emerging markets, as well as the potential for economic growth, are deterrents to a deeper bear market.The analyst is recommending diversified investments across geographies, factors, and sectors to improve risk-adjusted returns.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Snapshot</h2>Stock markets across the world, especially in the U.S., have been spooked by ballooning AI capital expenditure announcements from big tech companies since the start of the year. Capex from tech firms is expected to be nearly $700 billion in 2026.Meanwhile, the U.S. and Israel’s war against Iran has sent prices of oil higher, stoking concerns over higher inflation and broader economic uncertainty.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, has declined by 0.24% in the past month.However, on Wednesday, the SPY ETF edged up 0.62% at the time of writing. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF </a>(QQQ) climbed 1.35% higher, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) was up 0.59%, and the tech-heavy <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/ndx">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX) also climbed 1.33%.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘neutral’ territory at the time of writing.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

A bull statue and a bear statue stand outside the Frankfurt Stock Exchange on April 7, 2025 in Frankfurt, Germany

Goldman Sachs Says Bear Market Unlikely Despite Geopolitical Tensions, AI Concerns, And High Valuations: Report

According to a report from Reuters, the investment bank has said that it sees the correction risks in the market as a buying opportunity. 

Equity

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Schmid reportedly noted that inflationary pressures are evident in goods impacted by President Donald Trump’s tariffs, as well as in services.&nbsp;</li><li>Speaking about the impact of artificial intelligence, Schmid reportedly said while he believes AI and other technologies will ultimately lead to non-inflationary growth, the country was still not “there yet.”</li><li>While inflation slowed down in January, with the consumer price index rising 2.4% year-over-year, it is still above the Federal Reserve’s target of about 2%.</li></ul>Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City chief Jeff Schmid reportedly said on Tuesday that the apex bank in America cannot be complacent about inflation.According to a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/schmid-says-fed-can-t-be-complacent-about-still-hot-inflation?srnd=homepage-americas">report</a> from Bloomberg, Schmid noted in prepared remarks for an event in Denver, Colorado, that the latest numbers suggest that inflation in the country is almost one percentage point above the Federal Reserve’s target.“Inflation has been above the Fed’s objective for nearly five years now,” Schmid reportedly said. “I don’t think we have room to be complacent.”Schmid also noted that inflationary pressures are evident in goods impacted by President Donald Trump’s tariffs, as well as in services.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Inflation Risk</h2>While inflation slowed down in January, with the consumer price index rising 2.4% year-over-year, it is still above the Federal Reserve’s target of about 2%. Meanwhile, inflation in December came in at 2.7%.Fed officials are widely expected to hold interest rates steady at the next policy meeting slated for March 17-18. Data from the <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">CME FedWatch</a> tool indicates a 97.3% probability that the central bank will hold benchmark interest rates at the current target range of 3.50% to 3.75%.Speaking about the impact of artificial intelligence, Schmid reportedly said while he believes AI and other technologies will ultimately lead to non-inflationary growth, the country was still not “there yet.”While the Kansas City Fed chief said the labor market was in balance, he noted the imbalance in the healthcare sector. Schmid said that high demand for health-care workers amid an aging population would continue to pressure profit margins in that industry, which could push inflation higher up.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Reaction</h2>The conflict in the Middle East after the U.S. and Israel launched military strikes on Iran over the weekend has stoked inflation concerns across the country. Crude oil prices have risen amid the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, while stock markets have fallen.U.S. equities were in the red in Tuesday’s trade at the time of writing. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF </a>(SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, fell 1.70%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) was down 1.85%, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 1.90%. The tech-heavy <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/ndx">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX) was also down by 1.90%.On Stocktwits, retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/tlt">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was down by 0.38% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/ief">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) fell 0.23%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

The seal of the Federal Reserve is pictured before Fed Chairman Jerome Powell conducted a news conference after a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday, July 30, 2025.

Fed’s Jeff Schmid Says Apex Bank Does Not Have Room To Be ‘Complacent’ About Inflation: Report

According to a Bloomberg report, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City chief Jeff Schmid said on Tuesday that inflation in the U.S. has been above the Fed’s target for almost five years. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>HSBC also said that the historic valuations for software companies come at a time when the sector is poised to expand massively, according to TheFly.&nbsp;</li><li>HSBC noted that enterprise software companies have been "doing the heavy lifting” with regard to AI agents.</li><li>HSBC has a ‘Buy’ rating on multiple software companies, including Oracle (ORCL), Salesforce (CRM), CrowdStrike (CRWD), ServiceNow (NOW), and Palantir (PLTR).</li></ul>HSBC on Tuesday expressed its bullish stance on enterprise software, saying valuations are at "historic lows” for companies in the sector even as mounting fears over new artificial intelligence (AI) tools have caused selloffs in recent weeks.The firm said to investors in a research note titled ‘Software Will Eat AI’ that enterprise software companies "will not be threatened by AI." Instead, HSBC predicts that AI will be embedded within software platforms, as seen on TheFly.HSBC also said that the historic valuations for software companies comes at a time when the sector is poised to expand massively.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Top Picks</h2>In the note, HSBC noted that enterprise software companies have been "doing the heavy lifting” with regard to designing, vibe-coding, and beta testing of embedded agents, adding that software vendors are best suited for developing software with AI.HSBC has a ‘Buy’ rating on multiple software companies, including Oracle (ORCL), Salesforce (CRM), CrowdStrike (CRWD), ServiceNow (NOW), and Palantir (PLTR).Some of the other names that are on the firm’s ‘Buy’ list include Autodesk (ADSK), Akamai (AKAM), Alphabet (GOOG), HP Inc. (HPQ), Intuit (INTU), Microsoft (MSFT), TE Connectivity (TEL), and Zoom Communications (ZM).<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Selloff</h2>HSBC’s note comes amid a broader selloff in technology stocks following multiple AI tool releases from Anthropic in recent weeks.The builder of AI assistant Claude, Anthropic has launched an open-source tool to help AI programs complete tasks independently, a new security feature to scan code for vulnerabilities, and its Common Business-Oriented Language (COBOL) capabilities, among others.At the time of writing, some of the losses have been pared. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NDX">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX), which tracks technology companies, gained 1.09%. Meanwhile, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/CIBR">First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF</a> (CIBR) was up 0.85%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

In this photo illustration, an Artificial Intelligence logo is displayed on a smartphone with a US Flag in the background. (Photo Illustration by Omar Marques/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

HSBC Says Enterprise Software Valuations At 'Historic Lows’ — Which Other Tech Stocks Are A ‘Buy’ At The Firm?

The firm said to investors in a research note titled ‘Software Will Eat AI’ that enterprise software companies "will not be threatened by AI."

<ul><li>Short-term dislocations and frustrations should give way to great opportunities if people harness AI’s capabilities correctly, Wood said.&nbsp;</li><li>On Monday, Citrini Research and Alap Shah, Co-Founder and CEO at Littlebird, posted a thought experiment, suggesting that agentic AI could disrupt the economy in the near future.</li><li>This week, Anthropic announced Claude Code’s COBOL capabilities, saying that the AI could help modernize COBOL codebase in quarters instead of years.</li></ul>American investor and CEO of ARK Invest, Cathie Wood, challenged a recent thought piece from Citrini Research that suggested artificial intelligence would disrupt the global economy in the next two years.In a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/CathieDWood/status/2026346861754265979">post</a> on X on Tuesday, Wood said ARK Invest is forecasting that AI will lead to a productivity boom, contribute to growth, and lower inflation.“ARKInvest is forecasting that AI will cause an explosion in entrepreneurial activity, a productivity boom, an acceleration in real GDP growth, and much lower than expected inflation,” she said.Wood also noted that short-term disruptions would give way to better opportunities “IF individuals harness powerful AI tools to solve problems and create new markets.”<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2026_02_24_at_11_54_27_PM_png_bb9e9122f8.webp" alt="Screenshot 2026-02-24 at 11.54.27 PM.png" width="1189" height="490"></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">&nbsp;</h2><h2 class="st-heading-2">Citrini’s Assertion</h2>On Monday, Citrini Research and Alap Shah, Co-Founder and CEO at Littlebird, posted a <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/michael-burry-cites-interesting-thought-experiment-from-citrini-research-on-ai-says-and-you-think-im-bearish/cZRtvm2R4yk">thought experiment</a> on Substack, suggesting that agentic AI could disrupt the economy, primarily employment and the stock market, in the near future.The experiment proposed that unemployment rates would rise to 10.2% and the S&amp;P 500 would slip 38% from its Oct. 2026 highs by June 2028. It also predicted that initial margin expansions, earnings growth, and higher stock market performance would lead to a real wage growth slowdown and eventual collapse of the consumer economy.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Movements</h2>A growing concern among investors about AI disruptions has impacted stock markets in recent days.Last week, Anthropic announced a new security feature in Claude AI that it said would be able to scan code for vulnerabilities and suggest targeted fixes much faster than humans, causing a selloff in cybersecurity stocks.On Monday, Anthropic announced Claude Code’s Common Business-Oriented Language (COBOL) capabilities, saying that the AI could help modernize COBOL codebase in quarters instead of years, causing shares of IBM to tumble more than 13%.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were in green on Tuesday at the time of writing. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF </a>(SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.72%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/qqq">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) climbed 1.09%, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/dia">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust </a>(DIA) increased 0.86%. The tech-heavy <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/ndx">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX) edged up 1.09% at the time of writing.Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.

CEO & Chief Investment Officer of ARK Invest, Cathie Wood, addresses the audience at Altice Arena Centre Stage during the second day of the Web Summit 2022 in Lisbon. (Photo by Hugo Amaral/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)

ARK’s Cathie Wood Rebuts Citrini AI Thought Piece, Predicts Opportunities After Near-Term Disruptions

In a post on X on Tuesday, CEO of ARK Invest Cathie Wood said the firm is forecasting that AI will lead to a productivity boom, contribute to growth, and lower inflation. 

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Burry, who has warned about an AI bubble in the past, shared the thought experiment on an X post on Monday.</li><li>The Substack post from Citrini Research and Alap Shah, Co-Founder and CEO at Littlebird, outlined potential ways in which agentic AI could negatively impact the economy over the next two years.</li><li>Dated as a post from June 2028, the experiment proposed that the unemployment rate would rise to 10.2% and the S&amp;P 500 would fall 38% from its Oct. 2026 highs.</li></ul>“The Big Short” investor Michael Burry, best known for spotting and betting against the subprime mortgage crisis, shared a post from Citrini Research about a thought experiment detailing how artificial intelligence agents would impact the world economy in the future.Sharing the research on an X <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/michaeljburry/status/2025957871599374737">post</a> on Monday, Burry said, “And you think I’m bearish.”<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2026_02_23_at_9_40_11_PM_png_74ded78590.webp" alt="Screenshot 2026-02-23 at 9.40.11 PM.png" width="1184" height="915"></figure>&nbsp;The Substack post from Citrini Research, titled The 2028 Global Intelligence Crisis, posed an interesting experiment into the future, outlining potential ways in which agentic AI could negatively impact the economy over the next two years, specifically employment and the stock market.“What if our AI bullishness continues to be right...and what if that’s actually bearish?” the report noted.<h2 class="st-heading-2">The Big Predictions</h2>The thought experiment, co-authored by Citrini Research and Alap Shah, Co-Founder and CEO at Littlebird as well as Managing Partner at Lotus Technology Management, is dated June 2028, when the experiment proposed that unemployment rate had risen to 10.2% and the S&amp;P 500 had fallen 38% from its Oct. 2026 highs.The experiment went on to suggest that while initial human layoffs and AI-led replacement led to margin expansion, higher earnings, and a boost in stocks, even as headline numbers were strong, real wage growth collapsed and white-collar workers lost jobs to machines, eventually leading to “cracks” in the consumer economy.The report suggested that agentic AI could trigger a structural downturn, starting with a collapse in white-collar hiring, eventually leading to reduced consumption, pushing yields lower, and culminating in a systemic shock of “a negative feedback loop with no natural brake” that would result in falling markets, a recession in 2027, and eventual collapse of private credit and the housing market.Citrini said that “the human intelligence displacement spiral” would result in the AI economy continuing to improve while the broader economy would deteriorate.The experiment comes at a time when stock markets are nearing all-time highs and the AI boom is accelerating. Citrini noted that the negative feedback loops have not yet begun, while also adding that some of the scenarios outlined in their experiment would not materialize.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Burry’s Stance</h2>Michael Burry has warned about an AI bubble on multiple occasions, flagging parallels to the 2000 dot-com buildout, and cautioning about overstated asset lives, slowing cloud growth, and widening capex gaps.Burry has also said that massive data-center spending is draining cash flow and forcing big tech firms to rely on debt or creative accounting to protect reported earnings.Meanwhile, U.S. equities declined on Monday. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was down by 1.08% at the time of writing, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) fell 1.24%, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 1.46%. The tech-heavy <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NDX">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX) fell 1.25% at the time of writing.Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/nvidia-gets-backing-from-da-davidson-jp-morgan-ahead-of-q4-earnings-and-ai-growth-surge/cZRtxzwR4yY">Nvidia Gets Backing From DA Davidson, JPMorgan Ahead Of Q4 Earnings And AI Growth Surge</a>

An artificial intelligence (AI) sign sits illuminated at Mobile World Congress 2025 on March 6, 2025 in Barcelona, Spain

Michael Burry Cites This Interesting Thought Experiment From Citrini Research On AI – Says, 'And You Think I’m Bearish'

‘The Big Short’ Investor shared a post from Citrini Research about a thought experiment detailing how AI agents would impact the world economy in the future.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>The growth investor said that capex budgets usually start high at the beginning of the year, and then shrink as companies decide they do not need the whole investment.&nbsp;</li><li>Black added that capex gets amortized over five years, and hence, does not weigh down on the bottom line all at once.&nbsp;</li><li>For his third point, Black said tech CEOs would eventually see that the capex would not pay off, and they would scale back future capex plans.</li></ul>The Future Fund managing partner, Gary Black, said on Friday that he’s bullish on big technology names despite the market concern over massive capital expenditures planned for 2026.In an X <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://x.com/garyblack00/status/2019811315871547490">post</a>, Black said, “I see a buying opportunity in big tech names that have been hammered because of outsized 2026 capex forecasts.”The fund manager’s comments come as the largest tech companies have collectively announced plans to invest over $630 billion in AI buildouts in 2026, more than double the spend from 2025.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Black’s Rationale</h2>Black outlined three major reasons for his stance in the post.First, the growth investor said that capex budgets start high at the beginning of the year, and then shrink over the course of the following months as companies decide they do not need the whole investment.Second, Black said capex usually gets amortized over five years, unlike normal operating costs. As a result, the expenditure does not weigh down on the bottom line of the companies all at once.“Most of the companies shown packaged their FY’26 capex forecasts with FY’26 profit forecasts so investors could see the current year impact on profits,” Black said.For his third point, Black said eventually tech CEOs would see that the capex splurge would not pay off as the return on investment would fall short over everyone’s bet on the same play.“There will be an awakening by tech CEOs that much of this capex splurge won’t pay off — i.e., ROI will fall short of the cost of capital — as everyone is betting on the same AI payoff, and not everyone will win,” he said.“Once this realization occurs future capex plans will be scaled back,” Black added.Black also said that Google parent Alphabet Inc. (GOOG, GOOGL) and Meta Platforms Inc. (META) both looked compelling at their current price-to-earnings ratio.“$GOOG at a 2026 P/E of 28x vs 20% long-term eps growth (1.4x PEG) and $META at a 2026 P/E of 22x vs +18% EPS growth (1.2x PEG) both look compelling here,” he said.<h2 class="st-heading-2">AI Capex Spending</h2>In its latest earnings, Amazon.com (AMZN) said it will allocate $200 billion to capital expenditure in 2026. Meanwhile, Alphabet guided its capex for 2026 between $175 billion and $185 billion, well above street expectations of $120 billion.Meta increased its capex for 2026, quoting a range of $115 billion to $135 billion, up considerably from $72.22 billion spent in 2025.While the larger market has expressed concerns over the massive expenditure, CEO of Nvidia Corp. (NVDA) Jensen Huang <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/nvda-shares-rally-as-huang-says-demand-for-ai-is-sky-high/cZbFYwgR4Fp">said</a> earlier on Friday that these investments are “appropriate and sustainable.”In a CNBC interview, he noted that the demand for AI is now skyrocketing during a “once-in-a-generation infrastructure buildout,” adding that the companies are going to see a positive impact to their cash flows.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Market Reaction</h2><a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/GOOG">Shares of GOOG</a> closed down almost 2.5% on Friday, and have gained over 67% in the past year. Meanwhile, <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/META">shares of META</a> were down 1.31% at market close, and have lost 7.1% in the past year.<a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/MSFT">MSFT shares</a> closed up 1.9% on Friday, after having lost over 3.5% in the past year. <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/AMZN">AMZN shares</a> were down 5.55% at the end of the day, and have lost nearly 12% in the past year.Meanwhile, a broader rally in semiconductor stocks after Huang’s comments sent U.S. markets <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/dow-rallies-over-50000-for-first-time-sp500-edges-higher/cZbFoGiR4Fo">higher</a> on Friday. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DJIA">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a> (DJIA) closed over 50,000 in a record high. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NDX">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX) closed up 2.15%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/axcelis-stockholders-approve-merger-with-veeco-to-create-semiconductor-equipment-company/cZbFrdJR4FA">Axcelis Stockholders Approve Merger With Veeco To Create Semiconductor Equipment Company</a> &nbsp;

In this photo illustration, the big tech companies Google, Apple, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft logos seen displayed on a mobile phone screen. 

Gary Black Says Big Tech A Buying Opportunity Despite Outsized Capex Forecasts — Here’s Why

In a X post, Black said that he’s bullish on big technology names despite the market concern over massive capital expenditures planned for 2026, outlining three major reasons for his stance.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Concerns over capital expenditures from big technology companies have been weighing down on the market.&nbsp;</li><li>Labor market concerns have also weighed down on stocks, with Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas saying U.S. employers cut 108,435 jobs in January.</li><li>Meanwhile, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang commented on artificial intelligence demand on Friday, saying it is “sky high.”</li></ul>U.S. stocks rallied on Friday amid a recovery in technology stocks.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) added over 1,206 points, pushing past the 50,000 level in a record high. The benchmark index closed over 2.4% higher at 50,115.67.Meanwhile, the S&amp;P 50 gained 1.97% to close at 6,932.30, while the Nasdaq Composite traded up 2.18%.The indexes edged higher due to a recovery in tech stocks after steep declines over the past week.<h2 class="st-heading-2">AI Capex Worries</h2>In recent days, concerns over capital expenditures from big technology companies have been weighing down on the market.Shares of e-commerce giant Amazon Inc. (AMZN) have been slipping lower since the company announced its fourth-quarter (Q4) 2025 earnings results on Thursday, and disclosed a capex of $200 billion for 2026, up from about $130 billion reported in 2025.Meanwhile, Alphabet Inc. (GOOG, GOOGL) said it expects capex for 2026 to be between $175 billion and $185 billion, and Meta Platforms Inc. (META) also increased its capex for 2026 considerably, within a range of $115 billion to $135 billion.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Labor Market Concerns</h2>Labor market concerns also weighed down on stocks. Although the January jobs report is delayed due to a partial government shutdown, Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas said U.S. employers cut 108,435 jobs during the month, levels not seen since 2009.The firm also said hiring plans fell to 5,306. Layoffs were led by transportation and technology, with major cuts announced by Amazon in recent weeks.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Stocks In Focus</h2>Nvidia Corp. (NVDA): <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NVDA">Shares of NVDA</a> surged over 8.6% on Friday and closed 7.87% higher after CEO Jensen Huang commented on artificial intelligence demand, saying it is “sky high.”Broadcom Inc. (AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL): Other chip manufacturers also got a boost from Huang’s optimism for AI demand. <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/AVGO">Shares of AVGO</a> were up over 7.2%, <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/AMD">AMD stock</a> surged over 8.3%, and <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/MRVL">MRVL shares</a> climbed up 8.19%.Oracle Corp. (ORCL), &nbsp;Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): Shares of technology companies Oracle and Palantir gained over 4.8% and 4.7%, respectively.Caterpillar Inc. (CAT): <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/CAT">Shares of CAT</a> rose over 7%, contributing to the larger gains in stock indexes, as it climbed over continued optimism for its record Q4 revenues and backlog.Meanwhile, on Stocktwits, retail sentiment toward the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust</a> (SPY) was in the ‘bearish’ territory amid ‘high’ message volumes.SPY closed 1.92% higher, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust</a> (QQQ) was up 2.11% at market close. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) ended 2.48% higher, while the tech-heavy <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NDX">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX) closed up 2.15%.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up by 0.07% at Friday’s close.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/nvda-shares-rally-as-huang-says-demand-for-ai-is-sky-high/cZbFYwgR4Fp">NVDA Shares Rally As Huang Says Demand For AI Is ‘Sky High’</a>&nbsp;

The Wall Street Bull statue in Manhattan. (Photo by Erik McGregor/LightRocket via Getty Images)

Dow Closes Over 50,000 For The First Time, S&P 500 Edges Higher Amid Tech Revival: NVDA, AVGO, AMD, CAT In Focus

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed over 2.3% to a 50,000 record, while the S&P 50 increased 1.72%.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Daly noted businesses are optimistic because “growth is good,” consumer spending has been reassuring, the job market is recovering, and productivity gains are curbing costs.</li><li>However, she said the latest sentiment surveys show that Americans are expecting fewer jobs to be available and the unemployment rate to rise.</li><li>She added that with inflation printing above the Fed’s 2% goal, this feels precarious.</li></ul>San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President and CEO Mary Daly commented on the economic outlook of America and noted its impact on policy.Daly said in a LinkedIn <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7425569088007180288/">post</a> on Friday that while businesses are leaning towards cautious optimism, workers feel differently.Talking about its impact on policy, Daly said, “We must watch both sides of our mandate. Americans deserve both price stability and full employment, and we can’t take either for granted.”<h2 class="st-heading-2">Labor Market Worries</h2>Daly noted that while “growth is good,” consumer spending has been reassuring, the job market is recovering, and productivity gains are curbing costs for businesses, workers are not as optimistic.She said the evidence comes from the latest sentiment surveys, “which show that Americans are expecting fewer jobs to be available and the unemployment rate to rise.”Daly said that the disconnect between businesses and workers makes sense. “We’ve been in a relatively low-hiring, low-firing environment for some time. That may persist, but workers are aware that things could change quickly, leaving them in a no-hiring, more-firing labor market,” she said.“With inflation printing above the FOMC’s 2 percent goal, this rightly feels precarious,” she added.<figure class="image"><img src="https://news.stocktwits-cdn.com/Screenshot_2026_02_06_at_9_57_28_PM_png_3e68081add.webp" alt="Screenshot 2026-02-06 at 9.57.28 PM.png" width="1104" height="1040"></figure><h2 class="st-heading-2">Job Cuts</h2>While the latest January jobs report has been <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/us-government-shutdown-will-reportedly-delay-january-jobs-data/cZbgHVTR4kA">delayed</a> due to the partial government shutdown over the weekend, consulting firm Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/us-government-shutdown-will-reportedly-delay-january-jobs-data/cZbgHVTR4kA">said</a> that 108,435 jobs were cut in the month, hitting highs similar to 2009-levels.Meanwhile, U.S. employers announced 5,306 hiring plans in January, the lowest level for the month since it began tracking hiring plans in 2009, Challenger said. The job cuts were led by the transportation industry, followed by the technology sector, the firm said.At the end of last month, Amazon <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/amazon-layoffs-16000-jobs-january-2026/cmygbX2R4iw">laid off</a> about 16,000 employees. United Parcel Service (UPS) <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/ups-stock-rises-q4-beat-strong-2026-guidance/cmyavvvR4Le">cut</a> 48,000 jobs in 2025 and announced another 30,000 job cuts this year.Oracle is also likely to <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/oracle-analyst-forecasts-30k-layoffs-divestiture-as-cloud-co-looks-to-ease-debt-concerns/cZbg0aRR4jD">cut</a> 30,000 jobs, affecting about 18.5% of its total global strength as of May 2025.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Interest Rates</h2>Meanwhile, the Fed held benchmark interest rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% in its first policy meeting of 2026, noting that “inflation remains somewhat elevated.”The Fed aims for a 2% average annual inflation rate over the long run, while the inflation rate is currently at 2.7% in the country.Meanwhile, U.S. equities were trading in green on Friday at the time of writing. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was higher by 1.51%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) climbed 1.64%, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) was up by 1.99%.Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was down by 0.22% on Friday, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) was 0.11% lower.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/el-erian-fed-messaging-confused-kevin-warsh-central-bank-say-lot-less/cZbF0ZaR4FJ">El-Erian Says Recent Fed Messaging Has Come Across As 'Confused', Agrees That A Kevin Warsh-Led Central Bank Would Say A Lot Less</a>

Mary Daly, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank, poses for a photograph. (Photo by Nick Otto for the Washington Post)

Fed's Mary Daly Says Americans Deserve Price Stability And Full Employment: ‘We Must Watch Both Sides Of Our Mandate’

San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President and CEO Mary Daly said in a LinkedIn post that while businesses are cautiously optimistic about America's economic outlook, workers feel differently.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>According to the report, President Donald Trump said that he would sign the bill “immediately.”</li><li>Once signed, it will grant full-year funding for the federal government at the end of September.&nbsp;</li><li>However, the Department of Homeland Security has received an extension for funding only through Feb. 13.</li></ul>The House of Representatives reportedly approved a funding package in a 217-214 vote on Tuesday, effectively ending the brief partial government shutdown that started over the weekend.According to a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/house-path-end-government-shutdown-tuesday-dhs-trump-rcna257138">report</a> from NBC, President Donald Trump said that he would sign the bill “immediately.”Once signed, it will grant full-year funding for the federal government at the end of September. However, the Department of Homeland Security has received an extension for funding only through Feb. 13.<h2 class="st-heading-2">What Was The Shutdown About?</h2>The partial shutdown that began on Saturday was over Democrats objecting to the killing of two protesters in Minneapolis by federal immigration agents.The Senate separated DHS funding from other agencies to avoid a prolonged shutdown.According to a report from CBS, Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer said that the Democrats are planning to present a detailed proposal on DHS reforms soon. Schumer reportedly said the proposal would be similar to what Democrats have already laid out.Meanwhile, Trump on Monday said in a Truth Social post that Democrats and Republicans would work together “in good faith to address the issues that have been raised, but we cannot have another long, pointless, and destructive Shutdown that will hurt our Country so badly — One that will not benefit Republicans or Democrats. I hope everyone will vote, YES!”<h2 class="st-heading-2">Data Delays</h2>The partial shutdown has already affected key data releases. The Bureau of Labor Statistics has <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/us-government-shutdown-will-reportedly-delay-january-jobs-data/cZbgHVTR4kA">said</a> that it will not be releasing the latest January jobs report on Friday.The BLS had clarified that even if the funding was restored, the partial shutdown would impact several key reports scheduled to release this week, including December’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey release, and the Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment release, in addition to the jobs data.Meanwhile, U.S. equities ended Tuesday in red. The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, closed 0.85% lower, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) was down 1.54% at close, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) declined 0.35%. Tech-heavy <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NDX">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX) fell 1.55% at close.Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was up 0.24% at market close, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) ended 0.09% higher.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Also Read: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/intel-ceo-announces-foray-into-gpus-appoints-chief-architect/cZb0d2mR4mF">Intel CEO Announces Foray Into GPUs, Appoints Chief Architect</a>

American flag and cash dollar bills - Economics chart (USA, money, economy, inflation, elections, tariffs, government (Photo Courtesy of Javier Ghersi via Getty Images)

US Government Shutdown Ends As House Approves Funding Bill: Report

According to NBC, the House approved a funding package in a 217-214 vote on Tuesday, effectively ending the brief government shutdown.

<ul class="summary-bullets"><li>Even if funding is successfully restored, the partial shutdown will impact several key reports scheduled to release this week, including the latest jobs report, as per the Barron’s report.&nbsp;</li><li>The U.S. government went into a partial shutdown on Jan. 31, 2026 after a funding deadline for a 2026 Budget lapsed without Congress approval.&nbsp;</li><li>December’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey release, and the Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment release will also be rescheduled.</li></ul>The Bureau of Labor Statistics will reportedly not be releasing the latest January jobs report on Friday due to the partial government shutdown.According to a <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.barrons.com/articles/january-jobs-report-delayed-shutdown-5894384c">report</a> from Barron’s, even if funding is successfully restored, the partial shutdown will impact several key reports scheduled to release this week, including the latest jobs report.The U.S. government went into a partial shutdown on Jan. 31, 2026 after a funding deadline for a 2026 Budget lapsed without Congress approval.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Other Delays</h2>Apart from the jobs <a class="st-link-external" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer nofollow" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-02-02/january-jobs-report-will-be-delayed-due-to-shutdown-bls-says?srnd=homepage-americas">report</a>, BLS told Barron’s that December’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey release, and the Metropolitan Area Employment and Unemployment release, initially scheduled to be reported later this week, will also be rescheduled.According to a separate report from Bloomberg, the agency said it will suspend data collection, processing, and dissemination for the duration of the shutdown.The agency spokesperson reportedly said that fresh dates for the releases will be announced after funding is restored.<h2 class="st-heading-2">Partial Government Shutdown</h2>The partial shutdown over the weekend came after negotiations broke down over Democrats objecting to the killing of two protesters in Minneapolis by federal immigration agents. The Labor Department, which houses the BLS, was funded only through Jan. 30.While the Senate has voted to extend funding, the measure must still pass the House, which is scheduled to return on Monday.To avoid a prolonged shutdown, the Senate separated DHS funding from other agencies and approved a two-week stopgap after reaching a deal with the White House to negotiate Democratic demands. President Donald Trump’s administration agreed to temporarily fund DHS at current levels.The BLS, still recovering from last year’s record shutdown, also produces CPI and other key economic data that may be affected.Meanwhile, U.S. equities rose in Monday’s mid-day trade. At the time of writing, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/SPY">SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF </a>(SPY), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, was up by 0.66%, the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/QQQ">Invesco QQQ Trust ETF</a> (QQQ) rose 1%, and the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/DIA">SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust</a> (DIA) climbed 0.97%. Tech-heavy <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/NDX">Nasdaq-100</a> (NDX) gained 1.03% at the time of writing.Retail sentiment around the S&amp;P 500 ETF on Stocktwits was in the ‘bearish’ territory.The <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/TLT">iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (TLT) was down by 0.12% at the time of writing, while the <a href="https://stocktwits.com/symbol/IEF">iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF</a> (IEF) fell 0.14%.For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.Read Next: <a href="https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/warsh-fed-chair-bid-faces-test-of-unity-trust-atlanta-fed-president-reportedly-says/cZbgHLrR4kq">Warsh’s Fed Chair Bid Faces Test Of Unity And Trust, Atlanta Fed President Reportedly Says</a> &nbsp;

US Government Shutdown Will Reportedly Delay January Jobs Data

The Bureau of Labor Statistics will not be releasing the latest January jobs report on Friday due to the partial government shutdown, according to a report from Barron’s.

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