Are Investors Sleeping On Commodities?

We know pulling people’s attention away from stocks is tough, especially when they’re rallying. But as we close out the week, we wanted to point out that many of this week’s top-performing assets were commodities.

The chart below from Finviz shows that nine of the top ten performers this week were commodity futures, with Natural Gas topping the list at +16.19%. 🤩

That’s in stark contrast to the last year, where many of these same commodities fell aggressively as supply chains improved and the Fed worked to bring down demand. But now that many in the market believe that inflation has been tamed and the U.S. economy remains intact, could there be a potential for a rebound? 🤔

It’s a question a select group of investors are considering. Very often, the risk that matters is the one that people have forgotten about. And right now, little attention is being paid to commodity prices as they begin to move up again.

Time will tell if this trend continues to develop. Nonetheless, we thought putting on everyone’s radars as we head into the second half of the year was worthwhile. 👀

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A Crude Two Weeks For Energy

The recent carnage in the energy sector has been lost in the shuffle, so let’s take a quick look.

Below is a chart of crude oil’s weekly chart dating back three years. With this week’s decline, prices fell to their lowest level since December 2021. And the one-week rate of change shows this is the largest one-week decline since early 2020. 😬

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Sugar Hits Sweet Spot As Gold Shines

It was a slow day out there, but several commodities caught traders’ eyes. Let’s see which ones. 👀

First up is sugar futures, which have experienced a nearly 30% decline since the beginning of November. While its major decline is one reason to be on people’s radars, technical traders say prices have reached the 20-20.50 area that served as an inflection point over the last two years.

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Cocoa Prices Go Loco

With Halloween coming up next week, some consumers will likely be shocked at the price of candy due to the elevated price of cocoa.  😱

The vital ingredient in chocolate is hitting its highest levels since 1979 as hotter and drier weather patterns stunt this year’s crop. Roughly 75% of global cocoa beans come from the Ivory Coast, Ghana, Cameroon, and Nigeria, where consistent temperatures, high humidity, abundant rain, and nitrogen-rich soil allow it to thrive. 

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The Move Hedgers Have Been “Wheating” For

Agricultural commodities like orange juice, lumber, sugar, soybean meal, and more have quietly been some of the best-performing assets year-to-date. 🤩

We recently discussed the rebound in lumber and orange juice squeezing to fresh all-time highs. Today we’re going to look at why wheat is getting major attention from traders.

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