Spotify Hits The Spot

The Swedish music streaming giant has successfully squeezed its way back to profitability after overexpanding during the pandemic. Let’s take a look at its third-quarter results and why the stock is popping. 👀

Earnings of 33 euro cents per share beat the 22 euro cents expected, while revenues of 3.36 billion euros topped estimates by about 1%. Premium subscriber numbers also surprised to the upside, at 226 million vs. 224 million anticipated. 

Partially driving the 11% YoY revenue growth was the company’s price increases from earlier in the year, with monthly bills going up $1 to $2, depending on the plan. Luckily, the company saw minimal impact on churn levels, suggesting they may have more room to raise prices in the future. Additionally, ad-supported revenue rose 16% YoY to 447 million euros. 🔺

It’s also hoping its audiobook push, which will offer subscribers access to more than 150,000 titles, will drive its value proposition. The new product feature could help drive additional premium subscriptions and enhance its ability to raise prices again. 📚

On the costs side, lower marketing spending and personnel costs helped drive this quarter’s profit. Like its peers, the company had to “right size” itself as growth slowed after the pandemic, but it now feels it’s in a better spot operationally. 📊

CFO Paul Vogel called the quarter “an inflection point,” saying he expects profitability to continue into the fourth quarter and into 2024. 

$SPOT shares rose 10% on the day, looking likely to challenge their year-to-date highs in the coming days. With the stock up more than 100% year-to-date, investors will be looking for the next catalyst to drive further gains. 🕵️‍♂️

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Semis Continue To Tower Over Market

Semiconductors continue to dominate the market and thus dominate our headlines. With that said, today we’ve got a fresh stock breaking out and another setting up, so stick with us. 👇

First up is Tower Semiconductor, an Israeli chip manufacturer that reported results today. The company’s revenue fell 13% YoY to $351.7 million during the fourth quarter but topped the $350 million expected by analysts. Its earnings per share were down about 30% YoY to $0.48, but again, better than anticipated. 🔺

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Walmart Bets Big On Advertising

One of the core themes we’ve been discussing for a long time is the “ad-ification” of everything. No matter where you go or what you do, you’re likely being targeted by some form of advertising. And the reason why is because it’s such a high-margin, profitable business opportunity. 🎯

As a result, it’s no surprise to see America’s largest employer and big-box retailer, Walmart, leaning heavily into that narrative during its earnings call. 

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Target Hits Its Mark With Membership Push

Once companies discovered that membership and loyalty programs drove additional customer visits and spending, there became apps for everything. Trust me, I’ve got the McDonald’s app on my phone because I get free fries or something with my occasional purchase… 📱

Nonetheless, this shit clearly works, and everyone wants a part of it. Given Target’s recent struggle, it’s not surprising that it’s jumping on the bandwagon as part of its turnaround strategy. 

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Dave Rides The Speculation Wave

Neobanks that came public during the pandemic at insane valuations and got crushed over the last few years are roaring back in the current environment. 🏦

Dave Inc. is a digital banking service primarily focusing on cash advances, working off tips and subscription fees rather than overdraft fees. That was a solid business in the ZIRP era of cheap money but faced a reckoning in a higher interest rate environment. 💸

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