Ahead Of BlackBerry's Q1 Earnings, Stifel Says Market Is Still 'Misdefining' BB -- Here's Why It Sees 36% More Upside

Stifel said the shift in BlackBerry’s business model could support stronger margins and improved free cash flow generation over time, potentially leading to guidance increases.
 A general view of signs at the BlackBerry booth at the 2012 International Consumer Electronics Show.
A general view of signs at the BlackBerry booth at the 2012 International Consumer Electronics Show.(Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
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Arnab Paul·Stocktwits
Updated Jun 24, 2026   |   6:25 AM EDT
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  • The brokerage initiated coverage on BB with a ‘Buy’ rating and a $12 price target, according to The Fly.
  • Stifel believes the company is now a critical software provider for a wide range of industries, including robotics, industrial automation, and medical devices.
  • BlackBerry is set to report its first-quarter earnings on Thursday, with expected earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $137.9 million, according to Fiscal.ai data.

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BlackBerry's (BB) expansion of its QNX footprint has caught Wall Street’s eye, with Stifel arguing that it has evolved beyond its automotive roots into a mission-critical software layer powering the next generation of physical AI applications.

BB stock, which climbed 4% in pre-market trading on Wednesday, has already gained more than 130% so far this year, but analyst Suthan Sukumar believes that the market still ‘misdefines’ the Ontario-based firm.

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BB Has Moved Beyond Automotive Software Supplier

Stifel initiated coverage of the shares with a ‘Buy’ rating and a $12 price target, according to TheFly. This implies a 36% potential upside to the stock’s closing price on Tuesday.

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According to the firm, BlackBerry has evolved far beyond its traditional image as an automotive software supplier. Stifel views the company as a critical software provider enabling AI-powered systems across a wide range of industries, including connected vehicles, robotics, industrial automation, and medical devices.

The analyst also highlighted BlackBerry’s partnerships with major semiconductor firms such as Nvidia, Qualcomm, and AMD as a key competitive advantage.

All Eyes On BB’s Q1 Results

BlackBerry is set to report its first-quarter (Q1) earnings on Thursday, with Wall Street expecting earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $137.9 million, according to Fiscal.ai data. The software firm had reported earnings of $0.02 per share and revenue of $121.7 million in the previous corresponding period.

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Stifel pointed to a shift in BlackBerry’s business model toward higher-quality, recurring royalty revenue. The brokerage believes this transition could support stronger margins and improved free cash flow generation over time, potentially leading to guidance increases.

BB Bulls Eye $15

Retail sentiment surrounding BB on Stocktwits has remained in the ‘bearish’ territory over the past 24 hours, but chatter was largely bullish.

One user expects the stock to climb to $15 after the earnings.

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BB shares have declined 55% over the past year.

Also read: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Futures Rebound As Micron Rally Lifts Chip Stocks: Why SPCX, QCOM, TSM, BABA, PLTR, CBRS, WEN, IBRX Are In Focus

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