ITC Gears Up For Q1 Print: SEBI RA Rohit Mehta Highlights Strong Fundamentals, ₹456 Resistance

The analyst flagged strong EPS and PBT gains in Q4, a healthy dividend payout, and potential upside if the stock breaks past ₹456.
In this photo illustration, the ITC Limited company logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Piotr Swat/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
In this photo illustration, the ITC Limited company logo is seen displayed on a smartphone screen. (Photo Illustration by Piotr Swat/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images)
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Deepti Sri·Stocktwits
Published Aug 01, 2025 | 4:16 AM GMT-04
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ITC is set to report its first-quarter results on Friday, and market participants are eyeing the stock closely for cues on whether it can shake off its recent dip and head higher.

SEBI-registered research analyst Rohit Mehta weighed in with a detailed breakdown. 

At the time of writing, shares of ITC were trading at ₹417.20, up 1.3% on the day.

The analyst noted that institutional investors have been shuffling their exposure as foreign institutional holdings fell from 39.87% in March 2025 to 37.98% by June, while domestic institutions raised their stake from 45.19% to 46.91%.

Looking back at the company’s performance in the previous quarter, Mehta highlighted that sales were up 10.14% year-on-year, though slightly down quarter-on-quarter. 

Operating profit improved modestly, but what stood out was a sharp jump in profit before tax and earnings per share. Profit before taxes rose by over 217% year-on-year and 218% quarter-on-quarter, while earnings per share (EPS) surged nearly 284% compared to last year.

From a fundamentals standpoint, Mehta pointed out several strengths. 

ITC has no major debt on its books, pays an attractive dividend yield of 3.44%, and has maintained a solid three-year average return on equity of 28%. 

It also continues to share profits generously, with a dividend payout ratio of nearly 79%. 

On the other hand, the stock trades at a relatively high 7.5 times book value, and its five-year sales growth has been on the slower side, at 8.81%. 

He also flagged the large chunk of earnings coming from other income, standing at ₹17,795 crore, which investors may want to keep in mind.

On the technical front, Mehta said the stock is currently consolidating just above a support range of ₹384 to ₹390. 

The next major resistance levels are at ₹456 and ₹482, the latter being its all-time high. If ITC breaks through ₹456, he believes it could open the door to another leg up.

On Stocktwits, retail sentiment for ITC was ‘bearish’ amid ‘low’ message volume.

ITC’s stock has declined 13.8% so far in 2025.

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