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Even as markets around the world have rebounded from the initial shock of the U.S.-Israel-Iran war that broke out over the weekend, Alibaba shares have continued to slide at a fast clip.
The stock has declined for six straight sessions, losing over 13%, and if the overnight momentum sustains, it is poised to mark its worst streak since April 2023. Shares dropped 3% in overnight trading, and the company’s Hong Kong-listed shares closed 2.5% lower on Thursday.
Despite pockets of frustration, retail trader sentiment for BABA has, in fact, climbed higher, shifting to ‘extremely bullish’ (88/100) as of early Thursday, from ‘bullish’ the previous day, according to Stocktwits data. That’s the highest point since Jan. 30.
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As of the time of publication, Alibaba had not filed any notice with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange regulator regarding the scheduled date for its fiscal third-quarter earnings, which many retail traders noticed.
The ticker was trending among the top five on Stocktwits, with message volume rising 38% over the past 24 hours.
While traders expressed extreme frustration over its performance and geopolitical pressures — and also over a delay in setting its earnings date — a strong counter-narrative highlights the stock as deeply oversold and poised for a rebound, citing strong positioning in the AI industry.
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“If it sinks down to $115. I say sell your house and BUY, BUY, BUY! If it sinks down to $100 - sell you children and BUY! BUY! BUY!” a user said in a lighter vein, covering the bullish view. “The chart history tells all.”
Alibaba shares hit a record high of $192.67 on Oct. 2 and have cumulatively gained 73% in 2025. Wednesday’s selloff average trading volume nearly double to 14.3 million.
Another user said that the long-term risk in the stock appeared manageable. On the other side of the debate, traders voiced frustration over the selloff, warning that a weak earnings report, if it materializes, could push the stock significantly lower.
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“Why so weak?“ asked a trader, while another called BABA a “cancer to my portfolio.”
Earlier this week, Goldman Sachs upgraded its rating on Alibaba to ‘Conviction Buy’ from ‘Buy,’ and set a price target of $186. The target implies an upside of about 40%.
Alibaba’s continued pole position in AI and cloud services in China, and improving profits in the core e-commerce business, is driving conviction, the investment research firm said in its note.
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Meanwhile, noted tech investor Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest
The majority of analysts remain upbeat. At least 37 of the 42 covering the stock have a ‘Buy’ or higher rating on BABA, two recommend hold, and one recommends a ‘Strong Sell,’ according to Koyfin data. Their average price target of $198.95 implies a nearly 50% upside from the stock’s last close.
For updates and corrections, email newsroom[at]stocktwits[dot]com.
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