SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Nu Holdings Ltd. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of digital banking services. The company was founded by David Vélez Osorno, Cristina Helena Zingaretti Junqueira, and Adam Edward Wible on February 26, 2016 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Nu Holdings Ltd - Ordinary Shares Class A

Nu Holdings Ltd

Lulas runoff victory in Brazil triggered a broad selloff in Brazilian stocks, with traders citing uncertainty over fiscal policy and the countrys economic outlook. The community is split between viewing NUs sharp decline as an overreaction and buying opportunity and expecting further pressure from political and macro risks.

Meta Platforms, Inc. engages in the development of social media applications. It builds technology that helps people connect and share, find communities, and grow businesses. It operates through the Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL) segments. The FoA segment consists of Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp, and other services. The RL segment includes augmented, mixed and virtual reality related consumer hardware, software, and content. The company was founded by Mark Elliot Zuckerberg, Dustin Moskovitz, Chris R. Hughes, Andrew McCollum, and Eduardo P. Saverin on February 4, 2004, and is headquartered in Menlo Park, CA.

Meta Platforms Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Meta Platforms Inc

Metas post-earnings selloff is being linked to its massive AI infrastructure spending and planned equity financing, with investors focused on negative free cash flow and potential dilution despite strong revenue growth. Bulls call the drop an overreaction and see the spending as a long-term AI opportunity, while bears question whether the investments will pay off and worry about shareholder dilution.

IREN Ltd. is a vertically integrated data center business powering the future of Bitcoin, AI and beyond with renewable energy. It is strategically located in renewable-rich, fiber-connected regions across the US and Canada. IREN’s large-scale, grid-connected facilities are purpose-built for the next generation of power-dense computing applications. The company was founded by Daniel Roberts and William Roberts on November 6, 2018, and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

IREN Ltd.

IREN Limited

Elon Musks warning that many neocloud companies could fail or consolidate, alongside concerns about debt-funded AI data-center expansion and tighter financing, is weighing on IREN and its peers. Traders are split between fears about leverage and execution and bullish arguments that IRENs contracts, power capacity, and AI demand distinguish it from weaker operators; some also view Musks comments as self-interested criticism.

Moderna, Inc. engages in the development of transformative medicines based on messenger ribonucleic acid. The firm's product pipeline includes the following modalities: prophylactic vaccines, cancer vaccines, intratumoral immuno-oncology, localized regenerative therapeutics, systemic secreted therapeutics, inhaled pulmonary therapeutics and systemic intracellular therapeutics. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Europe, and Rest of World. The company was founded by Noubar B. Afeyan, Robert S. Langer, Jr., Derrick J. Rossi, and Kenneth R. Chien in 2010 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

Moderna Inc

Modernas leaked Phase 3 melanoma-vaccine results with Merck are driving attention: the data showed a meaningful reduction in recurrence or death risk, but traders say it fell short of expectations set by earlier results and a sharp rally, prompting a selloff. The debate centers on whether the reaction is a sell-the-news and valuation reset or an overreaction to promising cancer-vaccine data and its potential beyond melanoma.

CoreWeave, Inc. engages in the powers of the creation and delivery of the intelligence that drives innovation. It offers a solution used by organizations of all sizes that require sophisticated AI computing, from the largest of enterprises to small, well-funded start-ups. The company was founded by Michael Intrator, Brian Venturo, Peter Salanki, and Brannin McBee on September 21, 2017 and is headquartered in Livingston, NJ.

CoreWeave Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

CoreWeave Inc

Elon Musks warning that neocloud providers could face failures and consolidation has intensified selling in CoreWeave amid wider concerns about debt-funded AI infrastructure and access to financing. Traders debate whether Musks comments are self-interested competitor rhetoric or reflect real funding risks, while bulls point to Nvidias backing and AI demand as counterarguments.

Nebius Group NV is a technology company that provides infrastructure and services to AI builders worldwide. It offers Nebius AI, an AI-centric cloud platform provides full-stack infrastructure, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud services, and developer tools. The company also operates through specialized brands: Toloka AI, which partners in data for generative AI development; TripleTen, an edtech platform focused on re-skilling individuals for tech careers; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology. Nebius Group was founded by Elena Kolmanovskaya, Ilya Segalovich, Mikhail Fadeev, and Arkady Volozh in 1989 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Nebius Group N.V. - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Nebius Group N.V. 

Elon Musks warning that tighter debt markets could drive failures and consolidation among neocloud providers has fueled concern about Nebiuss capital-intensive expansion and the sectors financing risks. Traders are divided: bears see potential funding and execution pressure, while bulls argue Nebius is better positioned because of its financing access, customer contracts and continued AI-compute demand.

XP, Inc. engages in the operation of technology-driven financial services platform. The firm provides customers with two principal types of offerings, financial advisory services for retail clients in Brazil, high-net-worth clients, international clients and corporate and institutional clients, and an open financial product platform providing access to over 800 investment products including equity and fixed income securities, mutual and hedge funds, structured products, life insurance, pension plans, real-estate investment funds (REITs) and others from XP, its partners and competitors. he company was founded by Guilherme Dias Fernandes Benchimol in 2001 and is headquartered in Vila Olimpia, Brazil.

XP Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Brazils election results are driving sharp swings in XP alongside other Brazilian stocks, as traders react to changing expectations for the countrys political and economic outlook. Some view the selloff as an overreaction and look for a rebound, while others expect continued pressure from political uncertainty.

MercadoLibre, Inc. engages in the development of an online commerce platform with a focus on e-commerce and related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Brazil, Argentina, Mexico, and Other Countries. The Other Countries segment refers to Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, Panama, Peru, Bolivia, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Guatemala, Paraguay, Uruguay, and the United States of America. Its products provide a mechanism for buying, selling, and paying as well as collecting, generating leads, and comparing lists through e-commerce transactions. The company was founded by Marcos Eduardo Galperin on October 15, 1999 and is headquartered in Montevideo, Uruguay.

MercadoLibre Inc

MercadoLibres latest quarterly results beat revenue and earnings expectations, but shares sold off as investors focused on falling profit and margin compression amid heavy investment in shipping, logistics, and credit. The community is split between buyers who see strong commerce and fintech growth as a long-term opportunity and skeptics concerned that profitability is lagging.

iShares Inc. - iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

Lula da Silvas unexpected runoff victory over Flvio Bolsonaro has triggered a sharp repricing in Brazilian assets, with traders citing concerns about fiscal policy and economic uncertainty. The community is split between expecting further weakness and seeing the selloff as an overreaction or potential buying opportunity.

Petróleo Brasileiro SA engages in oil and gas exploration, production, and distribution activities. It operates through the following segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation, and Marketing; and Gas and Low Carbon Energies. The Exploration and Production segment covers the activities of exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas liquid, and natural gas, for the primary purpose of supplying its domestic refineries. The Refining, Transportation, and Marketing segment refers to refining, logistics, transport, and trading of crude oil and oil products activities as well as exports of ethanol. The Gas and Low Carbon Energies represents the activities of logistic and trading of natural gas and electricity, transportation and trading of liquefied natural gas, generation and electricity by means of thermoelectric power plants, as well as holding interests in transporters and distributors of natural gas. The company was founded on October 3, 1953 and is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. Petrobras - ADR

Petroleo Brasileiro

Lula da Silvas election victory has triggered a sharp repricing of Brazilian assets, including Petrobras, as traders worry about political uncertainty and potential state influence over fuel pricing, dividends, and company strategy. Some see the selloff as an overreaction given Petrobrass oil production and cash flow, while others remain concerned about reduced shareholder returns and government intervention.

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Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
Drop a comment with when you expect the first cut/hike to be.

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