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JPMorgan warns Strategy’s new Bitcoin sales policy introduces market risk, while Bitwise argues the selloff reflects a cycle bottom and maturing institutional demand.

Spot ETFs had their strongest inflow day in two months, driven by funds other than BlackRock’s IBIT.

Around 31,000 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, July 3, with a notional value of roughly $1.9 billion. This event is much smaller than last week’s big end-of-quarter expiry, so there is unlikely to be any impact on spot markets. Crypto markets have been flat for most of this week but picked up on Friday, with $70 billion entering the space since Monday as losses have slowed from last month’s rout. Bitcoin Options Expiry This week’s batch of Bitcoin options contracts has a put/call ratio of 0.7, meaning that sellers of long (call) contracts slightly outweigh short (put) contract sellers. Max pain is around $61,000, which is close to current spot prices, so some will be in the money on expiry. Open interest (OI), or the value or number of Bitcoin options contracts yet to expire, remains highest at the $80,000 strike price on Deribit, with $1.1 billion, but short sellers still have $900 million in OI at $60,000. Total BTC options OI across all exchanges has fallen to a 16-month low of $26 billion following last week’s big expiry, according to Coinglass. “Short-dated skew continues to account for the majority of downside premium embedded in BTC options pricing,” said derivatives provider Greeks Live this week. “Options positioning remains primarily driven by near-term risk management rather than a broad repricing of longer-term expectations.” In addition to today’s batch of Bitcoin options, around 134,000 Ethereum contracts are expiring, with a notional value of $228 million, a max pain of $1,650, and a put/call ratio of 1.3. Total ETH options OI across all exchanges is low at around $3.6 billion, its lowest level since January 2023. This brings the total notional value of crypto options expirations to around $1.8 billion. Spot Market Outlook Crypto markets are seeing a rare day of green gains across the board this Friday, raising total capitalization to $2.2 trillion. Bitcoin led the pack, hitting an intraday high of $62,000 on Thursday on weaker-than-expected US jobs data, before falling back to trade at $61,500 on Friday morning in Asia. Ether fared a little better, reclaiming $1,700 in a 6% daily gain and holding on to those gains over the past 12 hours. The long weekend in the US means that market activity is likely to be subdued. BREAKING: Bitcoin reclaims $62,000 as June jobs data came in weaker than expected, lowering odds of a Fed rate hike. Over $69 billion has been added to the crypto market in the last 6 hours. Bitcoin is up +3.5%, adding roughly $41 billion to its market cap. Ethereum is up… pic.twitter.com/8J21vi4q2W — Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) July 2, 2026 The post Will Markets React When $2 Billion Bitcoin Options Expire Today? appeared first on CryptoPotato .

Bitcoin has climbed back above $61,000 after weaker-than-expected US employment data fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could face growing pressure to ease monetary policy later this year. According to market data and Yahoo Finance, Bitcoin recovered from Wednesday's low near $57,750 after the US Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by just 57,000 in June , well below economists' expectations of 113,000. The department also revised April and May payroll figures lower by a combined 74,000 jobs, adding to concerns over slowing labor market conditions. The softer economic data prompted investors to reassess the outlook for US interest rates. CME FedWatch Tool data showed the probability of a Federal Reserve rate increase by September dropped to 54% from 64% a day earlier. Gold also moved higher after the report, while West Texas Intermediate crude remained below $70 following comments from Qatar's Foreign Ministry that talks between US and Iranian officials had made positive progress, easing concerns over oil supply. At the same time, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet remained unchanged at $6.7 trillion. Although the central bank currently allows up to $40 billion in monthly purchases of short-term Treasuries and bonds, market participants have increasingly linked softer employment and easing inflation pressures with the possibility of additional liquidity support. Historically, such conditions have benefited scarce assets including Bitcoin and gold. AI stock weakness adds to Bitcoin recovery narrative Pressure across artificial intelligence-related equities also coincided with Bitcoin's rebound. Shares of SanDisk, Seagate, Western Digital and Applied Materials each fell more than 9% during Thursday's session, reviving discussions about whether capital could gradually rotate away from some overheated technology names. Separately, CryptoQuant contributor gaah_im reported that Bitcoin's realized profit-to-loss ratio has fallen to its lowest level since 2022. According to the analyst, the percentage of Bitcoin supply currently in profit relative to total circulating supply has turned negative, a condition that has coincided with previous market bottoms. The analyst said similar readings have historically identified cycle lows with high accuracy, although they do not guarantee future price performance. Part of Bitcoin's earlier weakness also stemmed from investor reaction to Strategy's financing activities. Despite maintaining a net leverage of around 8% and an enterprise value of roughly $56.8 billion, shareholders have expressed concerns over accelerated MSTR share issuance used to refinance debt and fund preferred stock dividend obligations. Bitcoin price analysis Bitcoin traded around $61,400 at the time of writing after recovering from the previous day's sharp decline, with the latest rally lifting the cryptocurrency above both its 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) near $60,470 and 50-period EMA around $60,571 on the 4-hour chart. BTC/USD 1-day price chart. Source: TradingView. Those moving averages now form the first layer of technical support should prices retreat. The recovery has also stalled directly beneath the 100 EMA near $61,626, which continues to act as immediate resistance. The 200 EMA around $64,141 remains well above the current market price, indicating that the medium-term trend has yet to turn decisively bullish despite the recent rebound. Momentum indicators also suggest traders may be approaching an important short-term decision point. The 4-hour Stochastic RSI has climbed above 90 and entered overbought territory, indicating buying momentum has strengthened considerably following the macro-driven recovery. However, with both oscillator lines beginning to flatten, the indicator also points to the possibility of consolidation or a temporary pullback before another attempt higher. On the 24-hour BTC liquidation heatmap, the largest concentration of leveraged positions sits between $60,400 and $60,700, creating a sizeable liquidity pocket below current prices. BTC 24-hour liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass. Above the market, smaller but notable liquidation clusters appear around $61,900 to $62,000, followed by another concentration near $62,400 to $62,600. Taken together, the technical and liquidation data suggest Bitcoin is trading between two significant liquidity zones. A sustained move above the 100 EMA could expose the $62,000-$62,600 region, where liquidation pressure may accelerate price movement if short positions are forced to close. Meanwhile, failure to hold above the 20 and 50 EMA cluster could see price revisit the $60,400-$60,700 support area, where a dense concentration of leveraged long positions currently exists. The post Bitcoin price forecast: did BTC just flash its strongest bottom signal yet? appeared first on Invezz

The post Riot Platforms Transfers 500 BTC to NYDIG Custody appeared first on Coinpedia Fintech News Riot Platforms, the second-largest publicly listed Bitcoin miner, transferred 500 BTC, worth about $30.7 million, to NYDIG Custody, according to Arkham data. While the transaction could indicate preparations for a potential sale, transferring Bitcoin to a custody provider does not confirm that a sale will occur. Markets will watch for any further wallet movements or …

Ireland’s Criminal Assets Bureau (CAB) reportedly pulled another 500 bitcoin out of a decade-dormant wallet this week, bringing its 2026 recovery total from a single cannabis dealer’s stash to 1,500 BTC, worth more than $92 million at current prices. The bureau, working with Europol’s European Cybercrime Centre, has now accessed three of 12 wallets tied

After MARA, will Metaplanet flip Twenty One Capital next in the Bitcoin treasury race?

Bearish traders lost $281 million in liquidations over 24 hours, nearly double the longs, as bitcoin pushed to its strongest level in two weeks. Ether is up almost 10% on the week and solana nearly 19% while a rebound in tech stocks eased the pressure from the AI trade.