SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 - Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1

QQQs sharp rebound toward record highs despite a global bond selloff and elevated Treasury yields is fueling debate over whether tech strength can persist. Traders point to Microns strong results and cooler inflation as support, while bears warn that rising yields, oil prices and weak market breadth could undermine the rally.

SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUST - SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

A global bond selloff and surging Treasury yields are dominating SPY discussion, with traders worried that higher borrowing costs and possible Fed rate hikes could pressure equities. Views are split: bearish traders point to yields and oil as risks, while bulls cite cooler inflation data, strong technology shares and rebounds in futures.

Micron Technology, Inc. engages in the provision of innovative memory and storage solutions. It operates through the following segments: Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU), Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU), Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU), and Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU). The CMBU segment focuses on memory solutions for large hyperscale cloud customers and High-Bandwidth Memory for all data center customers. The CDBU segment is involved in memory solutions for mid-tier cloud, enterprise, and OEM data center customers and storage solutions for all data center customers. The MCBU segment focuses on memory and storage solutions for the mobile and client segments. The AEBU segment is involved in memory and storage solutions for the automotive, industrial, and consumer segments. The company was founded by Ward D. Parkinson, Joseph Leon Parkinson, Dennis Wilson, and Doug Pitman on October 5, 1978 and is headquartered in Boise, ID.

Micron Technology Inc.

Micron Technology Inc

Microns record fiscal fourth-quarter results and stronger-than-expected outlook, supported by AI-driven memory demand and expectations of tighter supply through 202728, are driving attention. Despite optimism about the extended memory cycle, traders are frustrated that shares barely reacted; others point to high expectations, increased spending, cyclicality, and rising Treasury yields as reasons for caution.

iShares Trust - iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

TLT is under pressure as long-term Treasury yields surge to multi-decade highs, with traders pointing to persistent inflation concerns, oil and debt risks, and expectations for rates to stay higher for longereven after cooler-than-expected PCE data. The discussion is largely bearish amid repeated lows, though some investors see oversold conditions and higher yields as a reason to accumulate bonds.

Alphabet, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in software, health care, transportation, and other technologies. It operates through the following segments: Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services, such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment refers to infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. The Other Bets segment relates to the sale of healthcare-related services and internet services. The company was founded by Lawrence E. Page and Sergey Mikhaylovich Brin on October 2, 2015 and is headquartered in Mountain View, CA.

Alphabet Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class C

Googles unveiling of Gemini 4 Argon, focused on coding and cybersecurity, is driving attention, with traders citing its capabilities as an AI opportunity. Optimism is tempered by debate over whether the launch can move the stock meaningfully and concerns about Googles competitive position and the models performance.

AST SpaceMobile, Inc. engages in building a broadband cellular network in space to operate directly with standard, unmodified mobile devices based on an intellectual property and patent portfolio. It focuses on providing mobile broadband services with global coverage to all end-users, without the need to purchase special equipment. The company was founded by Abel Avellan on May 31, 2017 and is headquartered in Midland, TX.

AST SpaceMobile Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

AST SpaceMobile Inc

AST SpaceMobile is drawing attention for reports that BlueBird 11 is fully deployed and BlueBirds 1416 have shipped toward Cape Canaveral, alongside signs of continued satellite production. Bulls view the milestones as evidence that deployment is progressing, while skeptics point to the lack of a firm launch date and question whether the company can deliver on its launch cadence; takeover chatter tied to an executive severance filing remains speculation.

iShares Trust - iShares Russell 2000 Index Fund

iShares Russell 2000 ETF

Rising Treasury yields and renewed expectations of Fed rate hikes are weighing on rate-sensitive small caps, which traders say are lagging large-cap tech. The discussion is mostly bearish, though some see oversold conditions near long-term support as a possible bounce setup, with cooler inflation data fueling brief optimism about rates.

Direxion Shares ETF Trust - Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF

Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares

Microns strong results and outlook, alongside broad strength in semiconductor and AI-related shares, are driving attention to SOXL, with traders describing a sharp, volatile rally. Bullish dip-buying and short-squeeze talk is balanced by profit-taking and concerns that the move may fade, especially amid rising yields and uncertainty about whether chip gains can hold.

The Boeing Co. is an aerospace company, which engages in the manufacture of commercial jetliners and defense, space, and security systems. It operates through the following segments: Commercial Airplanes (BCA), Defense, Space and Security (BDS), and Global Services (BGS). The Commercial Airplanes segment includes the development, production, and market of commercial jet aircraft and provides fleet support services, principally to the commercial airline industry worldwide. The Defense, Space and Security segment refers to the research, development, production and modification of manned and unmanned military aircraft and weapons systems for global strike, including fighter and combat rotorcraft aircraft and missile systems, global mobility, including tanker, rotorcraft and tilt-rotor aircraft, and airborne surveillance and reconnaissance, including command and control, battle management and airborne anti-submarine aircraft. The Global Services segment provides services to commercial and defense customers. The company was founded by William Edward Boeing on July 15, 1916, and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

Boeing Co.

Boeing Co

Boeings selection for the Navys next-generation F/A-XX fighter program is drawing attention, but traders are frustrated that shares gave back much of their initial gain and debate whether the long-term defense win will outweigh near-term execution concerns. The discussion also centers on the pending SPEEA contract vote and FAA scrutiny of a 737 MAX software issue.

Hims & Hers Health, Inc. operates a telehealth consultation platform. It connects consumers to healthcare professionals, enabling them to access medical care for mental health, sexual health, dermatology and primary care. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in San Francisco, CA.

Hims & Hers Health Inc - Ordinary Shares - Class A

Hims & Hers Health Inc

A rebound has revived breakout talk, with traders pointing to Hims & Hers expanding weight-loss and peptide opportunity and speculating that high short interest could amplify gains. Others caution that repeated failed breakouts, thin volume, and quick selloffs leave the move unconfirmed.

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S&P 500, Dow Extend Losses From Elevated Yield Pressure — SPCX, TGT, AAPL, MU, NTAP In Focus

Equity

30-year Treasury yields are at their highest level since 2002. 

S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq End Week Higher On Chipmaker Strength, Easing Oil Amid Signs Of Easing US-Iran Conflict — META, COST, MSFT, CRWD, SKHY In Focus

Iran pitched a seven-day roadmap to end conflict with the U.S., the New York Times reported. 

S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Futures Ease As Treasury Yields Continue To Spike — ORCL, META, AKAM, GOOGL, MGM In Focus

Treasury yields resumed their march higher amid inflation concerns. 


S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Drop As Yields Spike Amid Calls For More Rate Hikes — AMZN, GOOGL, NFLX, SPCX, RKLB In Focus

Treasury yields jumped across the curve on Wednesday. 

Nasdaq Jumps To Close At Record As Chipmakers Climb, Oil Prices Cool — AAPL, META, SPCX, MSFT, VKTX In Focus

Wall Street is gearing up for this week’s summit between Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Dow Drops To Record Worst Week In Six Months Amid Elevated Yields, Oil — NVDA, TSLA, SPCX, ONON In Focus

An interest rate hike amid soaring energy costs and rising inflation concerns has weighed on the Dow.

S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow End Higher As Drop In Oil Prices Allays Inflationary Concerns — NVDA, MCD, CRWV, LMT, AMZN In Focus

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recorded their best day in six weeks.  

S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow End Lower As Investors Price In Rate Hike Ahead Of Fed Meeting — AMZN, META, MU, TSLA, PLTR In Focus

Traders expect a 92% chance the Fed will hike interest rates on Wednesday.

S&P 500, Dow End Lower As Middle East Tensions Spur Oil Rally Ahead Of Key Inflation Data — META, QCOM, BE, AMZN, AVGO In Focus

The U.S. struck targets near Kharg Island and the port city of Jask, Fox News reported.

US Stock Index Futures Climb As Yields Cool Off Amid Treasury Support — NVDA, MRNA, MRVL, LOWE In Focus

A rally in 30-year bonds drove yields down by 10 basis points to 5.18%.

Global X Funds - Global X Dow 30 Covered Call ETF

Extremely Bullish Sentiment

Hold rates steady

Cut 25 bps

Hike 25 bps

Fed decision day is here - Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting with markets pricing a hold at 3.50%-3.75% but watching for a hawkish shift. Vote on what you expect to be decided today, then drop your prediction for the first rate cut or hike in the comments.

What do you expect the Fed to decide at its FOMC meeting today? 
 
Drop a comment with when you expect the first cut/hike to be.

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