ES_F E-Mini S&P 500 Futures

$ES_F Update The 1st downside target was reached in the OVN session pretty much to the tick. The market then rebounded to the daily pivot area which was rejected at the open.However, the market reversed & reclaimed both the Pivot area & the Bullish trigger level, fulfilling the upside scenario outlined in the plan. The market rallied to the initial upside targets & then achieved acceptance above the key resistance zone (2nd target). Price quickly extended to the next target which aligns with the daily 20MA. However, this area was rejected & price pulled back moving slightly below the week’s resistance zone. Currently, it is basing in this zone. Buyers must reclaim this area & achieve acceptance above the 20 MA to strengthen the recovery. Price is now at a critical area. $SPX $SPY

$ES_F Update 2 After the pullback, the opening level was firmly defended indicating active buyers in this area & then the market rallied directly into this week’s resistance zone. Just like in the OVN session, this area was rejected & the market sold off again. Currently, the market is moving back to the daily pivot area. The consolidation between these key areas continues. As mentioned in the plan, the short term technical picture remains challenging while the ES trades below the daily 20 MA/50 MA cluster. $SPX $SPY

$ES_F Update The market pulled back to the daily pivot area at the start of the session & this zone was defended. Following this, the market rallied toward this week’s resistance zone (includes weekly pivot) which was highlighted in the plan as the week’s line in the sand. This zone was quickly rejected & the market pulled back. For now, the market is consolidating between these two zones which was mentioned in the plan that there could be a possibility of choppy price action in this region (see below’s post). Buyers must achieve acceptance above the IB high/OVN high for the upside, while the Sellers must achieve acceptance below today’s Pivot area (IB low). $SPX $SPY

Sent the Substack note out below over two hours ago. Can’t make this shit up and look where the long plan stated to long! That’s T1, T2, and T3 all hit well before Mr. Market is eating lunch. I’m done for the day. For those of you that weren’t paying attention I would watch the action here as we are testing a big confluence of the 8MA/21MA for ES_F. Bulls want to see this hold to target 7808, 7825. Bears want to see a failure here to target 7771, 7750 and back to the 50MA(7725). Hope you caught some of this action and if you caught the long book some profits and adjust your stops to 7770 or 7750 depending on your risk. Enjoy your day! $ES_F, $SPX , $SPY

$ES_F 7754 major pivot was just tested and not breached so far. If 49 and 54 pivots breached, I am expecting a fast move to next support 7738 quickly. There are now a few untested left open: 7873.75, 7781 and 7789. Mark them down, once it reverses these levels will get retested. I just moved my stop further down from 7789 to 7773. 77 pt locked in now. Note that this 7781 breach leading to 7719 is still in the cards, the path to this level now is the only question left open.

SPX didn’t budge today so I am not going to update the plan or the levels for tomorrow. We have CPI so hopefully the volatility increases and maybe we’ll see the market pick a direction. Keep an eye on NQ_F as we are seeing a Bear flag into the 21MA which isn’t a good look for Bulls but price has held the tests of that level so far. Check the plan from yesterday for the ES_F/SPX levels and posts from today for NQ_F levels. Enjoy the rest of your day and we’ll see where things stand when we get into RTH tomorrow. $ES_F, $SPX, $SPY, $NQ_F, $QQQ

$ES_F BEFORE: Group 2 Weekend path (03.22.2026) Daily chart from the March weekend update. Cycle completed at the peak and a W-X-Y Double Three Elliott Wave Correction was in progress. It was expected to complete in the blue box, where buyers were expected to appear and resume the rally, or produce at least a 3-wave reaction higher. Right Side was up. Corrective move expected to complete in the blue box. We Do Not Recommend Selling made clear what not to do, and where buyers were expected to appear.

London exit leaves an advance with uneven confirmation. SPY is 769.96 (+3.48), above its 769.47 gamma flip. QQQ is 720.02 (+1.66), below its 721.01 flip. VIX is 17.84 (-0.60). The morning verdict is a split advance: equity strength has volatility support, but technology has not cleared its structural hurdle. A broad breakout remains unconfirmed. SPY sits between the 745.0 put wall and the 790.0 call wall. Neither wall is being tested at the current price. The closer reference is 769.47, and SPY is only modestly above it. That gives the advance a constructive position while keeping price close to the transition area. The call wall remains distant overhead structure; the immediate assessment belongs around the flip. QQQ is the restraint on the broad-market read. Its 721.01 flip remains overhead, with the 735.0 call wall farther above and the 710.0 put wall below. A positive daily change has not put technology above that nearer boundary. $ES_F

$ES_F well ytd was boring, not today!!! I was stopped just below 63 on trailer and added to long at the 7748.5 support given earlier. 1st target was 7763 and if it hold, next target 7802 again.

$ES_F The momentum did catch up between 60.5/65 zone on way up so moving stop now just below 7853 from that initial entry at 7832.75. The pivot was just breached. There is now no resistance before 7772.5, so set the target there (72/82 area is the range of targets from the 4 charts that triggered bullish momentum set-ups this week). Great week of trading,hope some of you enjoyed it!

ES_F had a nice look below and fail of the 50MA(7724) and the bottom of our channel today. We are now testing the 21MA(7787) as we trade early in globex. Bulls need to reclaim this level and ideally the 8MA(7812) and 7818 to regain some momentum. Bears want to see a failure here to trade back below 7770 and 7750. Keep an eye on NQ_F as price is trying to reclaim the 50MA(30144) and the top of a previous range (white box). NQ_F is obviously looking weaker than ES_F and is in danger of a 8MA/21MA crossover if Bulls can’t rally this back above 30272, 30415. I will update the plan and the levels for ES_F/SPX later on in globex. Hope you caught the setups today as I sent out Notes in real time! $ES_F, $SPY, $SPX, $NQ_F, $QQQ

London close verdict: none of the morning paths earned a clean A/B/C win. The tape stayed offered, but it did not break structure. ES is 7836.75, NQ 30662.25, SPY 776.60, and QQQ 741.39. The pressure is real; the follow-through is incomplete. SPY is holding above its 775.66 gamma flip after trading lower on the day. That matters more than the negative point change. The 785 call wall remains overhead and 750 is the lower structural boundary. This is still a positive-gamma board, which favors containment while SPY remains near the flip. The market has not converted the morning weakness into a clean downside expansion. QQQ is the weaker piece. At 741.39 it is below the 743.94 flip, with a negative-gamma structure and a 760 call wall well overhead. The 700 put wall is distant, but the gap between price and the flip keeps technology from providing the stabilization SPY is trying to show. SPY is above its hinge. QQQ is below its own. That split is the tape. $ES_F

$ES_F $NQ_F its going to look real ugly if they fade this. 30,400 on the NQ needed to be reclaimed.

Tuesday, October 20, 2026. Premarket starts with equity pressure, higher volatility, and an oil move large enough to matter beyond energy. ES is 7727.5 and NQ is 29595.25, with technology showing the weaker performance. SPY at 766.48 sits below its 767.6 gamma flip. QQQ at 718.36 is below 721.22. VIX at 18.77 is higher while CL at 100.67 is up 2.16%. That combination gives the opening tape a defensive starting point. The test is whether cash-session demand can recover the flips while volatility backs off. The futures decline alone does not establish a trend day. ES and NQ are the broad-market pressure gauges; the ETF flips provide the explicit decision levels. A SPY recovery above 767.6 with QQQ still below 721.22 leaves the recovery uneven. Both reclaiming and holding adds evidence for reversal. Both rejecting as VIX extends above 18.77 adds evidence for continuation. $ES_F

$ES_F $CL_F $NQ_F I like 22.2k for nasdaq...even 20k to 16k. Nasdaq kept accelerating looking at the slopes or trend lines.... Got times that are crazy the remainder of the year, lot of huge converging times. 0 Oil looks like if 96 holds on the Z contract we break 100, they been protecting 100 like no other. 9

$ES_F $CL_F $NQ_F Hey where is Baybay the bear? Well.... here's suggested weekly range. Could have this 3 drive pattern .....not sure tho. Depends on the opening today. But ya NQ I'm not even buying up above 29900 on Ndx....

$ES_F pullback reached the Daily 🔵 Blue Box area back in March, offering a strong buying opportunity. Allowed longs to secure risk‑free positions. #Elliottwave #Trading #SPX

🚨 On 03.22.2026, we told members where the S&P500 pullback should end. 📍 While many saw the decline as the start of a larger bear trend, we identified it as a corrective 7-swing W-X-Y structure and highlighted the 6396-6114 Blue Box as a high-probability buying zone. ✅ The message was clear: “We Do Not Recommend Selling.” ✅ Invalidation: 4832 ✅ Strategy: Buy the pullback, not chase the fear. 📈 Seven months later, $ES_F has rallied more than 1,400 points from that exact Blue Box area, unfolding precisely as anticipated. No hindsight. No chart adjustments. Just a clear roadmap shared in advance and a market that respected the structure. #ES_F #SPX #ElliottWave #StockMarket #Trading #Futures #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing

$ES_F Held the Weekly 20 SMA four times since end of July. Will it be different this time? We shall see!! Watch for a close below 20 SMA = 7687.

$ES_F I welcome the "so many lines criticism." Hey, whatever works right?! Targeting 7700 area: