EURUSD Euro / US Dollar

🚨 Euro-area bond yields rise as US Treasury yields climb, with French bonds underperforming. France’s 10-year yield jumps 5.8 bps to 4.910% amid budget concerns. Germany’s 10-year yield rises 1.9 bps to 3.506%. $EURUSD $SPY $QQQ $TLT $DXY

There was a massive increase in the $EURUSD's net short speculative futures positioning according to the CFTC's COT update. Most bearish lean from this group of futures traders since January 2016:

$EURUSD is forming a textbook 5-wave bearish pattern from the 1.1712 peak, targeting the 1.113–1.108 area. Still, full analysis and trading setups are available on our website (link in bio). #EURUSD #Forex #Trading #ElliottWave

All Group 1 Asia charts has been updated in member area. $EURUSD continues to extend lower to finish 5 waves impulse from August 21, 2026 high #elliottwave

$EURUSD just hit 1.1312, the lowest since May 2025, versus a January peak of 1.2082. Support is near 1.1325. France printed 3.4%, Germany 3.3%, Italy 4.1%. Friday's eurozone flash is forecast near 3.6%. Lagarde is still pushing back on an October hike. The Fed already hiked in September. A hot print rescues the euro only if it kills the dovish tone. Dollar strength is the damage. Inflation is the counterbid. #EURUSD #ECB #Inflation #Forex

Daily Technical Video Group 1 is ready for viewing in member area. $EURUSD is expected to extend lower in impulsive structure #elliottwave

The combo of the Dollar's rally these past two weeks, the prominence of strong support (~1.3500) and the throttled event risk today has resulted in a $EURUSD hold at the bottom of its 15-month range. This makes a good candidate for a larger range reversal or break next week

$EURUSD $FXE • ⚪ CONSOLIDATION SMC SETUP 🏛️ INSTITUTIONAL PRE-BELL ORDER FLOW • Spot: 1.14653 | ⚪ CONSOLIDATION • Valuation: NEUTRAL • Dealing Range: 1.14587 ➔ 1.16904 • Refined Demand (+OB): Structural base • Overhead Supply (-OB): 1.16659 – 1.16727 • Buy-Side Liquidity (PDH): 1.14945 [UNTOUCHED] • Sell-Side Liquidity (PDL): 1.14674 [SWEPT] • Imbalance (50% CE): Balanced tape Full algorithmic levels & execution rules on chart card. #SmartMoneyConcepts #Trading #PriceAction #OrderFlow

$EURUSD $FXE • ⚪ CONSOLIDATION SMC SETUP 🏛️ INSTITUTIONAL PRE-BELL ORDER FLOW • Spot: 1.12259 | ⚪ CONSOLIDATION • Valuation: NEUTRAL • Dealing Range: 1.11520 ➔ 1.14129 • Refined Demand (+OB): 1.11982 – 1.11995 • Overhead Supply (-OB): 1.14771 – 1.14811 • Buy-Side Liquidity (PDH): 1.12591 [UNTOUCHED] • Sell-Side Liquidity (PDL): 1.12065 [UNTOUCHED] • Imbalance (50% CE): Balanced tape Full algorithmic levels & execution rules on chart card. #SmartMoneyConcepts #Trading #PriceAction #OrderFlow

4/ $EURUSD: • Testing the lower bound of the weekly BlueSnake. Bearish. • PuLL goes down. • MoM goes down.

$EURUSD $FXE • ⚪ CONSOLIDATION SMC SETUP 🏛️ INSTITUTIONAL PRE-BELL ORDER FLOW • Spot: 1.12385 | ⚪ CONSOLIDATION • Valuation: NEUTRAL • Dealing Range: 1.11520 ➔ 1.15009 • Refined Demand (+OB): 1.11982 – 1.11995 • Overhead Supply (-OB): 1.14771 – 1.14811 • Buy-Side Liquidity (PDH): 1.12395 [SWEPT] • Sell-Side Liquidity (PDL): 1.11866 [UNTOUCHED] • Imbalance (50% CE): Balanced tape Full algorithmic levels & execution rules on chart card. #SmartMoneyConcepts #Trading #PriceAction #OrderFlow

$EURUSD The dollar eases after reaching an 18-month high Wednesday driven by higher-than-expected U.S. inflation data. The dollar has given up much of its post-inflation rally as investors focus on softer underlying inflation details and rising growth concerns, Danske Bank's Silje Bue says in a note. "Core services inflation was lifted mostly by shelter and health care prices, neither of which reflects current inflation momentum very well." The sharp drop in equities and the narrowing between short- and long-term Treasury yields suggest markets are feeling anxious about the possible growth slowdown that a rapid tightening of monetary policy could cause, she says. The DXY dollar index falls 0.4% to 102.119 after rising to as high as 102.945 Wednesday. (renae.dyer@wsj.com)

$EURUSD UK 30-year government bond yield rose 6 bps to 6.047%, its highest since 1998. The 20-year gilt yield hit 6% for the first time since March 1998, up 7 bps. $SPY $QQQ $TLT $DXY

The $EURUSD has put in for another sharp decline. The midpoint of the Jan 2025 to Jan 2026 bull wave is approximately 1.1130 and the 38.2% Fib of the Sep 2022 to Jan 2026 full advance is near 1.1110

All Group 1 London charts has been updated. $EURUSD cycle from August 21, 2026 high is mature and soon can end the impulsive move before a 3 waves rally #elliottwave

4/ $EURUSD: • Trading without direction since mid-2025 • PuLL goes down. • MoM goes down. • The latest rally attempt was weak and got nowhere near the top of the range (~1.20). Now the 1.14 support level is at risk of falling out. Ugly setup.

$EURUSD Can the euro rebound from France? OAT-Bund spread broke 100 bps. First time since 2011-12. French 10s above Greece. Debt 119% of GDP. Deficit 5.4%. Lecornu needs €54B in cuts through a divided parliament. Both sides are hiking. ECB deposit at 2.50%. Fed at 3.75%-4.00%. Differential still favors the dollar, but it should compress. Growth is not the problem. France and rates are. Support near 1.1450. #EURUSD #Forex #France #ECB #Fed