kg354
$GMTL
❌ Weekly "Breakouts" (High Volume UP Weeks)
Weekly data confirms green surges are institutional exit traps:
09-Aug-26: +22.9% (1.0x vol) ➔ -25.3% over next 8 weeks
19-Apr-26: +13.2% (1.4x vol) ➔ -26.6% over next 8 weeks
17-May-26: +15.1% (1.1x vol) ➔ -22.0% over next 8 weeks
✅ Weekly Capitulation (High Volume DOWN Weeks)
Buying blood has been the only profitable strategy post-IPO:
19-Jul-26: Dumped -21.6% on 1.3x volume ➔ Rallied +30.7% over next 4 weeks
🚨 Current Setup
While daily volume is dry, the week ending 04-Oct-26 marked the highest-volume down week in company history:
Last Week (04-Oct): Dumped -14.5% on 1.6x volume.
💡 Conclusion
Never buy green weekly pushes; buy high-volume weekly washouts. Today's quiet drift reflects typical post-washout exhaustion. Structurally, last week's 1.6x volume crash offers the best statistical entry since mid-July.