Brief India: Indian Chemical: War, Freight, Fire & Inventory Windfall in Q4 and more
In this briefing: Indian Chemical: War, Freight, Fire & Inventory Windfall in Q4 Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia Pick of the Week: Federal Bank - 14th March, 2026 Automobile Sector: Energy Supply Tightness & Geopolitical Risks Exencial Industry Tidings - 16-03-2026 1. Indian Chemical: War, Freight, Fire & Inventory Windfall in Q4 A 23-108% MoM price spike across key chemicals in Mar-26, driven by Strait of Hormuz closure, Gulf force majeures, is set to deliver exceptional earnings for some Indian chemical companies. Companies that built inventory in January at cycle-low prices, particularly in Phenol, Acetone, Benzene, Toluene, and VAM, now sit on paper gains of 20-70%, a rare intra-quarter windfall. The companies most worth watching are those who own their raw material chain and have limited direct exposure to Middle East imports. 2. Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia UST yields fell 4-6 bps across the curve yesterday, undoing part of last week’s yield increase amid easing oil prices.