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MARKET.X Crucial WLFI Token Distribution Unveiled: Top Holder’s Massive Transfers
BitcoinWorld Crucial WLFI Token Distribution Unveiled: Top Holder’s Massive Transfers In a significant development that has caught the attention of the crypto community, the top individual holder of WLFI, known by their address moonmanifest.eth, has initiated a massive WLFI token distribution . This isn’t just a minor move; it involves millions of tokens and raises questions about its potential impact on the WLFI ecosystem and the broader market. On-chain analyst ai_9684xtpa first brought this crucial activity to light, highlighting a series of substantial transfers. What’s Behind This Crucial WLFI Token Distribution? Over the past 18 hours, moonmanifest.eth transferred an impressive 79.54 million WLFI, valued at approximately $14.69 million, to nine distinct addresses. This initial wave was quickly followed by another significant transfer: an additional 100 million WLFI moved to a new address just 25 minutes later. Such large-scale movements from a single entity are always noteworthy in the decentralized world. To put this into perspective: This holder controls a substantial 1% of the total WLFI supply. They initially received around 200 million tokens during the project’s Token Generation Event (TGE), indicating a foundational position within the project. These transfers represent a significant portion of their holdings, suggesting a strategic decision rather than a random event. The motivation behind such a substantial WLFI token distribution could range from enhanced security practices to preparing for future market actions. Understanding the WLFI Token Distribution Dynamics When a major holder undertakes a large-scale WLFI token distribution , it can signal several things. Firstly, it might be a move towards decentralization. By spreading tokens across multiple wallets, the holder reduces the risk associated with a single point of failure. This can be a positive step for the project’s long-term health, as it mitigates the impact of potential hacks or regulatory pressures on a single, massive wallet. However, it also raises questions about potential selling pressure. While distributing tokens doesn’t automatically mean they will be sold, having them spread across multiple addresses could facilitate easier liquidation in the future. Market participants often monitor such transfers closely, as they can precede significant price movements. Therefore, understanding the context of this WLFI token distribution is key for investors. Consider these potential implications: Increased Liquidity: If these new addresses are intended to provide liquidity on various decentralized exchanges (DEXs), it could benefit the token by making it easier to trade. Strategic Partnerships: The transfers might be part of agreements with partners, advisors, or institutional investors, distributing tokens for specific project development or marketing initiatives. Enhanced Security: Moving funds from one large, identifiable wallet to several smaller, less obvious ones can be a common security practice for high-net-worth individuals in crypto. What Does This WLFI Token Distribution Mean for the Market? The immediate impact of such a large WLFI token distribution on the market is often speculative. While some might interpret it as a precursor to selling, others might see it as a strategic move to strengthen the project’s infrastructure or decentralize control. The sheer volume of tokens involved—over $14 million in value—demands attention from anyone holding or considering WLFI. Investors should: Monitor On-Chain Activity: Keep a close eye on these new addresses for any subsequent transfers to exchanges. Assess Market Sentiment: Observe how the broader crypto community reacts to this news. Understand Risk: Large token movements always introduce an element of uncertainty, and investors should factor this into their risk assessments. The actions of whales, or large holders, frequently influence market dynamics. Their moves can sometimes set trends or indicate underlying shifts in project strategy or market conditions. This particular WLFI token distribution is a prime example of why on-chain analysis is so vital in the fast-paced world of cryptocurrency. Navigating the Future of WLFI: A Summary The recent substantial WLFI token distribution by moonmanifest.eth is a multifaceted event with various potential interpretations. While the immediate implications remain to be fully seen, it underscores the importance of transparency and on-chain monitoring in the crypto space. Whether this signals a move towards greater decentralization, strategic partnerships, or potential market adjustments, it’s a development that WLFI holders and interested parties should follow closely. The crypto market is constantly evolving, and understanding the actions of key players like moonmanifest.eth provides valuable insights into the possible trajectory of projects. As always, conducting thorough research and staying informed are your best tools for navigating these dynamic waters. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: Who is moonmanifest.eth? A1: Moonmanifest.eth is identified as the top individual holder of WLFI tokens, controlling approximately 1% of the total supply and having received about 200 million tokens during the project’s Token Generation Event (TGE). Q2: What is the significance of this WLFI token distribution? A2: This large-scale distribution of over 179 million WLFI tokens to new addresses could indicate several things, including enhanced security, a move towards decentralization, preparation for providing liquidity, or strategic partnerships. It’s a significant event for market watchers. Q3: Does this mean WLFI’s price will drop? A3: Not necessarily. While large transfers can sometimes precede selling pressure, this WLFI token distribution could also be for security, strategic partnerships, or decentralization. Investors should monitor subsequent on-chain activity for clearer indications. Q4: How can I stay informed about such whale movements? A4: On-chain analysis tools and platforms, as well as crypto news outlets and reputable analysts, are excellent resources for tracking large token movements and understanding their potential implications. Q5: Is this WLFI token distribution good or bad for the project? A5: The impact is not definitively good or bad; it depends on the holder’s ultimate intentions. It could be positive if it leads to greater decentralization or project growth, or it could introduce selling pressure if the tokens are moved to exchanges for liquidation. If you found this analysis insightful, please consider sharing it with your network! Your support helps us continue to deliver timely and crucial insights into the world of cryptocurrency. Spread the word and let’s foster a more informed crypto community! To learn more about the latest crypto market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping cryptocurrency price action. This post Crucial WLFI Token Distribution Unveiled: Top Holder’s Massive Transfers first appeared on BitcoinWorld and is written by Editorial Team
bitcoinworld·11m ago
Dogecoin Consolidates Near $0.216 as Bullish Channel Hints Rally to $1–$1.40 While Triangle Risk Could Push Price Toward $0.17
Dogecoin price is consolidating near $0.216 inside a tightening symmetrical triangle; a decisive break below $0.2076 risks downside to $0.162–$0.19, while a sustained weekly breakout could push DOGE toward $1.00–$1.40
coinotag·29m ago
Trump Coin ETF Filing Delayed, Tron Hovers Near $0.34, As BlockDAG Presale Smashes $395M With $4.4M Whale Entry
What is moving faster, Tron (TRX) price movement, the push behind the Trump coin ETF, or a whale dropping $4.4M into BlockDAG’s presale? Over the past few days, TRX has been volatile, and the Trump token has seen its own ETF filing, yet the bigger attention is shifting to BlockDAG. While others generate headlines, BlockDAG is pulling in major capital. A $4.4M buy just smashed the leaderboard record, followed by another at $4.3M, sparking a whale showdown. With more than $395M raised, 25.9B coins sold, and a rare entry window of $0.0013 open until October 1, large holders are making aggressive moves. For anyone looking at the top crypto to buy right now, BlockDAG (BDAG) is not just popular, it is being accumulated heavily. BlockDAG: Whale Competition Resets the Leaderboard BlockDAG just recorded its biggest leaderboard shakeup. A single buyer placed $4.4M into the presale, only to be quickly matched by a $4.3M purchase. Both exceeded the prior leader’s $3.8M stake, setting off chatter across Telegram and X. Each update has triggered fresh urgency, with smaller buyers stepping in before another huge entry lands. The presale is now priced at $0.0013. To build momentum ahead of the BlockDAG Deployment Event, the team fixed this flat rate to replace bonus tiers and give every buyer equal access. More than 25.9 billion BDAG coins have been sold, with totals above $395M. Those who entered in Batch 1 at $0.001 are already up 2,900 percent. Even now, the upside is notable, with a projected listing price of $0.05. It is the most generous offer so far, and whales are clearly taking advantage. Every new leaderboard update adds urgency, amplifying momentum. For those assessing the top crypto to buy right now, BlockDAG is attracting capital faster than most projects in the market. With $395M already in and a global showcase approaching, it is positioning itself as more than just another presale, it is emerging as the main event. Tron (TRX) Price Movement Reflects Activity but Uncertainty The Tron (TRX) price movement has been turbulent since August 22. TRX climbed to $0.366 before sliding to around $0.343 by August 28. A short-lived recovery to $0.351 showed the ongoing swings. At present, TRX trades close to $0.344 with small fluctuations, leaving short-term participants uncertain whether the next move will be a bounce or a deeper pullback. Throughout the week, Tron (TRX) price movement has held steady attention on Coingecko, Binance, and Coinbase, but no clear catalyst has sparked a breakout. While volume is present, the lack of ecosystem news or external drivers limits the upside. By contrast, BlockDAG is pulling liquidity with its presale structure and live incentives. For short-term trading, TRX has openings, but long-term confidence appears muted as large buyers are committing elsewhere. Trump Coin ETF Filing Brings Political Crypto Into Focus The Trump coin ETF has become official, as Canary Capital submitted a filing with the U.S. SEC to create an ETF linked to the Solana-based $TRUMP meme coin. If approved, this would allow exposure without the need for exchanges or wallets. It ties political branding to a financial product, capturing attention across markets and media. The filing used the S-1 route, bypassing the more traditional 40 Act structure, which could add review challenges. Even with the headlines, quick approval is unlikely. Analysts note the absence of futures market data as a weakness, since that data is often required for ETF clearance. Still, the proposal has stirred discussion in trading groups and political communities. While it is a talking point, it is far from confirmed. Compared to BlockDAG, which is already attracting millions in new capital, the Trump coin ETF looks more speculative at this stage. Closing Insights Tron (TRX) price movement showed activity earlier this week, but without a strong driver, it remains tied to short-term trading patterns. The Trump coin ETF proposal has generated noise, but faces regulatory obstacles that limit near-term impact. BlockDAG, on the other hand, is not waiting. With $4.4M and $4.3M whale entries reshaping the leaderboard, $395M raised, 25.9B coins sold, and a limited time $0.0013 price window, it is being rapidly accumulated. For anyone asking about the top crypto to buy right now , BlockDAG is proving itself through capital flow and adoption. When large holders are moving with this level of speed, the signal is clear, retail participants have limited time before access and pricing change. Presale: https://purchase.blockdag.network Website: https://blockdag.network Telegram: https://t.me/blockDAGnetworkOfficial Discord: https://discord.gg/Q7BxghMVyu The post Trump Coin ETF Filing Delayed, Tron Hovers Near $0.34, As BlockDAG Presale Smashes $395M With $4.4M Whale Entry appeared first on TheCoinrise.com .
thecoinrise·35m ago
Countdown To Crypto Chaos: Expert Warns Of Impending Collapse Post Bitcoin Peak
The recent Bitcoin (BTC) price correction has sent ripples through the broader cryptocurrency market, pushing many assets into the red. On Tuesday, Bitcoin fell below $110,000, marking a 12% decline from its all-time high. Experts are now warning that the situation could worsen as October approaches. Crypto Market’s Imminent Downturn Market analyst OxPepesso took to the social media platform X (formerly Twitter) to explain his decision to liquidate all his crypto holdings by October. He identified key factors based on historical patterns that influenced his decision. According to the analyst, many traders mistakenly believe that the upcoming altcoin season will last six to eight months. OxPepesso’s analysis indicates that altcoin season is anticipated to begin in late September to early October. He notes that Bitcoin is losing its dominance, while the resurgence of memecoins and growing momentum in the Ethereum (ETH) ecosystem signal a shift in market dynamics. Related Reading: Cardano Sentiment Crashes To 5-Month Low As ADA Defends Key Price Level Technical setups also appear to align with macroeconomic trends, suggesting that the market is nearing an “overheating phase.” He warns that following this peak, an “uncontrollable collapse” could occur, leading to significant losses for altcoins. The analyst also highlights the use of various indicators, such as the Extreme Oscillators, which measure market overheating or oversold conditions. Currently, this indicator sits at 1-2, suggesting that the market has not yet reached an overheated state, but the risk of a downturn looms. Another tool in OxPepesso’s analytical arsenal is the MVRV Bands, which assess the ratio of Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value. When this metric approaches its upper bands, it signals that the crypto market is becoming overheated, increasing the risk of a price drop. Although today’s readings remain below critical levels, the analyst asserts that there are signs indicating the market is heading in that direction. This could potentially worsen the broader crypto market’s retracement as the October deadline approaches. Analyst Predicts Lower Bitcoin Prices The Pi Cycle Top indicator, which tracks the crossover of the 111-day and 350-day moving averages, is another focal point in OxPepesso’s analysis. Although the lines have not yet crossed, the chart below shows that the gap is closing rapidly, suggesting that a market top could be imminent. Related Reading: XRP Millionaires Dump After Major Accumulation Trend, Will It Be A Red September? Additionally, Onchain Originals Price Models are being monitored, as they reflect investor behavior and establish Bitcoin’s value ranges, identifying support and overheating levels that indicate the current phase of the crypto cycle. In light of these indicators, OxPepesso notes that the current cycle is nearing its final phase. This sentiment is echoed by fellow market analyst Doctor Profit, who recently intensified his bearish stance. Initially, he had projected that the market’s leading crypto could reach a new all-time high after hitting the $90,000 to $95,000 range. However, he now considers the possibility of lower price points, stating that he sees little to be bullish about. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
newsbtc·36m ago
Trump’s Bet Pays Off as Family Crypto Fortune Soars Past $5B
President Donald Trump’s family has struck gold in the crypto market. Their flagship token, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), debuted on September 1 and instantly boosted the Trump family’s net worth by more than $5 billion. The coin’s launch created massive buzz, with over $1 billion traded within the first hour, ranking WLFI among the world’s top 35 cryptocurrencies. Trump is officially listed as “Co-Founder Emeritus,” while his sons Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., along with son-in-law Jared Kushner, hold a controlling 60% stake in the project. The company’s branding leans heavily on Trump’s political image, featuring slogans like “Inspired by Donald J. Trump” alongside his portrait. This high valuation makes WLFI the most valuable Trump asset, surpassing the family’s real estate empire. Economic Imbalance vs. Trump’s Billions The launch, however, comes at a time when Americans are struggling with inflation. The USDA’s Food Price Outlook shows grocery costs are set to rise 3.4% this year, higher than the two-decade average. Tariffs introduced under Trump’s administration have also raised household expenses, costing families an estimated $2,400 annually. As millions stretch household budgets, the contrast is striking: the Trumps are building billions in digital wealth while ordinary Americans cut back on essentials. Senator Patty Murray criticized Trump directly on X, noting that families are “paying the highest tariff rate since 1933.” Conflict of Interest Questions Mount Critics argue that Trump’s dual role as president and crypto entrepreneur blurs the line between public duty and private gain. World Liberty Financial has already partnered with the Pakistan Crypto Council and is rolling out a stablecoin (USD1) and a mobile app, further embedding itself in the financial system. However, watchdog groups warn that the family’s vast holdings, most of which remain “locked” and not tradable, exist in untested legal territory. Meanwhile, the administration’s pro-crypto policies, such as easing stablecoin regulation, have directly benefited ventures like WLFI. For now, the Trump family’s crypto gamble is paying off in spectacular fashion. But whether this wealth proves sustainable, or sparks deeper political fallout, remains to be seen. Cover image from ChatGPT, WLFIUSDT chart from Tradingview
bitcoinist·36m ago
Hong Kong eyes third digital bond sale
Hong Kong is planning its third sovereign digital bond sale and has appointed a group of banks to structure the deal, according to people familiar with it. Details on size and timing remain undecided, but the move signals the city’s continued push into blockchain-based finance. If launched, it would follow Hong Kong’s debut tokenized green bond in February 2023 and its multi-currency issuance a year later, both of which were well-received by institutional investors and seen as proof of blockchain’s potential in traditional debt markets. The new requirement is also a sign of Hong Kong’s increasing aspiration to become a global hub for digital finance. City officials have emphasized the need to create a “future-ready” bond market that can provide faster issuance, at a lower cost, and with greater transparency than the traditional paper-based issuance. By progressing with a third sovereign deal, the government also conveys its confidence in the technology and the investor appetite. The news follows increasing corporate interest. A few days before the government’s action, two Chinese state-owned companies, Shenzhen Futian Investment Holdings and Shandong Hi-Speed Holdings Group, priced their own digital bonds in Hong Kong. Its participation has not only lent credibility to the sector but underscored how rapidly demand is spreading beyond pilot programs for more regular financing activity. Corporations drive market growth Hong Kong’s digital bond market is not purely government-driven. At least six other companies have already issued such bonds in the city. This year, some $1 billion was raised through digital bonds, and 70% of that total was in 2025 alone. Firms in mainland China and elsewhere are starting to consider this financing channel. John O’Neill, HSBC’s head of digital assets, said the bank had observed rising interest. Tokenized bond offerings are also an increasingly common subject of inquiry among clients, a top law firm, King & Wood Mallesons, said. Over $1.7 billion in issuances have already run on HSBC’s distributed ledger platform Orion HK. That includes sovereign, financial, and corporate transactions. Digital bonds are conventional debt securities, only issued and traded on a blockchain. Private platforms, like HSBC Orion, and public blockchains, like Ethereum, can support them. They are still denominated in normal currencies such as the US dollar, Hong Kong dollar, or Chinese yuan. That makes them familiar to investors, even though the issuance form is new. The primary buyers are still the same old investors who buy bonds. They buy these bonds with printed money. The absence of broadly trusted stablecoins for settlement remains the reason why the crypto investor base is relatively small regarding exchange-traded derivatives. Hong Kong reinforces support with stimulus To give the market a nudge, Hong Kong has introduced financial incentives. Each eligible issuance is entitled to up to 2.5 million Hong Kong dollars (about $320,500) in grants. In promoting both public and private issuers, Hong Kong is setting its sights on becoming a regional base for digital finance. Faster settlement times, lower fees, and the transparency of the blockchain are among the attractions. In Asia, there is a high demand for digital assets. Policymakers wanted to follow global trends, especially as the United States implemented pro-crypto policies. Hong Kong’s digital bond push is not just a digital innovation in this context. It is also about competition. The city seeks to consolidate its place as a premier international financial center as its financial system goes through rapid change. Sign up to Bybit and start trading with $30,050 in welcome gifts
cryptopolitan·3h ago
Trump signs an executive order enforcing Japan trade agreement
U.S. President Donald Trump has formally approved the U.S.-Japan trade deal, calling it a “landmark step” in reshaping economic ties. The order cements commitments made during Trump’s July summit with Prime Minister Fumio Kishida after months of negotiations. Under the order, a 15% initial tariff will be imposed on all Japanese goods entering the United States. Japanese vehicles currently would have been hit with duties as high as 27.5%. Under the new rules, that percentage falls to 15%, a win for the auto industry. Suspended industry categories that will not be subject to the blanket tariff rule. Cars, aerospace, generic medicines, and natural resources — all will have sector-specific treatment. The White House said this “safeguarded U.S. industries” and workers, providing a fairer trade landscape. Other American officials said the deal was expected to reinforce supply chains and provide more predictability for governments and businesses. Japan to invest record amount in U.S. Under the deal, Japan will invest an estimated $550 billion in United States businesses in the years ahead. It is the biggest investment pledge by a foreign country in the U.S. economy. The money will be spent in major sectors including energy, semiconductors, defense, clean technologies, and transportation. White House officials said the deal would generate “hundreds of thousands” of American jobs and help to decrease reliance on competitors like China. Japan has also promised to increase its purchases of U.S. farm products. These include up to 75% of rice imports and other imports, including corn, soybeans, fertilizer, and bioethanol, which total approximately $8 billion a year. Japan has already accepted U.S. safety standards for cars, allowing American-made cars to enter the Japanese market without additional testing. This is expected to help U.S. automakers cut costs and accelerate exports. Tokyo will also increase aerospace and defense equipment purchases from the United States, like commercial airplanes. This will “unlock billions in new sales” for American manufacturers, the White House said. American farmers and manufacturers have lobbied for years to gain easier entry to the Japanese market. Several trade groups have cheered the agreement as a break from the past that would even the playing field. U.S. promises to fix the tariff issue While welcomed by U.S. farmers and manufacturers as long overdue, the deal faces concerns in Japan over possible tariff “stacking” that could push duties above 15%. Japan has described this as a “regrettable inconsistency,” and said that Washington has promised to correct the issue. The USA will also ban discrimination based on bulk capacity and reimburse any overcharging. These rules are being closely watched by industry groups on both sides. Toyota, which expressed support for the deal, said it appreciates the clarity it affords and “helps Toyota meet the needs of our customers for decades to come. The executive order is the next step in enacting that deal. U.S. agencies will implement the new tariff structure, while Japanese officials will be responsible for their end of the investment oaths. Trade experts say additional discussions are expected to take place to resolve technical issues. This includes tracking investments, handling returns, and providing clear time-tables for purchases of agricultural products. Markets and businesses are also waiting to see how the changes will translate into prices. Analysts say American farmers could benefit in the short term, while automakers might see a shift in competitive dynamics in the long term. Sign up to Bybit and start trading with $30,050 in welcome gifts
cryptopolitan·3h ago
Fireblocks Unveils Stablecoin Network to Power Global Payments
Fireblocks, a well-known crypto custody provider, has introduced a new stablecoin network for institutional businesses. This new system is poised to make it easier for crypto companies and banks to move USD-pegged tokens and create new payment products. The launch highlights how quickly the stablecoin market is growing, with key players building the tools needed to support the rising demand. Simplifying Stablecoin Payments Michael Shaulov, Fireblocks’ co-founder and CEO, described the network as the backbone of stablecoin payments. According to him, the system introduces unified APIs and workflows specifically designed for stablecoin transactions. This allows institutions to securely move value across different providers, blockchains, and even fiat payment rails. The goal is to make the process faster and easier, instead of slow and inefficient. By offering a secure and compliant framework, Fireblocks enables firms to build payment solutions that can scale globally. In a recent X post, Fireblocks shared that over 40 groups are already using its stablecoin network. These include well-known firms such as Bridge, Zerohash, and Yellow Card. Also, NYSE-listed firm Circle , an issuer of the leading digital dollar USDC, has adopted Fireblock’s new stablecoin network. Fireblocks Builds Global Rails for the Trillion-Dollar Stablecoin Market The stablecoin market is projected to grow into the trillions of dollars in the coming years. This means companies that create the technology for stablecoin payments could make big profits. Even large banks, like Bank of America, are exploring their own USD-pegged tokens. In Africa, Fireblocks is already helping companies like Yellow Card expand. Its network supports payout services in more than 20 countries. By replacing slow manual work with faster, safer, and rule-compliant systems, Fireblocks is boosting growth in areas that need better financial solutions most. Fireblocks Expands in Digital Assets with Strong Support from Investors Fireblocks has been growing its product offerings in the digital asset industry. In 2022, it raised $550 million, reaching a value of $8 billion. Big investors like Sequoia Capital, Coatue, Ribbit, Bank of New York Mellon, Paradigm, and SCB10x supported the company. This strong backing from institutional investors shows strong confidence in the firm’ vision and its role in shaping the future of digital payments. Beyond stablecoins, Fireblocks is also building its position as a key Ethereum infrastructure provider through new blockchain partnerships. In April, Fireblocks partnered with Calastone, a global funds network . Together, they are building a tool that will let asset managers tokenize any fund on Calastone’s platform. The post Fireblocks Unveils Stablecoin Network to Power Global Payments appeared first on TheCoinrise.com .
thecoinrise·7h ago
S&P 500 closed at a record 6,502.08 after weak job data fueled bets on a September Fed rate cut
The S&P 500 closed at a record high on Thursday, ending the day at 6,502, up 0.83%, after a late-afternoon rally powered stocks across the board. Wall Street traders pushed through weaker-than-expected job numbers from the private sector and placed big bets that Friday’s government jobs data will open the door for a Federal Reserve rate cut. According to Bloomberg, traders want a number that justifies easing without triggering panic about a slowdown. The Nasdaq Composite gained 0.98% to finish at 21,707.69, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 350.06 points, or 0.77%, at 45,621.29. The decision came hours after the ADP private payrolls report showed just 54,000 new jobs for August , well below the 75,000 economists were expecting, and the number was also down from the revised 106,000 in July. Instead of tanking the market, the weak result lit up traders who now see it as soft enough for the Fed to act, but not bad enough to scream recession. Fed rate cut bets explode after ADP report Markets responded instantly. Traders raised the odds of a rate cut on September 17 to 97%, based on CME Group’s FedWatch tool. They’re pricing in the idea that the Fed now has enough cover to make a move. Equities moved higher across sectors on the idea that weak data means looser policy, the scenario traders have been waiting on for months. The United States is running on surging debt, rising deficits, and growing interference in the central bank’s independence. Despite all that noise, the U.S. Treasury market has held its ground, with the 10-year yield having dropped more than a third of a point this year, standing in contrast to higher yields in the UK, France, and Japan, where investors have pulled out amid fiscal concerns. 10-year U.S. Treasury yields have dropped over 0.33% this year, beating every other major bond market. Even 30-year U.S. bonds only went up about 0.125% in 2025, way less than the 0.5% spike in the UK, 0.75% in France, and a full 1.0% in Japan. While Europe and Asia struggled with rising debt fears, U.S. bonds stayed firm. Bond volatility has also been fading. A key measure of Treasury market swings is now sitting close to its three-year low, showing that traders aren’t panicking… yet. That’s despite all the pressure Washington is putting on the Fed to keep rates low and borrowing cheap. Ed Yardeni, founder of Yardeni Research, said, “The bond market has been calm.” He added that even with heavy fiscal overhang and political meddling, the U.S. still “does stand out as remarkably stable.” Yardeni is known for coining the term “bond vigilantes” in the 1980s to describe investors who punish reckless fiscal policy by dumping government bonds. But right now, he says that group is nowhere to be seen in America. Bond market braces for QE pressure from Trump team Still, there are signs the calm might not last. The 10-year note recently dipped below 4.17%, the first time since May, just as more data hint at slower job growth. With Europe on pause and Japan looking to raise rates, the pressure is building in the U.S. to do something. Stephen Jen, chief executive at Eurizon SLJ Capital, predicts that: “The next pressure may be on QE, and if I were in the Trump administration, I would just put pressure on the Fed to consider re-adopting it.” William Dudley, former New York Fed President, told Bloomberg TV, “The markets are still pretty comfortable about this. Probably a little too comfortable, given the fact of the president trying so hard to influence monetary policy. But how this plays out, there’s a long way to go.” Pimco’s Michael Cudzil added that the Fed could also start reinvesting maturing mortgage-backed securities as a way to cool off housing markets. Right now, the Fed is doing the opposite, letting up to $5 billion in Treasuries and $35 billion in mortgage debt mature each month without reinvesting, a policy known as quantitative tightening. Yardeni warned that any Fed move to buy bonds or change Treasury issuance might only buy time. Unless Congress starts cutting spending or raising taxes, the U.S. may lose the patience of investors. And when that happens, it won’t be a press release, it’ll show up in the market. “Bond vigilantes are in Europe and Japan,” Yardeni said. “They are out there, just not here. That could change pretty quickly.” Want your project in front of crypto’s top minds? Feature it in our next industry report, where data meets impact.
cryptopolitan·7h ago
The state of the labor market
Ahead of the FOMC September meeting, the labor market continues to embolden a dovish lean
blockworks·8h ago
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September has historically been the worst month for crypto. Will 2025 break the trend?
Yes, Bitcoin finishes higher
No, Bitcoin drops again
Flat / no big move