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Brief Consumer: Global Index IPO Forecasts - Feb26: InnoScience, Bloks, Verisure, ServiceTitan Among Candidates and more
In this briefing: Global Index IPO Forecasts - Feb26: InnoScience, Bloks, Verisure, ServiceTitan Among Candidates Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN Geely (175 HK): Exceeded BYD and Became No. 1 [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 Rebal - 2 ADDs (3rd Poss?), 2 DELs, 1 CAP, Another Close [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen 1. Global Index IPO Forecasts - Feb26: InnoScience, Bloks, Verisure, ServiceTitan Among Candidates Verisure Holding (VSURE SS) is forecasted to be added to Global Standard following its IPO in October 2025, provided its index nationality is assigned to Sweden. ServiceTitan (TTAN US) is expected to be added to Global SmallCap following its IPO lock-up. InnoScience (2577 HK) and Bloks (325 HK) are projected IPO additions following their 12-month IPO lock-up expiry. 2. Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief M&A: Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment and more
In this briefing: Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment SoftBank (9984 JP) Results on 12 Feb: Expected Move and Option Insights Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen [Japan M&A] Yokogawa Bridge To Buy Hiroshima-Based BR Holdings (1726 JP) After CEO's Passing ¥530 1. Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.3bn into " Banks "; the largest industry net decrease was A$630mn out of " Gold ". Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Lynas (LYC AU) , Bluescope Steel (BSL AU) , Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU) , Evolution Mining (EVN AU) , and Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU) . 2.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief Event-Driven: Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment and more
In this briefing: Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment SoftBank (9984 JP) Results on 12 Feb: Expected Move and Option Insights Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen [Japan M&A] Yokogawa Bridge To Buy Hiroshima-Based BR Holdings (1726 JP) After CEO's Passing ¥530 1. Aussie Shorts (30th Jan 2026): Lynas, Aussie Banks, Bluescope Steel, Pinnacle Investment M'ment Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.3bn into " Banks "; the largest industry net decrease was A$630mn out of " Gold ". Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Lynas (LYC AU) , Bluescope Steel (BSL AU) , Treasury Wine Estates (TWE AU) , Evolution Mining (EVN AU) , and Pinnacle Investment Management (PNI AU) . 2.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief M&A: SoftBank (9984 JP) Results on 12 Feb: Expected Move and Option Insights and more
In this briefing: SoftBank (9984 JP) Results on 12 Feb: Expected Move and Option Insights Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen [Japan M&A] Yokogawa Bridge To Buy Hiroshima-Based BR Holdings (1726 JP) After CEO's Passing ¥530 [Japan M&A] Bain Launches TOB on MCJ (6670 JP) - Their Equity Check Is 4.2x FCF (Too Cheap) 1. SoftBank (9984 JP) Results on 12 Feb: Expected Move and Option Insights SoftBank Group (9984 JP) reports Q3 FY2025 earnings on 12 February at 15:30 JST, with a conference call at 16:30 JST. Highlights: SoftBank’s post-earnings moves are often sharp and unpredictable — with outliers above ±12%. Options markets flag the results day as a high-volatility event to watch, in-line with historic experience. Why Read: Essential for investors or options traders focused on Japan: Understand how timing, historic patterns and current volatility pricing shape both opportunity and risk around SoftBank earnings. 2.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief Event-Driven: SoftBank (9984 JP) Results on 12 Feb: Expected Move and Option Insights and more
In this briefing: SoftBank (9984 JP) Results on 12 Feb: Expected Move and Option Insights Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen [Japan M&A] Yokogawa Bridge To Buy Hiroshima-Based BR Holdings (1726 JP) After CEO's Passing ¥530 [Japan M&A] Bain Launches TOB on MCJ (6670 JP) - Their Equity Check Is 4.2x FCF (Too Cheap) 1. SoftBank (9984 JP) Results on 12 Feb: Expected Move and Option Insights SoftBank Group (9984 JP) reports Q3 FY2025 earnings on 12 February at 15:30 JST, with a conference call at 16:30 JST. Highlights: SoftBank’s post-earnings moves are often sharp and unpredictable — with outliers above ±12%. Options markets flag the results day as a high-volatility event to watch, in-line with historic experience. Why Read: Essential for investors or options traders focused on Japan: Understand how timing, historic patterns and current volatility pricing shape both opportunity and risk around SoftBank earnings. 2.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief M&A: Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN and more
In this briefing: Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen [Japan M&A] Yokogawa Bridge To Buy Hiroshima-Based BR Holdings (1726 JP) After CEO's Passing ¥530 [Japan M&A] Bain Launches TOB on MCJ (6670 JP) - Their Equity Check Is 4.2x FCF (Too Cheap) Weekly Deals Digest (08 Feb) - Toyota Ind, Br Holdings, MCJ, Raksul, Guocoland, Montage, Kandenko 1. Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs. Highest spreads: Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK) , Dongfeng Motor (489 HK) , Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) , Webjet Group (WJL AU) , ENN Energy (2688 HK) , Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK) . Lowest spreads: Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK) , BioDlink International (1875 HK) , Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) , Toyota Industries (6201 JP) , Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP) . 2. [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen Honday is selling their ¥69.7% stake to its Indian partner Motherson Sumi in the most offensively low-priced/bad governance takeover I have ever seen.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief Event-Driven: Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN and more
In this briefing: Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen [Japan M&A] Yokogawa Bridge To Buy Hiroshima-Based BR Holdings (1726 JP) After CEO's Passing ¥530 [Japan M&A] Bain Launches TOB on MCJ (6670 JP) - Their Equity Check Is 4.2x FCF (Too Cheap) Weekly Deals Digest (08 Feb) - Toyota Ind, Br Holdings, MCJ, Raksul, Guocoland, Montage, Kandenko 1. Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs. Highest spreads: Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK) , Dongfeng Motor (489 HK) , Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) , Webjet Group (WJL AU) , ENN Energy (2688 HK) , Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK) . Lowest spreads: Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK) , BioDlink International (1875 HK) , Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) , Toyota Industries (6201 JP) , Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP) . 2. [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen Honday is selling their ¥69.7% stake to its Indian partner Motherson Sumi in the most offensively low-priced/bad governance takeover I have ever seen.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief Consumer: Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN and more
In this briefing: Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN Geely (175 HK): Exceeded BYD and Became No. 1 [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 Rebal - 2 ADDs (3rd Poss?), 2 DELs, 1 CAP, Another Close [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen Weekly Deals Digest (08 Feb) - Toyota Ind, Br Holdings, MCJ, Raksul, Guocoland, Montage, Kandenko 1. Merger Arb Mondays (09 Feb) - Mandom, MCJ, Toyota Ind, Raksul, IJM, Guocoland, Skyworth, ENN I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs. Highest spreads: Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK) , Dongfeng Motor (489 HK) , Australian Strategic Materials (ASM AU) , Webjet Group (WJL AU) , ENN Energy (2688 HK) , Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK) . Lowest spreads: Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK) , BioDlink International (1875 HK) , Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) , Toyota Industries (6201 JP) , Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP) . 2.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief Japan: Shiga Bank (8366 JP) 9M26 Earnings Review: Navigating Rising Yields Amid Policy Tailwinds and more
In this briefing: Shiga Bank (8366 JP) 9M26 Earnings Review: Navigating Rising Yields Amid Policy Tailwinds Primer: Ooedo Onsen Reit Investment (3472 JP) - Feb 2026 [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 Rebal - 2 ADDs (3rd Poss?), 2 DELs, 1 CAP, Another Close Primer: Nippon Carbon (5302 JP) - Feb 2026 [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen 1. Shiga Bank (8366 JP) 9M26 Earnings Review: Navigating Rising Yields Amid Policy Tailwinds Strong earnings on margin tailwinds: 9M26 net interest income rose +17.1% YoY, driving core revenue +12.8% YoY, supported by a steepening JGB yield curve and reflationary policy backdrop. Solid profitability and asset quality: Net income +7.1% YoY with RoE at 4%, underpinned by near-zero LLPs and a low NPL ratio of 1.59%. Attractive valuation: Having achieved our prior +20% return target, the share still offers ~10% upside to a target price of ¥9,600, supported by continued NII growth and cost optimization potential. 2.
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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Brief Consumer: Geely (175 HK): Exceeded BYD and Became No. 1 and more
In this briefing: Geely (175 HK): Exceeded BYD and Became No. 1 [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 Rebal - 2 ADDs (3rd Poss?), 2 DELs, 1 CAP, Another Close [Japan M&A] - Honda Sells Yutaka Giken to Partner in Most Offensive TOB I've Ever Seen Weekly Deals Digest (08 Feb) - Toyota Ind, Br Holdings, MCJ, Raksul, Guocoland, Montage, Kandenko Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Qoria, Guocoland Malaysia, Humm, Qube, Medical Data Vision, Raksul, IJM 1. Geely (175 HK): Exceeded BYD and Became No. 1 Geely’s deliveries exceeded BYD and became the largest car maker in China in January. Geely’s domestic deliveries were equivalent to BYD’s in the two months, Dec 2025 and Jan 2026. We believe the stock has an upside of 65% for the next twelve months. 2. [Quiddity Index] Nikkei 225 Mar26 Rebal - 2 ADDs (3rd Poss?), 2 DELs, 1 CAP, Another Close The Nikkei 225 data observation period closed a week ago. The Nikkei announced a cap on Advantest Corp (6857 JP) , as expected. Quiddity expectations are unchanged. We see 1 clean ADD, 1 likely ADD (a third possible but unlikely).
cityfalcon.com·2mo ago
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