Indian banks’ third-quarter earnings to get loan growth, asset quality boost
Indian banks are expected to post better annual and sequential earnings in the December quarter, supported by improving loan growth and stable asset quality, though pressure on deposit growth is likely to cap upside, brokerages said. Analysts expect private sector banks to post average profit after tax growth of about 3.5%–5% year-on-year for October-December, higher than the 2% rise in the year-ago period. State-owned lenders are seen registering a more modest 2.5%–3% rise. Credit momentum, the pace of loan growth, has strengthened in recent months on festive-season spending and Goods and Services Tax (GST) cuts, signalling a rebound in credit appetite in the world’s fastest-growing major economy. Major lenders posted double-digit loan growth in the December quarter. Net interest income (NII) is expected to improve sequentially as loan growth picks up. “NII is likely to see a sequential uptick in the December quarter, driven by better loan growth,” said Vishal Narnolia, assistant vice-president, research, at ICICI Securities.